colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: 4K not bad 4K Much better. 3K the middle between the other 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 GFS should come in slightly south of NAM. Looks good so far. Pretty similar to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Wave 2 north by about 25 miles. Start of a trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Canadian rain for wave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Wave #3 looking promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Tuesday looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 It appears CMC has a big storm a week out. It skips images on TT, though. 978mb low at Cape Cod at 174h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 We need the second wave to die and the third to just go nuts. I smell a fringe job oncoming for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Ukmet is around .4" liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 DGEX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Euro after wave 1 and 3. Wave 2 essentially did nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 8 hours ago, Rd9108 said: We need the second wave to die and the third to just go nuts. I smell a fringe job oncoming for next week. No doubt fringe job is on the table for next week. I was hoping we would max out on this wave 1 like the GFS showed but think it keeps trending north and we get fringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Also, I really like how wave three looks to be setting up. Plenty of cold air. Just need to get a good track and a stronger system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 NWS discussion from this morning: Quote The main problems at this point, is how far north the weak surface wave will go and in turn how far north will this wave push the surface boundary. Additionally, the path of the shortwave will be critical as it will also help to determine the thermal profile aloft. The battle between the warm and cold air will be critical to how much qpf this system can produce. Many times when there are setups like this, models will overdue the amount of precipitation. I'm a tad more inclined to side with the Euro. It got the nickname "Dr. No" for a reason, after all. The GFS seems to be on its own with the NAM(s) aligning more with the Euro in many respects. Wave 2 is dead for us because of the strength of the confluence; I think Wave 3 still has best potential if the blocking relaxes a tad and the GFS models, at least, show a pretty decent Banana High signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, jwilson said: NWS discussion from this morning: I'm a tad more inclined to side with the Euro. It got the nickname "Dr. No" for a reason, after all. The GFS seems to be on its own with the NAM(s) aligning more with the Euro in many respects. Wave 2 is dead for us because of the strength of the confluence; I think Wave 3 still has best potential if the blocking relaxes a tad and the GFS models, at least, show a pretty decent Banana High signature. Agreed. A 1-2 inch slop event at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Some amped SREFs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 8, 2017 Author Share Posted March 8, 2017 NAM is south. Good news for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Sweet, NAM is south and fairly wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Crappy surface are taking away from what could be a nice event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 9 minutes ago, north pgh said: NAM is south. Good news for us. Right as it's coming into its most accurate range. 8 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Crappy surface are taking away from what could be a nice event Good rates would help. Remember the December 4" storm where the Nam was warm/rain? Obviously it's better to bet on the side of the warm tounge, but I'm mildly optimistic. Besides, kuchera is still 2-3" south, 3-4" north. Being March, a night storm is a big help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Another slight tick south and we get a bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 And RGEM is way North, the plot thickens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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