Rjay Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 11 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Having stitches suck smh. Can't work due to them so I'll be missing out the next few days What happened? Feel better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 2, 2017 Author Share Posted January 2, 2017 9 minutes ago, Rjay said: What happened? Feel better. Using a grinder, it jerked and cut my thumb pretty deep. 2 stitches in the inside and 3 in the outside. Can't work if it's a struggle to even hold my phone. And thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Using a grinder, it jerked and cut my thumb pretty deep. 2 stitches in the inside and 3 in the outside. Can't work if it's a struggle to even hold my phone. And thank you. Damm. Ouch. Sorry man. Next time just break up the weed using your fingers. (If you never smoked weed you'll have no idea what I'm talking about lol). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 2, 2017 Author Share Posted January 2, 2017 7 minutes ago, Rjay said: Damm. Ouch. Sorry man. Next time just break up the weed using your fingers. (If you never smoked weed you'll have no idea what I'm talking about lol). Lol not that grinder, the tool to cut metal is what cut me. And I use my fingers to break up weed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 17 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Lol not that grinder, the tool to cut metal is what cut me. And I use my fingers to break up weed Lol I know dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 hour ago, dmillz25 said: Lol not that grinder, the tool to cut metal is what cut me. And I use my fingers to break up weed Oh. I wondered how you cut yourself on a sandwich from New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 I am utterly sick and tired of all the non-warranted optimism by a big chunk of desperate posters in here. What ever happened to transparency and realism? Sugarcoating what a model depicts verbatim should not be tolerated. Just because the EPS shows positive temp anomalies over the East Coast during mid-January does NOT give any poster the right to question its authenticity and state "it should be showing negative departures over us due to the position of "x" being suspect." These kind of posters should instead listen to the top and highly-respected members in this forum (bluewave, DonS, Isotherm, etc.) that the teleconnection indices will be highly unfavorable for NYC during January. In fact, just a routine glance at NOAA's gospel outlook for Weeks 3 and 4 should speak volumes in itself: It appears that the NOAA is taking the 100% right approach and forecasting a blowtorch for late January based on the EPS. And with the updated 12z GFS ensembles shown below, there should be little doubt in anyone's mind that this January's warmth will rival that of last January. Just look at that insane Alaskan death vortex: As for this week's "arctic blast," most of the news media is over-hyping it as usual. No cold blast/snow potential should be worthy of being mentioned unless it falls on the level of 2013-2014 or 2014-2015. Before anyone labels me a "troll," please take note that I'm not the only poster in here that has explicitly called out the wishcasting on these forums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, Hailstorm said: As for this week's "arctic blast," most of the news media is over-hyping it as usual. No cold blast/snow potential should be worthy of being mentioned unless it falls on the level of 2013-2014 or 2014-2015. Well, they always do that. Same thing happens in the Summer. Ratings my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 9 minutes ago, Hailstorm said: I am utterly sick and tired of all the non-warranted optimism by a big chunk of desperate posters in here. What ever happened to transparency and realism? Sugarcoating what a model depicts verbatim should not be tolerated. Just because the EPS shows positive temp anomalies over the East Coast during mid-January does NOT give any poster the right to question its authenticity and state "it should be showing negative departures over us due to the position of "x" being suspect." These kind of posters should instead listen to the top and highly-respected members in this forum (bluewave, DonS, Isotherm, etc.) that the teleconnection indices will be highly unfavorable for NYC during January. In fact, just a routine glance at NOAA's gospel outlook for Weeks 3 and 4 should speak volumes in itself: It appears that the NOAA is taking the 100% right approach and forecasting a blowtorch for late January based on the EPS. And with the updated 12z GFS ensembles shown below, there should be little doubt in anyone's mind that this January's warmth will rival that of last January. Just look at that insane Alaskan death vortex: As for this week's "arctic blast," most of the news media is over-hyping it as usual. No cold blast/snow potential should be worthy of being mentioned unless it falls on the level of 2013-2014 or 2014-2015. Before anyone labels me a "troll," please take note that I'm not the only poster in here that has explicitly called out the wishcasting on these forums. A Russian couple was walking down the street in St. Petersburg the other night, when the man felt a drop hit his nose. "I think it's raining," he said to his wife."No, that felt more like snow to me," she replied. "No, I'm sure it was just rain, he said." Well, as these things go, they were about to have a major argument about whether it was raining or snowing. Just then they saw a minor communist party official walking toward them. "Let's not fight about it," the man said, "let's ask Comrade Rudolph whether it's officially raining or snowing."As the official approached, the man said, "Tell us, Comrade Rudolph, is it officially raining or snowing?" "It's raining, of course," he answered and walked on. But the woman insisted: "I know that felt like snow!" To which the man quietly replied: "Rudolph the Red knows rain, dear!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 To be fair wishcasting can go both directions. While I agree ignoring all guidance is not a smart move, I'm not sure how posting a map from 372 hours in the future helps your argument. Also, why so angry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 2, 2017 Author Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 minute ago, Rjay said: To be fair wishcasting can go both directions. While I agree ignoring all guidance is not a smart move, I'm not sure how posting a map from 372 hours in the future helps your argument. Also, why so angry? I thought his point was somewhat valid until I saw that map lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: To be fair wishcasting can go both directions. While I agree ignoring all guidance is not a smart move, I'm not sure how posting a map from 372 hours in the future helps your argument. Also, why so angry? Its easier to be angry and passive aggressive than to calmly and scientifically discuss a disagreement. Duh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 6 minutes ago, Rjay said: To be fair wishcasting can go both directions. While I agree ignoring all guidance is not a smart move, I'm not sure how posting a map from 372 hours in the future helps your argument. Also, why so angry? Considering Hailstorm considers below normal temps "torched up and down the east coast", maybe someone with a little more objectivity should be the one calling out the eternal optimists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Anybody else notice the Cansips with the NINO next year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 31 minutes ago, EasternLI said: Anybody else notice the Cansips with the NINO next year? Not a tradional Nino more like the world is a torch type senerio. I fully expect in my life time to see a near perminant "Nino type" state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 4 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Not a tradional Nino more like the world is a torch type senerio. I fully expect in my life time to see a near perminant "Nino type" state It's interesting. Wouldn't really surprise me if it happened, sadly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 50 minutes ago, EasternLI said: Anybody else notice the Cansips with the NINO next year? How do models like the CanSIPS forecast these patterns so far ahead of time? Something I've always been curious about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 4 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: How do models like the CanSIPS forecast these patterns so far ahead of time? Something I've always been curious about. I don't know the answer to that. I'm sure it's a LOT of math. What I have seen though, is that these seasonal models are focused on predicting the Nino regions. Because that is seen as the main seasonal driver. So they are supposed to demonstrate the most skill there. I'm pretty sure the skill isn't very good even in those regions at this range though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 hour ago, EasternLI said: I don't know the answer to that. I'm sure it's a LOT of math. What I have seen though, is that these seasonal models are focused on predicting the Nino regions. Because that is seen as the main seasonal driver. So they are supposed to demonstrate the most skill there. I'm pretty sure the skill isn't very good even in those regions at this range though. I see what you're saying. I'm sure there is a complicated algorithm or program that involves some crazy formulas like you mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 3 hours ago, Hailstorm said: I am utterly sick and tired of all the non-warranted optimism by a big chunk of desperate posters in here. What ever happened to transparency and realism? Sugarcoating what a model depicts verbatim should not be tolerated. Just because the EPS shows positive temp anomalies over the East Coast during mid-January does NOT give any poster the right to question its authenticity and state "it should be showing negative departures over us due to the position of "x" being suspect." These kind of posters should instead listen to the top and highly-respected members in this forum (bluewave, DonS, Isotherm, etc.) that the teleconnection indices will be highly unfavorable for NYC during January. In fact, just a routine glance at NOAA's gospel outlook for Weeks 3 and 4 should speak volumes in itself: It appears that the NOAA is taking the 100% right approach and forecasting a blowtorch for late January based on the EPS. And with the updated 12z GFS ensembles shown below, there should be little doubt in anyone's mind that this January's warmth will rival that of last January. Just look at that insane Alaskan death vortex: As for this week's "arctic blast," most of the news media is over-hyping it as usual. No cold blast/snow potential should be worthy of being mentioned unless it falls on the level of 2013-2014 or 2014-2015. Before anyone labels me a "troll," please take note that I'm not the only poster in here that has explicitly called out the wishcasting on these forums. What gives you the right to judge other posters though? Just food for thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 3, 2017 Author Share Posted January 3, 2017 These model runs will run you up a wall lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 19 hours ago, dmillz25 said: Using a grinder, it jerked and cut my thumb pretty deep. 2 stitches in the inside and 3 in the outside. Can't work if it's a struggle to even hold my phone. And thank you. That's OK,I took a recently sharpened hatchet to the left pointer finger when I was in 7 or 8th grade. bunch of years ago. Didn't get stitches or anything,but left a nice scar. Barely missed bone or anything important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 haha, keep chasing fantasy snowstorms in a hostile pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 18 hours ago, Hailstorm said: I am utterly sick and tired of all the non-warranted optimism by a big chunk of desperate posters in here. What ever happened to transparency and realism? Sugarcoating what a model depicts verbatim should not be tolerated. Just because the EPS shows positive temp anomalies over the East Coast during mid-January does NOT give any poster the right to question its authenticity and state "it should be showing negative departures over us due to the position of "x" being suspect." These kind of posters should instead listen to the top and highly-respected members in this forum (bluewave, DonS, Isotherm, etc.) that the teleconnection indices will be highly unfavorable for NYC during January. In fact, just a routine glance at NOAA's gospel outlook for Weeks 3 and 4 should speak volumes in itself: It appears that the NOAA is taking the 100% right approach and forecasting a blowtorch for late January based on the EPS. And with the updated 12z GFS ensembles shown below, there should be little doubt in anyone's mind that this January's warmth will rival that of last January. Just look at that insane Alaskan death vortex: As for this week's "arctic blast," most of the news media is over-hyping it as usual. No cold blast/snow potential should be worthy of being mentioned unless it falls on the level of 2013-2014 or 2014-2015. Before anyone labels me a "troll," please take note that I'm not the only poster in here that has explicitly called out the wishcasting on these forums. LOL. Agree the cold has been over-hyped, but relax dude. Hit the showers for awhile. Clearly the pattern is getting to you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Unless my memory is wrong, LA Nina winters are always really tough/difficult for big snowy winters,unless everything ends up lining up perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, wthrmn654 said: Unless my memory is wrong, LA Nina winters are always really tough/difficult for big snowy winters,unless everything ends up lining up perfect. the funny thing is the Nina is very weak....you'd think we'd be having a strong nina with the storm track and warmth we've had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 The fact is if it makes people feel better by being optimistic- let them. It isn't hurting anyone. I find it much better talking to optimistic than pessimistic people. Even if we all know this won't be a great winter, one storm is all it takes, and talking to negative people isn't fun nor is it healthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 please dont repost stuff that gets deleted. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 22 minutes ago, BxEngine said: please dont repost stuff that gets deleted. Thanks. stuff that gets deleted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Lol. The discussion thread has been very interesting today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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