RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Snow picked up here again, under a narrow hand of more moderate snow. Big fluffy flakes floating down, looks awesome out there, like a snow globe. Eyeballing somewhere between 1-2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 NAM at the rate its going may get snow into WPa... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 The fact that the models are starting to move northwest is only upsetting me. Just getting closer to only miss us. Not to mention giving the east coast a another decent storm. Forgive me for being a little jealous. I'm ready for a thumper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 14 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: The fact that the models are starting to move northwest is only upsetting me. Just getting closer to only miss us. Not to mention giving the east coast a another decent storm. Forgive me for being a little jealous. I'm ready for a thumper. Like I said we are due. We haven't had a good storm in 6 or 7 years now. Eventually something has to work out for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Ended up with about 1.75, not bad and only needed a broom for cleanup! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 12 hours ago, MikeB_01 said: The fact that the models are starting to move northwest is only upsetting me. Just getting closer to only miss us. Not to mention giving the east coast a another decent storm. Forgive me for being a little jealous. I'm ready for a thumper. I'll never begrudge anyone for getting a good snow, but it does suck when it seems like we are always in the wrong place for a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 6, 2017 Author Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just shoveled my nearly 2 inches of powder. Looks like the weekend will be frigid and next week will be rainy . Model watching has not been too fun lately but at least I am getting plenty of sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Ended up with about 1.75, not bad and only needed a broom for cleanup! Seems like almost everyone got 1.5"-2.5". That 3.4" report in Penn Hills does make sense, as there was an enhanced area of snow last night, around the Oakmont/Penn Hills border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 hours ago, north pgh said: Just shoveled my nearly 2 inches of powder. Looks like the weekend will be frigid and next week will be rainy . Model watching has not been too fun lately but at least I am getting plenty of sleep. Agreed, I don't think I stayed up more than once so far this winter, its easier to just loop through everything the next morning, if that's even worth it some days.... Maybe we get some front end snow before changing over to rain Tuesday. Late next week also has a semi interesting situation developing, could be a nasty ice storm for somebody with a 1050 high pressing down. Its a pretty low probability thing as it relies on timing of the low with the high pressure, but if the ridge out in the Atlantic is weaker I'd think that would allow the storm to scoot east some and push the snow \ ice \ rain line south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 10 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Agreed, I don't think I stayed up more than once so far this winter, its easier to just loop through everything the next morning, if that's even worth it some days.... Maybe we get some front end snow before changing over to rain Tuesday. Late next week also has a semi interesting situation developing, could be a nasty ice storm for somebody with a 1050 high pressing down. Its a pretty low probability thing as it relies on timing of the low with the high pressure, but if the ridge out in the Atlantic is weaker I'd think that would allow the storm to scoot east some and push the snow \ ice \ rain line south. I am usually up for the GFS run but not once have I went to bed wondering what the EURO would bring as I have in the past. As bad as things have been, since the GFS lang range has been crap, I keep looking at CFS (and hoping) and the most show depth we have at any one time thru 2/7 is 1 inch. We dont even get fantasy snow storms pop up and disappear. I keep looking for positives in the long range from anywhere I can look and don't see anything positive we can hang our hats on. I just hope the Steelers make a long run in the playoffs so at least will have that. And whats up with the Pens 8 day break, had no idea the NHL instituted a long break for each team this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Is it time to panic yet. Every long range just goes to crap as soon as it pops up. Only thing we have going for us it is easier to snow in January/February rather than November/December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 hour ago, Ryd10 said: Is it time to panic yet. Every long range just goes to crap as soon as it pops up. Only thing we have going for us it is easier to snow in January/February rather than November/December. Teleconnections don't look good for much of the remainder of January either. AO, NAO, PNA, EPO, and WPO all forecasting positive right now. Not a good combination for January. Not giving up all hope, but the patterns looks warm right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 31 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Teleconnections don't look good for much of the remainder of January either. AO, NAO, PNA, EPO, and WPO all forecasting positive right now. Not a good combination for January. Not giving up all hope, but the patterns looks warm right now. I agree. Midatlantic may panic more than us but it should be easier for us to score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Agreed, I don't think I stayed up more than once so far this winter, its easier to just loop through everything the next morning, if that's even worth it some days.... Maybe we get some front end snow before changing over to rain Tuesday. Late next week also has a semi interesting situation developing, could be a nasty ice storm for somebody with a 1050 high pressing down. Its a pretty low probability thing as it relies on timing of the low with the high pressure, but if the ridge out in the Atlantic is weaker I'd think that would allow the storm to scoot east some and push the snow \ ice \ rain line south. Might not mean much this far out, but the last 5 GFS runs have trended south with the higher snow amounts. It would be nice for that strong of a HP to work in our favor for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 hours ago, MikeB_01 said: Teleconnections don't look good for much of the remainder of January either. AO, NAO, PNA, EPO, and WPO all forecasting positive right now. Not a good combination for January. Not giving up all hope, but the patterns looks warm right now. It takes until about week 3 on the Euro Weeklies to start to see a meaningful change, and by week 4 we have a +PNA, -EPO, -AO, +NAO which should yield a pattern with some chances, at least better than what we are heading into. Prior to that it looks like we get some shots of +PNA, which could help but we would likely have to luck into something. Hopefully the change keeps moving forward in time and maybe we can salvage early FEB. The storm next week is a long shot, and probably would be a mix of everything but at least for now its something to see how it develops and with the volatitlity of long range models this season who knows how things might look in a couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Well this subforum is gonna be dead for awhile. Forecast for the next week or two consists of Cutters. Enjoy the rain guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 hour ago, Ryd10 said: Well this subforum is gonna be dead for awhile. Forecast for the next week or two consists of Cutters. Enjoy the rain guys. We have chance for snow to ice, to rain Mon night into Tues. Better than nothing... Also will be watching major mid-west ice storm next weekend just in time for hopefully Steelers - KC game. KC looks like could be also decent snow. EURO is showing 3 inches of ice for some places. I'll pass on that and take rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 RYD, what are you seeing regarding Euro next week Quote Quite a change from the op. The mean a little more favorable further south and the control has a heavy band through the MOV and OV....that's just snow though 12z Euro ens (all that matters is it supports the system.) That high strength that far out though 12z EPS CONTROL absolutely destroys the Ohio River with ice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 To bad we don't have even just a touch of -NAO for that storm next weekend, I'd think that would help keep that 1045 -1055 high from getting shoved out of the way as easily. We want a strung out system coming out in pieces, all at once it will cut. Either way if the strength of the high is accurate and a system does try to plow into it somebody is going to get on heck of an ice storm. With that return flow around the high in the Atlantic the gulf will be open for business so it could be a real moisture laden setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Then the low comes back up the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 I think a lot of this is sleet but hopefully interesting times ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Here is the Para Snow map thru next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 8, 2017 Author Share Posted January 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 I had to go and ruin it by posting those maps yesterday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 13 minutes ago, colonel717 said: I had to go and ruin it by posting those maps yesterday... Remember the windshield wiper affect....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, ChalkHillSnowNut said: Remember the windshield wiper affect....... Thanks Bernie... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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