colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 2:44 AM, Ryd10 said: NAM sorry Agh County but you're too far West. Enjoy looking at the radar guys. This one doesn't look good for us at all. Expand Both 4k and 12k look good. This one isn't close to being locked in yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 1:02 AM, psunate1977 said: Isn't this weekend suppose to be in the 50's? So even if it was a bigger storm, it melt anyways. I like snow, but overall as we move along in Feb and March sucks with the melting. Expand See, we're starting to get to the time of year where I don't mind snow as much for that very reason. It usually snows more often here in February and early March than any other time of year. I don't care if it melts quickly, because it's replaced by another storm within a few days. That way the disgusting western PA grime doesn't have a chance to pollute the clean white look of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 2:58 AM, colonel717 said: Both 4k and 12k look good. This one isn't close to being locked in yet. Expand Why does the 4k look so different than the 12k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Gfs doesn't like this storm. Weak and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 From MA forum, looks all to familiar with SWPA being divided by the haves and have nots. We need it to get going a little sooner and maybe track a little further North. If that manages to happen we could find ourselves in line for 3-4 inches. Given this setup will be heavly dependent on a wave developing along the cold front and placement of said front it may be until 12z tomorrow until you can make a confident call on way or the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Based on all the guidance, and without a closed H5 low, right now 2-4" for Pgh would be a win. Although any semblance of an inverted trough would help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Going negative over Mississippi Valley? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 1:38 PM, CoraopolisWx said: Based on all the guidance, and without a closed H5 low, right now 2-4" for Pgh would be a win. Although any semblance of an inverted trough would help. Expand I think 6 would be the absolute most from this. Our east PA friends look to be good for a moderate-heavy event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 2:27 PM, colonel717 said: Going negative over Mississippi Valley? Expand Not seeing that, looks positively tilted to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 2:53 PM, RitualOfTheTrout said: Not seeing that, looks positively tilted to me... Expand Yea, I was thinking it may. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3K NAM a screw job.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:05 PM, colonel717 said: 3K NAM a screw job.... Expand I'm just gonna keep my mouth shut until the storm is actually here but remember where we live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 RGEM is south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:20 PM, colonel717 said: RGEM is south Expand It was south to begin with. Look like a small tick north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 GFS looking better.. Well maybe not.. inch or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:43 PM, colonel717 said: GFS looking better.. Well maybe not.. inch or 2 Expand Yeah I'd say 1-3 inches. Not sure how much upside this can have for us. Doesn't really deepen and start pumping precip on the NW side until its east of us. New England gets a nice storm though... they steal our super bowls and our snow! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:57 PM, RitualOfTheTrout said: Yeah I'd say 1-3 inches. Not sure how much upside this can have for us. Doesn't really deepen and start pumping precip on the NW side until its east of us. New England gets a nice storm though... they steal our super bowls and our snow! lol Expand There are 5 inch per hour rates showing up on GFS for EPa up to NYC and we are hoping to get more than an inch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 4:01 PM, colonel717 said: There are 5 inch per hour rates showing up on GFS for EPa up to NYC and we are hoping to get more than an inch... Expand Maybe this satisfies the New England posters enough so that they focus their discussion on reality vs. digging for the coldest models and wishcasting. Eh, probably not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 As usual if any snow will be overnight. I hate these snows because you don't get to see it fall. I just wake up and shovel it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 4:41 PM, north pgh said: As usual if any snow will be overnight. I hate these snows because you don't get to see it fall. I just wake up and shovel it. Expand Why bother with this one? It'll be gone in a day and a half at most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 UKMet throwing us a bone. 4-8 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 5:08 PM, colonel717 said: UKMet throwing us a bone. 4-8 inches Expand Scale is mm right? So .4-.6 qpf for SWPA. Interesting, I'm more intrigued by what the Euro may show as it sometimes is similar to the UK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 5:17 PM, RitualOfTheTrout said: Scale is mm right? So .4-.6 qpf for SWPA. Interesting, I'm more intrigued by what the Euro may show as it sometimes is similar to the UK. Expand Yes. 10mm = .396in up to 20mm = .787in for our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I would be satisfied with a 4-6" event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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