Griteater's Winter Outlook (16-17)
Parameters:
Weak La Nina – I believe this will be an official Weak La Nina via SSTs, though it could be a close call. VP and OLR patterns, and AAM numbers, all support the idea of a weak nina. Although the MEI is in neutral conditions as of the Oct data, 7 of the 9 MEI parameters indicate emerging La Nina conditions.
Nina Base – the Sep-Oc