RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 hour ago, Ryd10 said: The low for Sunday and Monday has trended worse and worse. Could this be just the models losing the storm and it comes back after the midrange crisis or is this just going to keep trending bad. The 18z GFS looked plain weird with the low forming north of us over Lake Huron then bombing it out over Nova Scotia. I'd throw it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Not looking like much of anything on NAM. A brief snow shower in the morning thats about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Not looking like much of anything on NAM. A brief snow shower in the morning thats about it. Yikes and it's gone just like our winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Well this thing tomorrow is dead. Even short range models show an inch if we are lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 31, 2017 Author Share Posted January 31, 2017 34 minutes ago, Ryd10 said: Well this thing tomorrow is dead. Even short range models show an inch if we are lucky. Yep However the CMC has 1-2 for northern Allegheny county but GFS has our Sunday storm weakening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Someone just kill this winter with fire already. Give me a 70 degree torch for March. This is just getting old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Then the gfs is like how about the next storm Naw **** you. Cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Radar is virga. No precipitation reaching the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 I'll go out on a limb and just say this, and it's not because I'm trying to be optimistic. On the contrary, because I friggin' hate snow. Like most western Pennsylvanians though, I'm a pessimist and a contrarian....So....I say (to all you snow lovers), Just take a look at how active the models are for the next 10-15 days, and don't pay attention to the details because you know as well as I do that tracking these systems this time of year is pretty much gonna wind up to nowcasting them. Especially with the up and down air masses. The atmosphere is a chaotic mess for the foreseeable future, and that foreseeable just happens to be the first half of February. Do you guys seriously think that all that moisture blowing through the region over the course of the next two weeks....which happens to be the first two weeks of February.....in western Pennsylvania....isn't gonna net us at least one good thump of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 One final thing before I hit the hay, gfs shows polar vortex comes and visits day 10. Could produce some opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Ryd10 said: One final thing before I hit the hay, gfs shows polar vortex comes and visits day 10. Could produce some opportunity. Yea, more LES. I still say the big threat are the several needle threader monster coastals that the signals are there for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 56 minutes ago, jwilson said: Radar is virga. No precipitation reaching the ground. Reaching the ground up here. Picked up over a half inch from the batch that just moved through and more building to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 I got a coating from the first line that went through. Maybe with what is left moving through Ohio I'll get another coating out of this, but not much more. What's moving through Ohio right now is lighter than the first line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Already cancelled the wwa lol. Just can't get catch a break this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Woke up to a fresh half in of snow this morning and the WAA canceled sitting in the dry slot with temps to the SW getting close to 40 so I'd say this definitely under performed. Looks like the best snow will be I-80 North on this one. Short range models did a pretty good job showing the dryslot though so I'm not totally caught off guard with this one. Despite the fact a fresh half inch fell last night total on the ground is a net loss of about 1 inch from yesterday morning. Just goes to show how quick that high ratio LES just vaporizes \ melts \ compacts. If we do hit upper 30s - 40 today I suspect the rest will be gone when I get home.. Yay... back to sloppy brown mud soup everywhere.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 8 hours ago, north pgh said: Yep However the CMC has 1-2 for northern Allegheny county but GFS has our Sunday storm weakening. Trend seems to be a stronger N/S over the last 24 hours, generally the trend over the last 24-36 hours for the long range pattern have been bad, but with the way things have been flipping one way or another who knows. Seems there are several conflicting themes and depending which one the models key in on drastically alters sensible weather. If we can really get a PV split and time it when the MJO goes into favorable phases 8-1-2 I think we get one more shot at a decent pattern that could yield a big storm somewhere in the east. I'm not yet ready to completely dismiss the Super Bowl storm idea, but its not looking good. The storm after that is currently a wound up cutter. I guess time will tell. I really hope the blocking doesn't kick in for late March and April and we suffer through 3 more months of the cool \ dry then warmish \ wet setup that's seemed to persist for most of winter. Bring on -AO -NAO and a split PV trapped over Hudson Bay for Feb 14th-March21 then torch until May would be my preference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Radar starting to fill in, could be decent rates from Pittsburgh on North if that holds together and is all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 13 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Went to bed last night with locals having coverage from penn dot stations, telling me how bad the commute will be, and talking about WWA. Woke up to nothing. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 33 minutes ago, Ryd10 said: Wow. I hope that verifies. I have given up on this winter and now am rooting for torch and end of winter. Gosh I must be getting old... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 31, 2017 Author Share Posted January 31, 2017 Been under a band on route 8 near the pa turnpike. Started snowing at 8:15 and picked up a solid inch in the last hour. Have to drive off to ford city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 19 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Wow. I hope that verifies. I have given up on this winter and now am rooting for torch and end of winter. Gosh I must be getting old... The thing about the this is right after the polar vortex tries to invade. So it goes from 70 to 20s in 24 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 40 minutes ago, north pgh said: Been under a band on route 8 near the pa turnpike. Started snowing at 8:15 and picked up a solid inch in the last hour. Have to drive off to ford city. Just looking at the radar loop it looks like at home I was under that decent band for awhile... to bad I'm at work in Southern AGC so I missed the whole thing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 1 hour ago, psunate1977 said: Went to bed last night with locals having coverage from penn dot stations, telling me how bad the commute will be, and talking about WWA. Woke up to nothing. Lol Yeah literally my commute this morning was way easier than yesterday.. lol Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 1 hour ago, Ryd10 said: That's probably highly dependent on that deep low cutting to the west verifying, but would be interesting to see if any severe weather would occur if we really get a big temp swing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 1 hour ago, colonel717 said: Wow. I hope that verifies. I have given up on this winter and now am rooting for torch and end of winter. Gosh I must be getting old... Where is that from? Just bought a new jeep. Would love to take the top off for a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 9 minutes ago, psunate1977 said: Where is that from? Just bought a new jeep. Would love to take the top off for a day. 9 minutes ago, psunate1977 said: Where is that from? Just bought a new jeep. Would love to take the top off for a day. Wxbell euro 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 We only get to the 60's on GFS. Brrrrr... Canadian gets in 50's a day earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Pretty soon the weekend low is just gonna show as plain rain. 2 more days of wxbell and then our luck changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.