weatherCCB Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 So much for beneficial rain Not even a 1/4" yet. .17" so far. maybe tonight and tomorrow morning we can cash in. Not optimistic , 55 & drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 had a good batch of orange/yellow dbzs roll through, up to 1.19 at home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 These strong shear / weak instability events rarely perform well here, but they do occasionally work out. So while a repeat of Iowa yesterday is probably unlikely, some wind/weak tornado potential probably does exist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 2 minutes ago, weatherCCB said: maybe tonight and tomorrow morning we can cash in. tonight and tomorrow morning seem like the least likely part of this "event" to cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Anyone take a look at the Parallel 3km NAM on WB? Sounds like it can sniff out CAD better and inversions. Otherwise it's just a new NAM. Sounds like we warm from 50s to Upper 60s tomorrow 10:00am-3:00pm S to N. Main action comes through 7-10pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 6 minutes ago, high risk said: These strong shear / weak instability events rarely perform well here, but they do occasionally work out. So while a repeat of Iowa yesterday is probably unlikely, some wind/weak tornado potential probably does exist. I would def argue its not non-zero, but enough of a risk is there if one wants to believe the NAM soundings for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Couldn't give two sh*ts about thunder or wind. I just want some damn rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 If we get 1100 CAPE I'll pay Yoda 5 dollars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 .15 for me and its over for today. That sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 2 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: If we get 1100 CAPE I'll pay Yoda 5 dollars. Only $5? Its prob our last chance to see any "severe" for the next few months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 0.36" for today. Moves my total over 1" for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 22 minutes ago, yoda said: I would def argue its not non-zero, but enough of a risk is there if one wants to believe the NAM soundings for the area I don't disagree with this, but while that sounding has impressive shear and some cape, it's that tall, skinny cape (due to weak lapse rates) that is tough to work with. It seems that low cape is ok as long as the lapse rates in the low levels are decent, and those soundings don't really show that. But hey, if we can heat up a little more later Wednesday, maybe we can hit the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Decent rain in downtown Balt atmoment. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 8 minutes ago, Stormpc said: .15 for me and its over for today. That sucked. Same here. Disappointing round 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Hazy/Misty with sunshine popping out in Timonium. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Looked like from a glance at radar they cleaned up with heavy precip from Philly on northeast toward NYC. Hope that isn't a winter preview... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 15 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Looked like from a glance at radar they cleaned up with heavy precip from Philly on northeast toward NYC. Hope that isn't a winter preview... It's funny that you mention this because when I was looking at the local radar this morning before leaving for work, it had the look of a Miller B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 11 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: It's funny that you mention this because when I was looking at the local radar this morning before leaving for work, it had the look of a Miller B. Yup, that was what crossed my mind watching the precip shield today...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Raining steady. Heaviest precip so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 2 hours ago, high risk said: tonight and tomorrow morning seem like the least likely part of this "event" to cash in. I'm going to rescind this earlier comment. hi-res guidance now seems pretty confident that a heavy batch of showers will spread from southwest to northeast during the morning rush hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 1.36" imby so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 7 minutes ago, mappy said: 1.36" imby so far today. Impressive! Only about .62" here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 0.03" today. Need rain badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 0.56" in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 18z NAM looks interesting in early afternoon hours... yeah prob reaching here... but 18z WED has decent ML Lapse Rates at least (around 6.5C/KM) and decent 0-6km shear of close to 60kts.. with high 0-3km SRH and 1km SRH... CAPE gets up to around 500 or so with MLCAPE 300-400... I would surmise there could be a spin-up or two in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 0.27" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Had 0.13 at 7 am this morning for the CoCoRaHS report, looks like another 0.55 or so in gauge eyeballing it from window for the day so far. Not enough but better than nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Impressive! Only about .62" here so far.Sign of a good winter to come? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Sunset fog out in full force tonight, Anyone get any better pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted November 30, 2016 Share Posted November 30, 2016 0.33" in Clarksburg. More, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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