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Pittsburgh PA Winter 2016-2017

north pgh

By north pgh,
in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

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RitualOfTheTrout

RitualOfTheTrout

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, meatwad said:

We could break the all time February High tomorrow, which was set in 1900.

The foretasted high is 77 for tomorrow.

Thats just incredible when you think about it, especially when its been proceeded by a week of way above normal temperatures. That is to warm, Ive been enjoying the 60s and 70s.. but almost 80 in Feb... Hope we don't see any +35 departures in August... :ph34r:

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meatwad

meatwad

Posted
Posted
39 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

Thats just incredible when you think about it, especially when its been proceeded by a week of way above normal temperatures. That is to warm, Ive been enjoying the 60s and 70s.. but almost 80 in Feb... Hope we don't see any +35 departures in August... :ph34r:

That would translate to a high of 117 in August.

And 118 in July.

 

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blackngoldrules

blackngoldrules

Posted
Posted

If someone would actually hit 80 tomorrow, that would be absolutely incredible.

Previous discussion...With the front to the north and
southerly winds across the region, the warmest day of the year
so far is expected on Friday, with nearly all locations rising
into the 70s and an isolated 80 degree reading not out of the
question. The current forecast includes record breaking
temperatures at all climate locations and dry conditions.



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Rd9108

Rd9108

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

 

Hopefully cold settles back in for a couple chances at a decent storm before closing out the season completely.

It's looking that way but we all now how this time period we are in now turned out. The difference is theres cold in Canada and good blocking. Regardless I'll enjoy whatever we get. As long as it's not 36 and heavy rain. 

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meatwad

meatwad

Posted
Posted 
986
SXUS71 KPBZ 242220 RRA
RERPIT

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
520 PM FRI EST FEB 24 2017

...RECORD WARMTH FOR PITTSBURGH...

THE HIGH TEMPERATURE AT PITTSBURGH WAS 76 DEGREES. THIS BREAKS THE
RECORD HIGH FOR THE DATE OF 70 FROM 1906.

THE LOW TEMPERATURE WAS 55. THIS BREAKS THE RECORD WARM LOW OF 50
FROM 1930.

THE MEAN TEMPERATURE WAS 66. THIS BREAKS THE RECORD MEAN OF 58 FROM
2000.

THE WARMEST TEMPERATURE EVER RECORDED FOR FEBRUARY IS 77 DEGREES ON
FEBRUARY 8TH 1900.

 

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Mailman

Mailman

Posted
Posted

mcd0208.gif

Mesoscale Discussion 0208
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0749 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

   Areas affected...Portions of Ohio...northern Kentucky...western
   Pennsylvania...and western West Virginia

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 38...

   Valid 250149Z - 250345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 38
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Strong/marginally severe storms are progressing eastward
   across Watch 38 this evening, with locally damaging winds the main
   threat. While downstream watch issuance appears unlikely, convective
   trends will be monitored this evening.

   DISCUSSION...Small clusters/bands of cells, associated with a
   pre-frontal trough, are shifting east across Severe Thunderstorm
   Watch 38 this evening. Occasional bowing segments and a few elevated
   cores have been noted across Ohio and Kentucky this evening, and a
   deep layer of enhanced southwesterly flow aloft should maintain some
   threat for a few stronger wind gusts. However, nocturnal cooling,
   combined with surface dew points in the upper 40s downstream, will
   most likely favor a downward trend in the intensity of this broken
   line. Nonetheless, as stronger forcing for ascent overspreads this
   corridor from the west, enough erosion of convective inhibition may
   occur to maintain a few stronger cells east of the ongoing watch.
   Therefore, while probability of downstream watch issuance is less
   than 40%, convective trends will continue to be monitored.

   ..Picca.. 02/25/2017
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blackngoldrules

blackngoldrules

Posted
Posted
The mean temp of 66 yesterday, is the normal mean temperature for June 5th. Very impressive warmth. 

Of course it's too early to say, but this could be the first time since 1954 that February would have a higher mean temp than March.  Especially if the colder March forecast verifies.

 


I see a lot of trees budding early from all of that recent warmth.

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meatwad

meatwad

Posted
Posted

ainsVdQ.gif

   SPC AC 280700

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0100 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF
   MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA NORTHEASTWARD INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY AND THE
   UPPER OHIO VALLEY...

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER
   MISSISSIPPI VALLEY NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND WESTERN
   CAROLINAS AND NORTHWARD INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND INTO NEW
   JERSEY AND PENNSYLVANIA...

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDING THE
   SLIGHT RISK...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible from the lower
   Mississippi Valley northeastward across the Tennessee Valley and
   southern Appalachians, and northward into parts of the Mid-Atlantic
   states and into portions of the Northeast.  Damaging winds are
   forecast to be the predominant severe hazard.

   ...Synopsis...
   A large-scale mid-level trough axis over the central states will
   move eastward into the lower Great Lakes/Mid-Atlantic states.  A
   100+ kt 500-mb speed max will translate generally eastward from the
   OH Valley through New England and the Mid-Atlantic region during the
   period.  In the low levels, a surface low is forecast to develop
   northeastward from near Detroit to northern parts of New England
   Wednesday night as a warm front advances northward across much of
   the northeastern U.S.  A cold front initially over the OH Valley
   extending south-southwestward into the lower MS Valley will sweep
   eastward across much of the eastern U.S. by early Thursday morning. 

   ...northern parts of AL/MS northeastward into the central
   Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic states...
   A squall line will likely be ongoing Wednesday morning across the OH
   Valley with some possible breaks and lower storm coverage farther
   south into the lower MS Valley.  A risk for damaging winds will
   accompany the convective line as a plume of low-level moisture
   --featuring surface dewpoints ranging from around 60 degrees F at
   the OH River to the middle 60s in MS/AL-- contributes to 500-1000
   J/kg MUCAPE ahead of the cold front. Although some slight timing
   differences still exist in the models, favoring a timing solution
   similar to the ECMWF/CMC.  

   A strong deep-layer wind field of southwesterly flow from 50-60 kt
   at 850 mb and increasing with height to 70-100 kt in the midlevels,
   will aid in the potential risk for widespread wind damage associated
   with a squall line and other linearly organized storm clusters. 
   Some tornado risk may develop as well with mature linear bands
   (short-lived QLCS variety) or where greater destabilization occurs. 
   Uncertainty remains regarding destabilization to the east of the
   mountains in the Mid-Atlantic region.  Will defer adding higher
   severe probabilities for this area for the time being.  

   The activity will push east of the Appalachians by early evening and
   encounter gradually decreasing buoyancy in part due to the loss of
   heating and deeper inland mixing from southern GA northeastward
   along the Carolina coastal plain.  As a result, there will likely be
   a corresponding decrease in the potential for damaging winds farther
   south in parts of the Southeast.

   ...northern PA into NY and southern New England...
   Strong low-level moisture/warm-air-advection into this area will
   lead to weak destabilization ahead of the cold front.  Models vary
   on the degree of destabilization leading to uncertainty regarding
   coverage of strong/severe storms.  Very strong low- to
   mid-tropospheric flow coupled with several hundred SBCAPE may result
   in some of the stronger storms or a convective line to potentially
   be capable of a risk for primarily damaging winds.

   ..Smith.. 02/28/2017

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
   CURRENT UTC TIME: 1408Z (9:08AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
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