colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Looks like 2-5 for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Heh. I'm hopeful, yet not very optimistic, that the Nam verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Like Colonel said, SREF is looking better with each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 NAM-Parallel is pretty solid for down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 11 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Like Colonel said, SREF is looking better with each run. I hate the SREF. Everytime the mean is always so high because of extreme outliers and it gets us excited for nothing. Hopefully the gfs shows an improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Wow RGEM.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 21 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: I hate the SREF. Everytime the mean is always so high because of extreme outliers and it gets us excited for nothing. Hopefully the gfs shows an improvement. You are right. It is usually off and gets me excited over nothing.However, i like the trend it is taking. Each run the total is increasing. Good signs for us. Even if its off, it is still giving me hope right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Wow RGEM.. OK now that's a little more encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Another look.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 9 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Another look.. You're saying your a chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Hi Res RGEM 20-25 mm for parts of area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 WTF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, colonel717 said: WTF... Big difference in when those graphics were made. WPC giving us 30-40% chance of seeing 4+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 However, I just looked for myself and saw the most recent "most likely", its in the boat. Most Likely 1-2 with 2-3 north and west? That can't be right can it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Its weird. On the site it shows 8:51 pm. When I link it, it shows 2:54AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, colonel717 said: Its weird. On the site it shows 8:51 pm. When I link it, it shows 2:54AM Just changed. Still weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 8, 2017 Author Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, colonel717 said: That doesn't look right. Should be this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 German looks like 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 NWS isn't buying any of it...... Tonight A chance of showers, mainly before 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Southwest wind 13 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Wednesday A chance of rain, mainly after 2pm. Cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 39 by 5pm. West wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Wednesday Night Rain and snow likely, becoming all snow after 8pm. Cloudy, with a low around 25. Northwest wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Thursday A chance of snow showers, mainly before 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 28. Northwest wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14. West wind 9 to 13 mph. Friday A slight chance of snow showers after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Friday Night A chance of rain and snow showers before 2am, then a chance of rain showers between 2am and 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday A chance of showers after 9am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Night Showers likely, mainly after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 42. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday Showers likely, mainly before 9am. Cloudy, with a high near 57. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday Night Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday Partly sunny, with a high near 43. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Tuesday Partly sunny, with a high near 41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 8, 2017 Author Share Posted February 8, 2017 16 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Next week Also next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 hour ago, north pgh said: Also next week. It's the same storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Not sure what was going on with all those NWS snow maps last night, but this looks better: Which seems to match up well with Euro and GFS Now we see what 12z models do, then we can start getting into nowcast time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Not sure why when I post maps they are showing up different from what I am copying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 All you can do is just laugh at maps like this. Typical for us.Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 44 minutes ago, blackngoldrules said: All you can do is just laugh at maps like this. Typical for us. Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk Well, it would not surprise me if that is what happens. My expectation is for an inch. My hope is for at least 3.5in since that would be biggest of the winter for MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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