jwilson Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I still think any storm on the weekend will come north of where it is currently projected. That's a persistent trend and how often does Norfolk, VA end up as the bullseye in a snow storm? The question will remain, of course, whether it is anything to write home about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 3, 2017 Author Share Posted January 3, 2017 4 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: I'm starting to think that might be the best shot at something... wave 2 is just to far South to hope for any meaningful change for us. Amazing that we go from cutters to a SC\NC storm. Although nothing is really showing up right now maybe we can score something on the heels of the cold relaxing. Admittedly it looks pretty bleak after our 5-6 day cold shot, but models seem to just perpetuate the existing pattern in the longer ranges so another flip to cold might be sooner than it currently appears. I'm hoping we can get a +PNA at some point. It looks like the small 1st wave is going south as well. It looks like with this pattern our best bet is usually to get a Clipper system come down from the Northwest and give us that overproducing 2-4 inch snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 UKIE closest to the coast. Lots of time yet for big changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I'm really not feeling optimistic about the snow chances for the next seven days at all. Although... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Too bad all this wasted precip today is rain!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 This sniped from NWS Facebook page... if you don't laugh you'll cry "Here I am stuck in the middle with you" Colder temperature and snow shower potential return Wednesday. The better chances for accumulating snow will be north of Interstate 80 on Wednesday, and south of Interstate 70 on Thursday. The Thursday first wave doesn't really have a lot of upside, but if it can end up further North than currently modeled it can't hurt. Hopefully we all have at least an inch or 2 on the ground for our 4-5 day cold stretch. After that it looks like heights really start pumping in the east again from the 11th on with a PAC flow into western Canada. Only slight glimpse of hope is that towards the end of the run maybe the signs of a +PNA, but who knows. I'll live with another warm stretch if we can get another cold shot and maybe a chance at another storm before Jan ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 4 hours ago, jwilson said: I still think any storm on the weekend will come north of where it is currently projected. That's a persistent trend and how often does Norfolk, VA end up as the bullseye in a snow storm? The question will remain, of course, whether it is anything to write home about. Hampton roads has been in or close to the bulls eye several times in the past few years. It is true that they very rarely get double digits, but its not in a bad place to cash in on southern stream sliders. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Unless that HP moves, this one is cooked for us. I'd rather this stay as far south as possible. Nothing worse than seeing bands disspate as they get close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 NAM a little more amped with the Thursday-->Friday wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 4, 2017 Author Share Posted January 4, 2017 25 minutes ago, Mailman said: NAM a little more amped with the Thursday-->Friday wave. NAM says 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, north pgh said: NAM says 1-2. I guess we can settle for that until our next threat window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 51 minutes ago, north pgh said: NAM says 1-2. And being that it's the NAM, about a coating to a half inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 0z GFS and NAM have both had a small jump in totals from 18z. Hope it continues! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 2 hours ago, Mailman said: Lets get those 3-4 inch totals up to AGC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Our storm is only 600 hours away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 4 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Seems like there have been some marginal improvements with this. Seems reasonable to expect 1-2, if it continues maybe a widespread 3. It's a shame this winter has everyone crawling around begging for scraps but you take what you can get. Should make for a wintry feel to the weekend anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 8 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Seems like there have been some marginal improvements with this. Seems reasonable to expect 1-2, if it continues maybe a widespread 3. It's a shame this winter has everyone crawling around begging for scraps but you take what you can get. Should make for a wintry feel to the weekend anyways. I think we will see more improvement as we get closer. My concern though for 1st wave is RGEM is very dry. Gotta watch that low on the coast for the 1st wave and hopefully keep it closer and slightly stronger. We are always begging for scraps. Hoping for over performer adding another inch or 2 to totals... Always have to take what we can get until our storm comes 600 hours away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Too lazy to look it up but what's our total for the season. I'd have to guess 8-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Some front end snow Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 hour ago, Ryd10 said: Too lazy to look it up but what's our total for the season. I'd have to guess 8-10. I usually check the NWS PDF, but doesn't look like its been updated with DEC yet: www.weather.gov/media/pbz/records/hissnow.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 hour ago, Ryd10 said: Too lazy to look it up but what's our total for the season. I'd have to guess 8-10. http://w2.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=pbz the daily climate report keeps a running tally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 13 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said: http://w2.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=pbz So even though this winter has sucked, it looks like we are right where we should be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 4, 2017 Author Share Posted January 4, 2017 Getting excited for tomorrow. Should I grab the shovel or the broom? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 23 minutes ago, north pgh said: Getting excited for tomorrow. Should I grab the shovel or the broom? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 hour ago, Ryd10 said: So even though this winter has sucked, it looks like we are right where we should be. Yeah, if we manage to pull 2-3 out of this upcoming thing we are pretty much average.. I think all the negativity is a combination of post holiday depression and watching the deep south get a bigger snow storm than us to this point, then sprinkle on the fact that after the little cold spell things don't look conducive for more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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