Paragon Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, uncle W said: four days... Wow I used to live in Park Slope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 7, 2017 Author Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 hour ago, Hailstorm said: Yes, and the sad thing about this case is that none of them will actually verify for NYC. Wave #1 is on life support; #2 is DoA; and what about our "hail mary" #3? Well, I hate to break it to most members in here; but even Upton is dismissing it as a remote threat for NYC. Take a look at their forecast: Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 38. Monday Night A 50 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Tuesday A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. You can't make this crap up. They have NYC torching/raining/maybe some brief slop upon the onset of this precip, IF this storm ends up even coming close to this area. It's a lose-lose situation for NYC. And look at the GEFS output for Wave #3: Look at that pulsating SE ridge; all of the cold air is bottled up in Michigan. Just a horrific set up for a snow event if you ask me as all of the cold air is receding into Canada. No wonder PB GBI is no longer posting here. Oh stfu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Oh stfu Absolute straight up trolling. Good thing it's in banter. 50% chance of snow at that lead time from upton is a remote threat? And slaves were immigrants too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 7, 2017 Author Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Absolute straight up trolling. Good thing it's in banter. 50% chance of snow at that lead time from upton is a remote threat? And slaves were immigrants too... He's been doing it since I joined amwx and ends up always being wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Absolute straight up trolling. Good thing it's in banter. 50% chance of snow at that lead time from upton is a remote threat? And slaves were immigrants too... Yeah, you know what? I use the 30% threshold for severe wx and I use it for snow and rain events too. If POP is 30% or higher from 3 days out or more, it's a legit threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Really impressive blizzard in Canada today. Now THAT'S a #BLIZZARD! 20th consec. hourly ob w/vis ≤1/4 mi (most of time less); gusts 35+ mph, peak 52; heavy falling and/or blowing snow pic.twitter.com/CtcKRbO8J7 Massive cyclone; central pressure in Canada now down to ~964 millibarspic.twitter.com/8rb1WE1QS0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 hour ago, dmillz25 said: He's been doing it since I joined amwx and ends up always being wrong Only this time I ban him if it snows Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mophstymeo01 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Absolute straight up trolling. Good thing it's in banter. 50% chance of snow at that lead time from upton is a remote threat? And slaves were immigrants too...Made me actually lol.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Wave 1 is our best opportunity for snow. Wave 2 will likely be crushed to our south. Wave 3 holds the most potential for a major storm for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: Wave 1 is our best opportunity for snow. Wave 2 will likely be crushed to our south. Wave 3 holds the most potential for a major storm for our area. NAM shifted the precip shield further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 7 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: That locomotive is in New Windsor technically but the cars could very well be in Newburgh, the boundary is the creek. Yeah those stretch a good ways. Cars are prob back to gullies maybe further Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 8, 2017 Author Share Posted March 8, 2017 Lmao poor Jets fans. Giants just signed Brandon Marshall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 18 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Lmao poor Jets fans. Giants just signed Brandon Marshall First they "stole" DRC from right under the Jets noses, then they got Snacks and now this lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 15 hours ago, bluewave said: Really impressive blizzard in Canada today. Now THAT'S a #BLIZZARD! 20th consec. hourly ob w/vis ≤1/4 mi (most of time less); gusts 35+ mph, peak 52; heavy falling and/or blowing snow pic.twitter.com/CtcKRbO8J7 Massive cyclone; central pressure in Canada now down to ~964 millibarspic.twitter.com/8rb1WE1QS0 Wow what location reported a blizzard for 20 hours? Is this linked to that -66 low temp you reported? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 I found this in a 1968 DAILY NEWS ALMANAC for CPK I use to get delivered by mail for about 20 cents each year from '61-'73 or so. J.Henry Weber, Meteorologist was the editor. The 30 Year Normals caught my eye. I guess they were for 1936-65. Dec. 35.9. 37.5. or +1.6 Jan. 33.2. 32.6 -0.6! Feb. 33.4. 35.3 +1.9 Mar. 40.5. 42.5. +2.0 Any comments, especially on how Jan. could have countered the upward trend. BTW. The back page featured a summary of the Blizzard of '88, then on its 80th. Birthday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 23 minutes ago, CIK62 said: I found this in a 1968 DAILY NEWS ALMANAC for CPK I use to get delivered by mail for about 20 cents each year from '61-'73 or so. J.Henry Weber, Meteorologist was the editor. The 30 Year Normals caught my eye. I guess they were for 1936-65. Dec. 35.9. 37.5. or +1.6 Jan. 33.2. 32.6 -0.6! Feb. 33.4. 35.3 +1.9 Mar. 40.5. 42.5. +2.5 Any comments, especially on how Jan. could have countered the upward trend. BTW. The back page featured a summary of the Blizzard of '88, then on its 80th. Birthday! I think those are the 1931-60 Normals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 42 minutes ago, Paragon said: Wow what location reported a blizzard for 20 hours? Is this linked to that -66 low temp you reported? Found it! Brandon (CYBR) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Serious modelology going on again!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 hours ago, Paragon said: Wow what location reported a blizzard for 20 hours? Is this linked to that -66 low temp you reported? Yeah, it's part of the same pattern that produced the record cold in Arctic Canada. http://ak-wx.blogspot.com/2017/03/record-cold-in-arctic-canada.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 hours ago, CIK62 said: I found this in a 1968 DAILY NEWS ALMANAC for CPK I use to get delivered by mail for about 20 cents each year from '61-'73 or so. J.Henry Weber, Meteorologist was the editor. The 30 Year Normals caught my eye. I guess they were for 1936-65. Dec. 35.9. 37.5. or +1.6 Jan. 33.2. 32.6 -0.6! Feb. 33.4. 35.3 +1.9 Mar. 40.5. 42.5. +2.5 Any comments, especially on how Jan. could have countered the upward trend. BTW. The back page featured a summary of the Blizzard of '88, then on its 80th. Birthday! I got the same almanacs but they are worn out and in pieces...Since 1968 which had a cold January there were many other cold January's...1977 for an example....I have Mr. G's early 1980's almanac and it was predicting another ice age was coming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 The average March temperature was 36.7 the first 30 years of record and now it's close to 43.0 over the last 30 years... decade....temp... 1870's.....37.0.... 1880's.....35.4.... 1890's.....37.6.... 1900's.....39.8.... 1910's.....39.1.... 1920's.....41.2.... 1930's.....40.2.... 1940's.....41.6.... 1950's.....40.5.... 1960's.....40.8.... 1970's.....42.4.... 1980's.....42.8... 1990's.....42.4.... 2000's.....42.7.... 2010's.....43.7....2010-16 1870- 2009 ......40.3.... 1980- 2009.......42.6.... ....................................................................................................................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Weird story from the LB West End of a poorly build new house leaning over toward a neighbors house in the recent strong winds. The houses down there are right on top of each other with no land. Hope they get this taken care of ASAP for the woman living in the house next door. http://newyork.cbslocal.com/2017/03/07/long-beach-leaning-house/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 3 hours ago, bluewave said: Weird story from the LB West End of a poorly build new house leaning over toward a neighbors house in the recent strong winds. The houses down there are right on top of each other with no land. Hope they get this taken care of ASAP for the woman living in the house next door. http://newyork.cbslocal.com/2017/03/07/long-beach-leaning-house/ Don't know how they let them build soo close to one another,if there ever was a fire down there when it's windy lookout. My friends house is the same way can almost touch his neighbors out his window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 15 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Don't know how they let them build soo close to one another,if there ever was a fire down there when it's windy lookout. My friends house is the same way can almost touch his neighbors out his window That's what happened in Breezy Point during Sandy. Happened in Long Beach too in the east end to a lesser extend. House that a friend of mine used to live in burned down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 hour ago, tdp146 said: That's what happened in Breezy Point during Sandy. Happened in Long Beach too in the east end to a lesser extend. House that a friend of mine used to live in burned down. Right down the block from my old place in the canals. Amazing it did not spread but the houses there are further apart then the west end and breezy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Would love to see you, bluewave, don s, forky, isotherm post more in the model/storm threads you offer a wealth of info. Bx too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 19 minutes ago, swamplover56 said: Would love to see you, bluewave, don s, forky, isotherm post more in the model/storm threads you offer a wealth of info. Bx too Thank you but they are in their own league. Lol @ the second bolded!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Rjay said: Thank you but they are in their own league. Lol @ the second bolded!! Yo..what time is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/7/2017 at 1:19 PM, IrishRob17 said: Everyone do a shot when you read the word "verbatim" Just read my first one for the day, bottoms up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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