Rd9108 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Couple waves give us this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Ryd, thanks for the Euro maps. CMC on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Based on the "seven-year itch," Pittsburgh should be due for one in 2017. Still too earlier for me to buy in, but it's something to keep an eye on for now. Whether the pattern changes long-term or it just shifts briefly and we hit the window right also remains to be seen. Obviously the trend has been for these to go North without stopping until the day of, so current position may be less than favorable since we're still in fantasy land. Both the GFS and Euro having it this early makes things a tad more interesting. They've had success with these types of systems long-range in the past. Wouldn't surprise me to see the storm disappear for a few runs, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Up to 5 inches so far here in Chalk Hill....too bad all will be gone Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 That's for the overrunning That's the bigger wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 37 minutes ago, jwilson said: Based on the "seven-year itch," Pittsburgh should be due for one in 2017. Still too earlier for me to buy in, but it's something to keep an eye on for now. Whether the pattern changes long-term or it just shifts briefly and we hit the window right also remains to be seen. Obviously the trend has been for these to go North without stopping until the day of, so current position may be less than favorable since we're still in fantasy land. Both the GFS and Euro having it this early makes things a tad more interesting. They've had success with these types of systems long-range in the past. Wouldn't surprise me to see the storm disappear for a few runs, though. Did we skew the numbers though because of last year's storm that missed pittsburgh by 50 or so miles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 21 minutes ago, ChalkHillSnowNut said: Up to 5 inches so far here in Chalk Hill....too bad all will be gone Monday We ended up with about 2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 http://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/accuweather-experts/cold-and-perhaps-snow-return-to-northeast-late-next-week/2430839568001Pretty good video by Bernie talking about different possibilities for next week. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 2.5" here. Glad we have something to watch for next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 2 hours ago, Ryd10 said: Did we skew the numbers though because of last year's storm that missed pittsburgh by 50 or so miles? That's a good question and something I wondered myself, but I'd say that one doesn't quite count since it did miss in the end. I think it's been a while since we've had an "all of PA" type storm so I'm going to propose that we're due for one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 2 hours ago, MikeB_01 said: http://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/accuweather-experts/cold-and-perhaps-snow-return-to-northeast-late-next-week/2430839568001 Pretty good video by Bernie talking about different possibilities for next week. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk The link takes me to this forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 1 minute ago, 2001kx said: The link takes me to this forum? http://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/accuweather-experts/cold-and-perhaps-snow-return-to-northeast-late-next-week/2430839568001 Sorry about the mix up. Try this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 This is my nightmare. Good for our southern members but man was that a dagger for anyone north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 36 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: http://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/accuweather-experts/cold-and-perhaps-snow-return-to-northeast-late-next-week/2430839568001 Sorry about the mix up. Try this one... That worked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 Final post before I head out. Next 15 days look promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 14 hours ago, MikeB_01 said: http://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/accuweather-experts/cold-and-perhaps-snow-return-to-northeast-late-next-week/2430839568001 Pretty good video by Bernie talking about different possibilities for next week. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk The Weather Channel eluded to this in their Friday morning long range winter discussion. Based on the pattern, if the cold air locked in, the storm track would potentially be from north TX to WV. Southern PA would be in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 Bahahahahaha the storm just disappeared on most guidance. Suppression city and sheared out messes. Still a long way out, I'm sure changes will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 5 hours ago, Ryd10 said: Bahahahahaha the storm just disappeared on most guidance. Suppression city and sheared out messes. Still a long way out, I'm sure changes will happen. Perfectly illustrates the folly of putting to much into a day 10 storm, but given everyone in the East has really been devoid of any good tracking can't blame people for jumping on a bit to early. That being said, it wouldn't be the first time a 10 day threat disappeared from the models for 2-3 days before reappearing in the 3-4 day range. Especially given that the seasonal trend has been for less of a cold push and storms ending up further North. It would be a cruel joke from Ol Ma Nature if we go from warm west cutters to suppressed congrats Myrtle Beach, but gotta roll with the punches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 19 hours ago, Ryd10 said: This is my nightmare. Good for our southern members but man was that a dagger for anyone north. That storm was brutal watching the radar, kept seeing the 35+ dbz returns dissipating away as they moved North. Missed a good snowstorm by about 40 miles in my back yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/30/2016 at 2:59 PM, jwilson said: ...Wouldn't surprise me to see the storm disappear for a few runs, though. Right on cue! Seriously, it's not much to be concerned about right now. These things happen. Models have an extremely low verification rate outside of five days. Even three and four days are a struggle at times. Best bet is watching the overall pattern and see how it evolves and use that information to gauge a threat. Individual runs, especially at this range, are just silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Winters over. Everytime the pattern looks promising it breaks down and isn't as good as advertised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 1, 2017 Author Share Posted January 1, 2017 I am holding out hope that we get a big storm soon. I am fine without the bitter cold but will take a foot of snow in one storm vs 10 1 inch events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 24 minutes ago, north pgh said: I am holding out hope that we get a big storm soon. I am fine without the bitter cold but will take a foot of snow in one storm vs 10 1 inch events. What is the last storm Pittsburgh metro picked up a solid 12 in? 2010? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Declaring winter as over on January 1st? Oh lord. I've always felt like, climatologically, our winters don't even start til January 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 28 minutes ago, Mailman said: Declaring winter as over on January 1st? Oh lord. I've always felt like, climatologically, our winters don't even start til January 1st. That was sarcasm. Go to the mid Atlantic thread you'd think the world is ending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 53 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: What is the last storm Pittsburgh metro picked up a solid 12 in? 2010? Yep, 2/5/2010. Before that... 2/16/2003 and 1/4/1994. Climos a b****. Lol 2 minutes ago, Ryd10 said: That was sarcasm. Go to the mid Atlantic thread you'd think the world is ending. Yeah, they're an interesting bunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Give up on winter, come on... We have massive snow showers on Wed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 48 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said: Yep, 2/5/2010. Before that... 2/16/2003 and 1/4/1994. Climos a b****. Lol Yeah, they're an interesting bunch. We got lucky around here in the 90s. Don't forget December of 1992, The Blizzard of 93, and a lot of us got in on the Blizzard of 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Since 2010 have we had a 8-10 type storm. I remember one back in March one year but I don't think it was that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Nothing like January 1978, two 12"+ storms in the same week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.