colonel717 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Includes 3 waves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Just now, colonel717 said: Includes 3 waves Haha this is incredible. Haven't seen amounts like this is a while... Fantasy or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Haha this is incredible. Haven't seen amounts like this is a while... Fantasy or not There are 3 more waves after that with possibilities. Frustrating tracking times ahead... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, colonel717 said: There are 3 more waves after that with possibilities. Frustrating tracking times ahead... **** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 I'm too damn emotional when it comes to this ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 When does the 12z para come out? Wonder if it is going to move south with the weekend event as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 PBZ says the precip. stays South for wave 1 in the latest discussion. I'm guessing that was written without the latest Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 13 minutes ago, dj3 said: When does the 12z para come out? Wonder if it is going to move south with the weekend event as well. There really is no constant when Para comes out. Just have to keep checking the site to see if updated. It will come out after 18z GFS though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 WPC MOVING INTO THE WEEKEND...THERE IS STILL PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING THE EVOLUTION OF AN UPPER TROUGH/VORTEX AS IT SINKS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST ON FRIDAY. MODELS SEEM TO BE COMING INTO A LITTLE BIT BETTER AGREEMENT ON THIS SYSTEM BUT THE LATEST GFS RUN IS STILL SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE ECMWF...SHOWING MORE ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BY 12Z SATURDAY COMPARED TO RIDGING FROM THE 00Z ECMWF. BY SUNDAY...THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO SHOW A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD REGARDING POTENTIAL CYCLOGENESIS ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHED FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES TO THE GREAT PLAINS. THE LATEST MODEL RUNS WOULD SEEM TO SUPPORT A SLIGHTLY MORE AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE EAST WHICH RESULTS IN A LITTLE BIT DEEPER SURFACE LOW TRACKING SOMEWHERE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. EXACT PLACEMENT OF THE LOW IS STILL IN QUESTION BUT THE LATEST 00Z ECMWF DID SHIFT FARTHER NORTH WITH THE LOW TRACKING OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WHICH IS NOW CLOSER TO THE LATEST GFS. BUT RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY IS NOT GOOD AND THERE IS STILL PLENTY OF SPREAD IN THE ENSEMBLES SO CONFIDENCE IN HOW THIS PLAYS OUT IS LOW...AT BEST. ONCE AGAIN...STAYED CLOSE TO CONTINUITY TRENDING TOWARDS A MOSTLY ENSEMBLES BLEND BY DAY 5/6 AND ALL ENSEMBLES BY DAY 7. Like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Suppressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Based on just the SLP map, the ukmet is pretty close to the gfs for the Friday storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 CFS north with clipper, no real 2nd wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Wave 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 18z could be a goodie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Too far south. Still workable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 The admin on USAwx is basically calling this off. I've seen huge changes 2 days out let alone 5 days. We've been screwed a day out before. Gotta stay tuned to the 0z models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: The admin on USAwx is basically calling this off. I've seen huge changes 2 days out let alone 5 days. We've been screwed a day out before. Gotta stay tuned to the 0z models. Calling it off for NYC and north. He's a drama queen, baby. I cant take him anymore. It was better when he quit posting for couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 53 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Too far south. Still workable Still gotta keep a close eye on it, but 18z looks to be a touch South, especially for wave one. It would be a fitting end to this lousy winter if we miss these 2 storms to the South then the next one cuts NW lol. That block and extension of the PV look to really flex there muscle right as the storm is trying to gain some latitude. I wonder if it would help if wave 1 just went away and wave 2 trended stronger at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 hour ago, colonel717 said: Calling it off for NYC and north. He's a drama queen, baby. I cant take him anymore. It was better when he quit posting for couple days. Bernie r saying we could in snow area because the clipper will bring cold air in for sat night -sun storm. Long way to go$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 So 93 is an analog.. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/DFHR.php?reg=EC&fhr=F132&rundt=2017030612&map=thbCOOP72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 6 minutes ago, colonel717 said: So 93 is an analog.. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/DFHR.php?reg=EC&fhr=F132&rundt=2017030612&map=thbCOOP72 How? This is a run of the mill "bowling ball" type system. They're not even remotely similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 For what it's worth.. NAM has 2-3" area-wide for wave #1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, snowsux said: How? This is a run of the mill "bowling ball" type system. They're not even remotely similar. Not sure how they pick those...They are both in March... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Just now, colonel717 said: Not sure how they pick those...They are both in March... Every threat in March has been compared to that storm ever since it happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 7, 2017 Author Share Posted March 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Mailman said: For what it's worth.. NAM has 2-3" area-wide for wave #1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.