MikeB_01 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Our system reappeared on the 18z GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 hours ago, blackngoldrules said: We got lucky around here in the 90s. Don't forget December of 1992, The Blizzard of 93, and a lot of us got in on the Blizzard of 96. Oh yeah, 1992/93 - 1995/96 was a mini golden age for the metro. Officially 12/92 was 9.8" and 01/96 was 9.6", so I didn't include them. But like you said, most of us was were closer to a foot with both storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 6 hours ago, Ryd10 said: That was sarcasm. Go to the mid Atlantic thread you'd think the world is ending. 0z GFS should cheer them up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, Mailman said: 0z GFS should cheer them up a bit. Never want to be in the bullseye 6 days out. We've learned that the hard way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Just now, Ryd10 said: Never want to be in the bullseye 6 days out. We've learned that the hard way. Yeah.. maybe we're in a good spot right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 minute ago, Mailman said: Yeah.. maybe we're in a good spot right now. Nah it will become a lakes cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 It looks similar to the big east coast storm last year. Still time for more changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 The GFS 500mb vort map has advertised energy coming into Oregon around Thursday for a few runs now. It will be interesting if the data forecast verifies for sampling, and just how strong that energy is once it reaches the midwest. A 500 vort closing too soon could force a low to cut west, however too weak a vort, and not much develops. it's a balancing act. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 I renewed the Euro for another month. Peak climo is upon us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Not much to like with the 12z. Looks like complete shut out on gfs for whole run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 6 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Not much to like with the 12z. Looks like complete shut out on gfs for whole run. Patience. We will get our 2 inch slop storm. Give it time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 7 minutes ago, Ryd10 said: I renewed the Euro for another month. Peak climo is upon us. GFS seems to be on its own with that solution. Guessing it ends up further up the coast more similar to 0z run in the end if a big storm occurs. We'll end up typically fringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 The encouraging thing right now is that the energy is there and has been there for a few runs now. Lets hope the trough doesn't dig quite so deep and brings that energy a little further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 GEFS at least looks better. Some decent hits and than others close to hits and than some whiffs. Baby steps, baby steps. I've been fooled 2 days out. Won't happen again until the short range models show a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 6 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Euro is a disaster but the GEFS is better than the 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Now this is getting depressing.. Looking at the CFS, we get no more than snow showers the whole month of January. Basically no snow in midwest and eastern US except the lower mid-Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 11 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Now this is getting depressing.. Looking at the CFS, we get no more than snow showers the whole month of January. Basically no snow in midwest and eastern US except the lower mid-Atlantic Throw it in the garbage. That's all the CFS is usual for. These models can't even predict something a week a way let alone a whole month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 hour ago, Ryd10 said: Throw it in the garbage. That's all the CFS is usual for. These models can't even predict something a week a way let alone a whole month. I agree. I don't trust anything anymore that's more than 4 or 5 days away. That same map will probably show something totally different in a day or two....just like the long range GFS likes to show us fantasy storms more than a week out that rarely come to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 hour ago, Ryd10 said: Throw it in the garbage. That's all the CFS is usual for. These models can't even predict something a week a way let alone a whole month. It may be garbage but the G F S 12z also is a snow shutout through the whole run. Point is at this point not looking good for snow this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 37 minutes ago, colonel717 said: It may be garbage but the G F S 12z also is a snow shutout through the whole run. Point is at this point not looking good for snow this month. Haha yeah starting to regret my subscription for wxbell. Just doesn't feel like it's gonna snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 18z GEFS is even worse. Let's see what the 0z holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 hours ago, Ryd10 said: 18z GEFS is even worse. Let's see what the 0z holds. NAM showing stronger 1st wave. Gives us couple inches Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 The trend south continues... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Pretty nice little snow for the outer banks if this plays out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 5 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: The trend south continues... Need to hope for strengthening of first wave now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Whens the last time we have been shut out for January. I don't count snow showers as actual snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Canadian has a lot of southern folks smiling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 9 hours ago, colonel717 said: NAM showing stronger 1st wave. Gives us couple inches Thursday night. I'm starting to think that might be the best shot at something... wave 2 is just to far South to hope for any meaningful change for us. Amazing that we go from cutters to a SC\NC storm. Although nothing is really showing up right now maybe we can score something on the heels of the cold relaxing. Admittedly it looks pretty bleak after our 5-6 day cold shot, but models seem to just perpetuate the existing pattern in the longer ranges so another flip to cold might be sooner than it currently appears. I'm hoping we can get a +PNA at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Looks like NC and SC is gonna get snow. Still 2 and a half months but this is not good so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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