uncle W Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 March 2017 could be colder than than February...it would be the first time since 1984 that happened...before that was 1960...two very good 2017 analogs especially this month...1889-90 was one of the warmest winters of the 1800's but March was the coldest month with 17" of snowfall...March 1960 was the coldest month of that winter...only three years had the coldest month in March...1880, 1890, 1960... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, uncle W said: March 2017 could be colder than than February...it would be the first time since 1984 that happened...before that was 1960...two very good 2017 analogs especially this month...1889-90 was one of the warmest winters of the 1800's but March was the coldest month with 17" of snowfall...March 1960 was the coldest month of that winter...only three years had the coldest month in March...1880, 1890, 1960... Wow great stuff as always uncle thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 21 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: That map will not make many happy considering expectations. I've had anywhere from 8 to 38 inches of snow on different models in the last 24 hours. That's when you know it's time to step away. I don't think you have anything to worry about at this point. The EPS crushes us all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 16 minutes ago, uncle W said: March 2017 could be colder than than February...it would be the first time since 1984 that happened...before that was 1960...two very good 2017 analogs especially this month...1889-90 was one of the warmest winters of the 1800's but March was the coldest month with 17" of snowfall...March 1960 was the coldest month of that winter...only three years had the coldest month in March...1880, 1890, 1960... Wow. Thanks Uncle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 GFS next weekend lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: GFS next weekend lol First things first Billy------->but WOW ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 hour ago, uncle W said: March 2017 could be colder than than February...it would be the first time since 1984 that happened...before that was 1960...two very good 2017 analogs especially this month...1889-90 was one of the warmest winters of the 1800's but March was the coldest month with 17" of snowfall...March 1960 was the coldest month of that winter...only three years had the coldest month in March...1880, 1890, 1960... Unc, has NYC ever had a March with more lows of 32 or below than any of the DJF winter months? Dec 16...11 Jan 17...12 Feb 17...12 Mar 17...6 and counting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Enjoy the last 1 pm run of the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 And now people worrying if it's too Far East now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Euro is a punch in the gut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Go weenie suicides! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 23 minutes ago, bluewave said: Unc, has NYC ever had a March with more lows of 32 or below than any of the DJF winter months? Dec 16...11 Jan 17...12 Feb 17...12 Mar 17...6 and counting it looks like 1960 was the last time that happened... year.........Oct...Nov...Dec...Jan...Feb...Mar...Apr...Total min/con...total max/con 2016-17......0.......0.....11.....12.....12......4..............39.....7.......6.....3.... as of 3/6 2015-16......0.......1.......0.....21.....14......7......3......46.....9.....10.....4 2014-15......0.......7.......9.....25.....28.....16......1......86...38.....26.....5 2013-14......0.......9.....19.....24.....21.....19......1......93...16.....33.....7 2012-13......0.......3.......8.....18.....17.....14.......0.....60...11.....15.....6 2011-12......0.......0.....10.....13.....10.......4.......0.....37.....5.......6.....2 2010-11......0.......0.....25.....28.....19.....11.......0.....83...18.....22.....4 2009-10......0.......0.....17.....22.....22.......2.......0.....63...23.....17.....3 2008-09......0.......6.....19.....30.....20.....11.......0.....86...26.....22.....3 2007-08......0.......3.....14.....20.....18.......7.......0.....62...14.......6.....2 2006-07......0.......0.......6.....18.....24.....11.......4.....63...36.....18.....9 2005-06......0.......5.....20.....10.....18.....14.......0.....67...14.......9.....2 2004-05......0.......5.....15.....17.....20.....14.......0.....71...29.....18.....9 2003-04......0.......1.....17.....26.....21.....10.......3.....78...20.....26.....9 2002-03......0.......3.....18.....28.....21.....13.......3.....86...22.....31...12 2001-02......0.......0.......9.....11.....15.......9.......3.....47...12.......3.....2 2000-01......0.......6.....29.....23.....18.....13.......0.....89...22.....20...13 1999-00......0.......1.....10.....22.....18.......4.......1.....56...28.....18.....7 1998-99......0.......0.......8.....20.....13.....11.......0.....52...18.....13.....3 1997-98......0.......8.....10.....13.......9.......9.......0.....49.....4.......3.....2 1996-97......0.......8.......7.....25.....14.....12.......3.....69...14.....11.....3 1995-96......0.......8.....24.....24.....18.....15.......0.....89...15.....30.....9 1994-95......0.......3.....10.....19.....20.......5.......3.....60...14.....11.....5 1993-94......0.......3.....15.....29.....24.....13.......0.....84...26.....31.....5 1992-93......0.......5.....13.....21.....27.....14.......0.....80...22.......7.....3 1991-92......0.......2.....15.....19.....15.....16.......1.....68...14.......9.....2 1990-91......0.......2.....11.....20.....14.......6.......1.....54.....8.......7.....1 1989-90......0.......9.....31.....10.....15.......9.......0.....74...33.....19.....9 1988-89......1.......1.....19.....16.....21.....13.......0.....71...11.....19.....3 1987-88......0.......5.......9.....24.....23.....11.......0.....72...16.....19.....7 1986-87......0.......6.....10.....23.....23.....11.......1.....74...19.....11.....5 1985-86......0.......0.....23.....21.....21.......9.......0.....74...12.....19.....4 1984-85......0.......5.......6.....28.....18.....10.......2.....69...35.....18.....5 1983-84......0.......1.....17.....26.....10.....13.......0.....67...19.....29.....8 1982-83......0.......4.....10.....18.....14.......7.......0.....53...12.....13.....4 1981-82......0.......2.....15.....26.....20.......9.......5.....77...24.....20.....6 1980-81......0.......2.....24.....27.....14.....12.......0.....79...24.....30...11 1979-80......0.......1.....12.....22.....24.....10.......1.....70...31.....19.....5 1978-79......0.......3.....15.....20.....21.......8.......1.....68...22.....26...11 1977-78......0.......4.....15.....27.....27.....13.......1.....87...22.....42...12 1976-77......2.....11.....25.....31.....17.......7.......3.....96...51.....45.....9 1975-76......1.......0.....21.....30.....14.......8.......2.....76...26.....20.....3 1974-75......3.......7.....12.....16.....16.....15.......6.....75...17.......8.....2 1973-74......0.......2.....16.....20.....24.....12.......2.....76...15.....23.....3 1972-73......1.......7.......9.....17.....21.......3.......0.....57.....9.....13.....4 1971-72......0.......5.....12.....18.....23.....16.......4.....78...11.....17.....5 1970-71......0.......4.....21.....29.....12.....12.......0.....78...16.....25.....5 1969-70......2.......5.....24.....30.....21.....14.......1.....97...45.....27.....6 1968-69......0.......1.....22.....22.....21.....15.......1.....82...27.....18.....3 1967-68......0.......9.....14.....24.....26.....13.......1.....87...27.....22.....9 1966-67......0.......2.....22.....19.....25.....16.......3.....86...15.....25.....6 1965-66......1.......3.....10.....22.....21.....10.......0.....67...17.....14.....2 1964-65......0.......4.....18.....28.....19.......9.......1.....79...27.....22.....5 1963-64......0.......0.....22.....16.....25.......9.......3.....75...22.....18.....7 1962-63......0.......4.....22.....23.....25.......8.......0.....82...21.....29.....7 1961-62......0.......5.....20.....24.....22.......7.......0.....78...16.....16.....4 1960-61......0.......3.....26.....27.....14.......8.......0.....78...26.....27...16 1959-60......0.......6.....12.....24.....20.....26.......0.....88...20.....15.....3 1958-59......0.......3.....28.....24.....21.....17.......0.....93...23.....26...10 1957-58......0.......3.......9.....21.....22.......3.......1.....59...17.....20...12 1956-57......0.......7.....12.....26.....19.......9.......0.....73...12.....12.....6 1955-56......0.......8.....26.....25.....16.....17.......0.....92...19.....23.....4 1954-55......0.......1.....17.....28.....17.....14.......0.....77...33.....16.....4 1953-54......0.......1.......9.....26.....10.....13.......3.....62...16.....15.....4 1952-53......0.......2.....12.....19.....16.......9.......0.....58.....8.......2.....1 1951-52......0.....11.....19.....20.....19.....14.......0.....83...19.....13.....3 1950-51......0.......3.....19.....19.....17.......9.......0.....67...18.....12.....3 1949-50......0.......5.....16.....12.....21.....21.......8.....83...18.....12.....3 1948-49......0.......0.....14.....17.....16.....15.......0.....62.....9.......9.....4 1947-48......0.......4.....25.....29.....24.....13.......1.....96...26.....33...10 1946-47......0.......2.....16.....18.....26.....20.......0.....82...18.....12.....5 1945-46......0.......6.....24.....22.....24.......3.......0.....79...18.....24.....9 1944-45......0.......5.....23.....30.....22.......6.......0.....84...36.....25.....5 1943-44......0.......7.....22.....24.....23.....16.......4.....96...16.....17.....3 1942-43......0.......5.....24.....26.....20.....12.......9.....96...13.....29.....5 1941-42......0.......1.....14.....24.....25.......0.......0.....64...16.....19.....6 1940-41......2.......7.....17.....26.....25.....24.......0...101...14.....16.....4 1939-40......0.......6.....16.....28.....22.....23.......4.....99...20.....29.....6 1938-39......0.......6.....19.....21.....15.....17.......2.....80...17.....18.....4 1937-38......0.......4.....18.....24.....18.....11.......2.....77...15.....16.....4 1936-37......2.....13.....15.....14.....22.....19.......0.....85...12.....10.....2 1935-36......0.......3.....21.....23.....25.......7.......1.....80...31.....39...12 1934-35......0.......3.....21.....22.....21.....11.......1.....79...12.....24.....5 1933-34......2.....12.....16.....20.....28.....21.......0.....99...36.....38.....9 1932-33......0.......7.....13.....11.....20.....11.......0.....62...11.....13.....4 1931-32......0.......3.....17.......4.....17.....18.......1.....60...12.......5.....2 1930-31......0.......7.....18.....21.....20.......9.......0.....75...15.....12.....3 1929-30......0.......5.....18.....20.....18.....10.......2.....73...12.....25.....8 1928-29......1.......3.....14.....27.....19.......8.......0.....72...18.....15.....4 1927-28......0.......4.....17.....19.....20.....18.......1.....79...15.....20.....5 1926-27......0.......7.....28.....23.....16.....10.......0.....84...14.....24.....6 1925-26......3.......9.....19.....21.....25.....20.......5...102...11.....27.....4 1924-25......0.......9.....22.....30.....13.......7.......2.....83...32.....22.....2 1923-24......0.......3.....10.....24.....28.....16.......2.....83...29.....17.....4 1922-23......0.......9.....20.....28.....26.....20.......4...107...24.....31.....6 1921-22......0.......4.....23.....28.....19.....12.......1.....87...13.....23.....6 1920-21......0.......5.....19.....21.....21.......4.......1.....71.....9.....10.....2 1919-20......0.......6.....26.....30.....27.....16.......4...109...25.....40.....7 1918-19......0.......3.....16.....17.....19.......9.......4.....68...12.......7.....3 1917-18......1.......7.....29.....31.....19.....12.......2...101...44.....45...10 1916-17......0.......6.....21.....22.....25.....15.......2.....91...20.....26.....6 1915-16......0.......3.....25.....20.....27.....23.......1.....99...47.....37.....6 1914-15......0.......9.....26.....21.....16.....23.......2.....97...25.....23.....7 1913-14......0.......2.....14.....22.....25.....19.......5.....77...38.....26.....7 1912-13......0.......4.....14.....15.....22.......9.......0.....64...15.....16.....6 1911-12......0.......8.....11.....30.....25.....16.......2.....92...26.....39.....8 1910-11......0.......2.....28.....18.....25.....19.......3.....95...18.....31.....5 1909-10......0.......1.....22.....25.....24.....10.......0.....82...19.....26.....6 1908-09......0.......5.....17.....19.....13.....16.......2.....72...10.....11.....2 1907-08......0.......0.......9.....25.....26.....14.......3.....77...22.....18.....4 1906-07......0.......2.....21.....17.....25.....12.......3.....80...17.....28.....5 1905-06......0.......5.....15.....12.....17.....22.......1.....72...15.....10.....2 1904-05......0.......5.....28.....25.....27.....13.......0.....98...30.....40.....8 1903-04......0.....11.....24.....29.....28.....19.......6...117...28.....47.....5 1902-03......0.......0.....20.....23.....19.......4.......2.....68...13.....23.....6 1901-02......0.....10.....15.....29.....24.......6.......0.....84...32.....34.....6 1900-01......0.......3.....16.....22.....28.....14.......0.....83...32.....30.....6 1899-00......0.......2.....15.....24.....22.....26.......5.....94...21.....22.....8 1898-99......0.......7.....17.....23.....20.....14.......6.....87...21.....23.....9 1897-98......0.......5.....16.....16.....13.......4.......5.....59...15.....12.....3 1896-97......0.......2.....19.....22.....18.....12.......2.....75...15.....24.....8 1895-96......0.......3.....17.....26.....22.....24.......5.....97...19.....31.....7 1894-95......0.......9.....12.....26.....27.....25.......3...102...41.....35.....9 1893-94......0.......9.....24.....25.....22.......8.......4.....92...14.....16.....3 1892-93......0.......9.....17.....30.....26.....18.......0...100...38.....41...13 1891-92......0.......6.....10.....26.....18.....21.......2.....83...13.....21.....3 1890-91......0.......7.....26.....21.....16.....15.......6.....92...11.....23.....4..... 1 min in May 1889-90......1.......6.....11.....21.....15.....19.......3.....76...10.....15.....3 1888-89......0.......9.....21.....17.....26.....11.......0.....84...20.....15.....3 1887-88......2.......8.....20.....31.....24.....23.......4...110...45.....44.....7 1886-87......0.......7.....24.....26.....22.....28.......8...115...28.....33.....5 1885-86......0.......6.....23.....25.....21.....15.......1.....91...22.....29...10 1884-85......0.......5.....16.....25.....28.....25.......3...102...34.....38.....8 1883-84......0.......9.....23.....28.....21.....15.......1.....97...16.....35.....6 1882-83......0.....14.....24.....29.....26.....25.......3...121...32.....39.....6 1881-82......0.......7.....13.....22.....19.....15.......4.....80...13.....21.....5 1880-81......0.....13.....27.....31.....24.....15.......6...111...56.....52...15 1879-80......2.....10.....18.....14.....18.....20.......5.....87...11.....12.....2 1878-79......0.......4.....22.....30.....26.....15.......4...101...43.....35.....6 1877-78......0.......8.....18.....22.....19.......7.......0.....74...12.....21.....6 1876-77......1.......2.....29.....29.....12.....18.......2.....93...23.....41.....9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 the curse of storm mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Right or wrong the euro has not been the same since the upgrade for it to change so drastically. It seems the euro if right is only good within a couple of days, no better than the nam which is not designed for long range! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 43 minutes ago, uncle W said: it looks like 1960 was the last time that happened... Thanks,Unc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Still too many posters not following directions in the Storm thread - read this ! STORM MODE : MEMBERS PLEASE READ By stormtracker Members, Due to the high activity with the pending event, AmericanWx is entering in what is called Storm mode. Additional temporary moderators are added and the normal warn and suspend protocols are removed. Moderators will now have the power to automatically remove your posts and or suspend you without warning. Moderators will create ONE thread that you may mix banter and weather in. KEEP ALL BANTER in this thread ONLY. Please see below the new policies/rules that are put into affect under Storm Mode: 1. Cross thread trolling will not be permitted on the weather side. If you are in a region other than your own with the sole purpose of starting trouble, you will be suspended without question. 2. Model threads will be cleared of unrelated discussion, empty "smiley posts", personal attacks, and analysis without any basis. Even the most basic and rudimentary analysis would be appreciated. 3. In model threads, repetitive questions such as “where is it going" "will it hit my house tomorrow at 11:04pm…..” etc will be deleted. 4. Please respect the professionals that post here. They will make forecasts as they are comfortable but continued pestering or badgering of them with "where is the storm going, how are the winds for..?" will result in the quickest exit from this board. We will not be tolerant of abusive or trolling behavior. 5. If you post a forecast, please have some sound reasoning behind it. IMBY forecasts also known as wishcasts will likely end up in OT or deleted. 6. DO NOT link threads that have nothing to do with weather or weather forecasting from any other board. Do not link threads from other boards that contain cross feuding or dealing with personal issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Breene Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 5 hours ago, snywx said: Was about to say the same thing. Snow in March is not a rarity up here. I think people still forget its still winter well for central park 6+ hasn't happened this late in like 20 years, wasn't really thinking about NW of the board though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Breene Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 the curse of storm mode is here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 You people were only supposed to get 10" this whole season. I don't wanna hear complaints about this storm. On 12/11/2016 at 0:56 PM, Wxoutlooksblog said: The pattern now depicted on virtually all of the maps is as bad as I've ever seen it at this time of year. Just terrible. I wish I could change my entries on the seasonal snowfall contests to single digits, 10" at best, for NYC. It really looks terrible and I have difficulty seeing how it changes, it's locked in. I'm looking forward to a wet spring. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 13 minutes ago, Breene said: well for central park 6+ hasn't happened this late in like 20 years, wasn't really thinking about NW of the board though well NYC is an urban area. South shore of Nassau county got up to 8" in April 2003. I actually like early April for snow more than I like March, funnily enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 12 minutes ago, Breene said: the curse of storm mode is here yup. run of the mill storm according to 18z. alot of people including myself are at the edge off cliff jumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Juliancolton said: You people were only supposed to get 10" this whole season. I don't wanna hear complaints about this storm. He didn't take into the account the new pattern of mild winters with one to two days of cold that are enough to get to average or above average snowfall totals. Isotherm's prediction was better, he had the new mild snowy pattern nailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 6 hours ago, uncle W said: March 2017 could be colder than than February...it would be the first time since 1984 that happened...before that was 1960...two very good 2017 analogs especially this month...1889-90 was one of the warmest winters of the 1800's but March was the coldest month with 17" of snowfall...March 1960 was the coldest month of that winter...only three years had the coldest month in March...1880, 1890, 1960... It seems that March is usually the snowiest month in our less snowy winters- this was commonplace in the 50s when March was our snowiest month but winters were mild overall. At the end of February I wondered with how warm it was how much of a chance March had to be colder than it. I actually thought there was more of a chance of that happening than it being snowier than February- but now it looks like both might be possible- and February was a decent snow month with double digit totals for most of us, just like January, another above average month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 27 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: yup. run of the mill storm according to 18z. alot of people including myself are at the edge off cliff jumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 The last few storms we had the northwest trend 72 hours prior to the storm. I think this storm corrects itself a bit northwest and takes just inside the benchmark track. 12-24 inches area wide. Long Island twin forks may mix in my opinion. This will be a dynamic and slow moving system. Central Park gets 16 inches with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 I can't wait until the day when we can create our own custom-tailored VR blizzards, specifying precip rates, winds, flake size, etc. Just program and strap in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 8 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: The last few storms we had the northwest trend 72 hours prior to the storm. I think this storm corrects itself a bit northwest and takes just inside the benchmark track. 12-24 inches area wide. Long Island twin forks may mix in my opinion. This will be a dynamic and slow moving system. Central Park gets 16 inches with this storm. I am going out to the pub.....will drink 2 shots for you. If the 0z runs are favorable.......u got something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Taking bets on when rjay snaps and bans someone who just needed some love. O/U set at 12z Euro run tmrw. Bonus if someone gets him to ban irishrob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 5 hours ago, bluewave said: Unc, has NYC ever had a March with more lows of 32 or below than any of the DJF winter months? Dec 16...11 Jan 17...12 Feb 17...12 Mar 17...6 and counting Well December 2015 had 0 nights of 32F or lower so obviously it has happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 4 hours ago, bluewave said: Thanks,Unc 2015-16 had 7 in March and 0 in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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