2016-17 Lakes/Ohio valley snowfall contest

[Roger Smith]

I was waiting to see if this contest thread would appear; as we are now very close to November, I decided to post a contest thread. Hope nobody minds ... it will be exactly the same as last winter even the tie-breakers are the same. 

Post your predictions of total winter snowfall (including anything already recorded -- season ends officially June 30th, contest will probably run to mid-May at latest) for these 20 locations. I have included the 1986-2015 averages as provided last year, and last season's snowfalls. (note Nov 15, apparently I posted the average of last year's forecasts rather than the 1986-2015 averages, this mistake has been corrected below, on average the forecasts were 90% of the normals, check your forecasts to see if you want to make any changes -- the deadline has been extended to Friday night Nov 18th.)

Three tie-breaker questions follow. 

 

LOCATION _______________ 1986-2015 _____ 2015-16

Alpena, MI (APN) _____________ 80.4 _______ 88.8

Chicago, IL (ORD) ____________ 38.1 _______ 31.2

Cleveland, OH (CLE) __________ 67.2 _______ 32.8

Columbus, OH (CMH) __________28.4 _______ 17.1

Detroit, MI (DTW) _____________ 44.8 _______ 35,3

Fort Wayne, IN (FWA) _________ 34.0 _______ 20.0

Grand Rapids, MI (GRR) _______ 77.1 _______ 61.1

Green Bay, WI (GRB) __________ 54.2 _______ 50.0
Indianapolis, IN (IND) __________ 25.9 _______ 13.3

La Crosse, WI (LSE) __________ 46.1 ________ 40.3
London, ON (YXU) ____________75.7 ________ 65.2

Louisville, KY (SDF) __________ 13.9 ________ 14.9
Marquette, MI (MQT) _________199.8 _______ 160.9

Milwaukee, WI (MKE) _________ 49.2 ________ 39.1

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) _______ 50.6_________ 36.7

Moline, IL (MLI) _____________ 33.5 _________ 24.1

Paducah, KY (PAH)___________ 9.2 _________ 12.1
Peoria, IL (PIA) _____________.24.9 _________ 15.3

St. Louis, MO (STL) _________ 18.4 _________ 10.9

Toronto, ON (YYZ) __________ 42.5 _________ 25.9

------------------------------- --------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------

ENTRY FORM 

APN __

ORD __

CLE __

CMH __ 

DET __

FWA __

GRR __

GRB __

IND __

LSE __

YXU __

SDF __

MQT __

MKE __

MSP __

MLI __

PAH __

PIA __

STL __

YYZ __

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD (8.5" normal)

2. January 2017 snowfall IND (8.6" normal)

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW (10.2" normal)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

If you want to see individual years in the 1986-2015 period, check last year's contest thread (recently bumped to top of page), post number one there has a table of the 30 years in the period used. 

Entries will be accepted until end of the day Friday, Nov 18th (2359 CST). You can edit entries before that time as the table of entries will be done on Nov 19th (using an excel table format). Good luck !!

Late entries (Nov 19 to 30) will be scored but cannot place higher than 6th, enter for the fun of it if you want though. Entries that appear in the thread after Nov 30 will not be scored. 

 

 

 

 

 

[Stebo]

APN 83.3

ORD 37.9

CLE 73.3

CMH 27.3

DTW 53.4

FWA 42,4

GRR 77.3

GRB 41.4

IND 29.7

LSE 31.4

YXU 85.4

SDF 17.4

MQT 200.4

MKE 33.4

MSP 36.4

MLI 27.6

PAH 20.0

PIA 25.0

STL 16.0

YYZ 47.5

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD - 8.7

2. January 2017 snowfall IND - 9.2

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW - 15.5

[ConfusedKitten]

APN: 93.4

ORD: 42.5

CLE: 76.9

CMH: 31.0

DET: 50.9

FWA: 36.7

GRR: 89.4

GRB: 61.9

IND: 30.9

LSE: 50.2

YXU: 83.6

SDF: 18.5

MQT: 217.9

MKE: 55.6

MSP: 53.1

MLI: 39.2

PAH: 10.6

PIA: 29.4

STL: 19.3

YYZ: 49.5

Tiebreakers:

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD: 10.0

2. January 2017 snowfall IND: 10.3

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW: 12.9

 

[slimjim101]

Alpena, MI (APN) _____________ 81.4

Chicago, IL (ORD) ____________ 44.6

Cleveland, OH (CLE) __________ 83.7

Columbus, OH (CMH) __________33.8

Detroit, MI (DTW) _____________ 47.1

Fort Wayne, IN (FWA) _________ 39.5

Grand Rapids, MI (GRR) _______ 78.3

Green Bay, WI (GRB) __________ 55.9
Indianapolis, IN (IND) __________ 25.4

La Crosse, WI (LSE) __________ 53.6
London, ON (YXU) ____________81.2

Louisville, KY (SDF) __________ 19.1
Marquette, MI (MQT) _________181.3

Milwaukee, WI (MKE) _________ 48.6

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) _______ 49.6

Moline, IL (MLI) _____________ 30.5

Paducah, KY (PAH)___________ 15.4
Peoria, IL (PIA) _____________31.2

St. Louis, MO (STL) _________ 28.8

Toronto, ON (YYZ) __________ 54.6

 

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD   6.4”

2. January 2017 snowfall IND         5.8”

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW     9.4”

[Roger Smith]

Well, I think it might be a very snowy winter as the region ends up in the sweet spot of an amplified pattern. 

So will go for these numbers

ENTRY FORM 

APN __ 90.0

ORD __ 52.0

CLE __ 80.0

CMH __ 30.0

DET __ 50.0

FWA __ 40.0

GRR __ 105.0

GRB __ 45.0

IND __ 35.0

LSE __ 50.0

YXU __ 110.0

SDF __ 15.0

MQT __ 208.0

MKE __ 57.0

MSP __ 49.0

MLI __ 35.0

PAH __ 12.5

PIA __ 33.0

STL __ 20.5

YYZ __ 55.0

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD __ 12.0

2. January 2017 snowfall IND __ 12.0

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW __ 18.0

 

 

[slow poke]

On ‎10‎/‎30‎/‎2016 at 6:57 PM, Roger Smith said:

I'm not really sure what to think about this winter. Last winter really wasn't all that bad snow wise compared to normal I feel for the Midwest other then maybe Cleveland when I look at that list. Most other locations were about average which considering there was a crazy warm el nino going on it could, and probably should have, been way worse. I'm going to go against what most everyone else is thinking and go with a slightly warmer and slightly less snowy winter for our sub forum.  

ENTRY FORM 

APN __65"

ORD __32"

CLE __58"

CMH __ 22"

DET __35"

FWA __27"

GRR __62"

GRB __44"

IND __20"

LSE __37"

YXU __64"

SDF __11"

MQT __160"

MKE __37"

MSP __40"

MLI __24"

PAH __7"

PIA __20"

STL __12"

YYZ __34"

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD  6"

2. January 2017 snowfall IND  7"

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW  8" 

 

 

[michsnowfreak]

Those averages look a little low for all cities. Is this perhaps excluding Nov &/or Apr?

[slimjim101]

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Those averages look a little low for all cities. Is this perhaps excluding Nov &/or Apr?

I have not had time to look at all of the locations on the list but for the Michigan locations yes all of them (the given averages) are below the averages.

[OntarioSnowLover]

Hi. I signed up just to post on this! I love winter and I feel like I'm pretty good with betting markets

I'm going to guess lower than normal outside lake effect belts. Pretty much certain to be higher for YXU and MQT unless we torch. 

APN __ 70"

ORD __ 28"

CLE __ 46"

CMH __ 18"

DTW __ 51"

FWA __ 32"

GRR __ 50"

GRB __ 42"

IND __ 16"

LSE __ 42"

YXU __ 105"

SDF __ 6"

MQT __ 208"

MKE __ 42"

MSP __ 38"

MLI __ 26"

PAH __ 5"

PIA __ 22"

STL __ 8"

YYZ __ 26"

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD __ 6"

2. January 2017 snowfall IND __ 6"

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW __ 21"

[ConfusedKitten]

4 minutes ago, OntarioSnowLover said:

Pretty much certain to be higher for YXU and MQT unless we torch.

 

I like the way you think. 105" is really high though, we haven't hit triple digits since '10-'11 which was a crazy winter.

[Roger Smith]

Just to clarify, we are predicting total winter snowfall from let's say end of summer 2016 to start of summer 2017. Not any smaller portion of the season. Anyone is free to edit their forecasts or repost them, I won't be creating a table of entries until after the deadline so late edits won't be a problem for you. 

[DAFF]

On ‎2016‎-‎10‎-‎30 at 6:57 PM, Roger Smith said:

 

APN __102.5

ORD __36.7

CLE __78.2

CMH __ 25.6

DET __49.2

FWA __26.9

GRR __82.3

GRB __42.3

IND __22.1

LSE __37.3

YXU __87.2

SDF __12.1

MQT __250.2

MKE __42.3

MSP __42.6

MLI __30.2

PAH __11.3

PIA __21.3

STL __16.2

YYZ __48.2

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD 8.2

2. January 2017 snowfall IND 5.2

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW 6.9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[DAFF]

Basing my educated guessing on a front sided quick to switch winter and an early spring. LES belts might be the big winners this season, hoping everyone get a few juicy+cold systems overhead.

[madwx]

ENTRY FORM 

APN __78.6

ORD __33.4

CLE __61.2

CMH __15.6

DET __38.6

FWA __30.4

GRR __80.4

GRB __44.6

IND __22.8

LSE __42.3

YXU __75.3

SDF __8.8

MQT __203.6

MKE __40.3

MSP __50.6

MLI __29.5

PAH __7.6

PIA __20.4

STL __11.9

YYZ __40.6

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD  7.5

2. January 2017 snowfall IND  6.4

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW 9.8

[BuffaloWeather]

APN 59.1

ORD 31.2

CLE 64.7

CMH 29.1

DET  46.3

FWA  27.5

GRR 66.7

GRB 35.5

IND 22.4

LSE 36.9

YXU 76.8

SDF 16.2

MQT 164.7

MKE 36.1

MSP  37.4

MLI 22.8

PAH 11.4

PIA 19.7

STL 16.2

YYZ 46.9

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD 10.3"

2. January 2017 snowfall IND 9.6"

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW 12.9"

 

[OHweather]

ENTRY FORM 

APN __95"

ORD __40"

CLE __70"

CMH __ 31"

DET __ 50"

FWA __ 44"

GRR __ 80"

GRB __  75"

IND __  25"

LSE __  65"

YXU __  75"

SDF __  15"

MQT __  190"

MKE __  50"

MSP __   45"

MLI __   32"

PAH __   12"

PIA __  28"

STL __   16"

YYZ __   55"

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD  4.5"

2. January 2017 snowfall IND  11"

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW   22"

[cyclone77]

APN 87

ORD 38

CLE 74

CMH 31 

DET 44

FWA 34

GRR 73

GRB 48

IND 20

LSE 37

YXU 70

SDF 8

MQT 205

MKE 38

MSP 39

MLI 32

PAH 13

PIA 27

STL 19

YYZ 44

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD  7

2. January 2017 snowfall IND  9

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW  14

[Stebo]

2 hours ago, OHweather said:

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW   22"

[KokomoWX]

ENTRY FORM 

APN 84.5

ORD 42.6

CLE 77.7

CMH 38.5 

DET 45.3

FWA 36.6

GRR 75.6

GRB 56.8

IND 38.6

LSE 45.6

YXU 73.3

SDF 18.6

MQT 203.6

MKE 46.1

MSP 51.3

MLI 33.5

PAH 13.6

PIA 31.5

STL 19.3

YYZ 49.9

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD 16.3

2. January 2017 snowfall IND 23.6

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW 14.2

[weatherbo]

APN 72.5 

ORD 50.3

CLE 63.1

CMH 32.8

DET  44.9

FWA 37.2

GRR 93.7

GRB 63.3

IND 27.2

LSE 52.8

YXU 77.7

SDF 18.2

MQT 214.5

MKE 53.6

MSP 59.5

MLI 38.2

PAH 16.4

PIA 29.6

STL 19.6

YYZ 44.7

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD 14.3

2. January 2017 snowfall IND 7.7

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW 12.6

[hawkeye_wx]

APN 95

ORD 37

CLE 75

CMH 25

DET 47

FWA 36

GRR 80

GRB 50

IND 26

LSE 45

YXU 85

SDF 12

MQT 215

MKE 52

MSP 52

MLI 30

PAH 8

PIA 23

STL 13

YYZ 53

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD  7

2. January 2017 snowfall IND  10

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW  14

[IWXwx]

 

APN __82.5

ORD __40.1

CLE __69.2

CMH __ 30.4

DET __46.8

FWA __36.0

GRR __79.1

GRB __56.2

IND __27.9

LSE __48.1

YXU __77.7

SDF __15.9

MQT __201.8

MKE __51.2

MSP __52.6

MLI __35.5

PAH __11.2

PIA __26.9

STL __20.4

YYZ __44.5

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD 10.5

2. January 2017 snowfall IND 11.2

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW 18.2

[Toronto4]

ENTRY FORM 

APN __ 80.2

ORD __46.5

CLE __77.2

CMH __ 30.5

DET __59.2

FWA __32.8

GRR __70.3

GRB __49.6

IND __28.7

LSE __47.8

YXU __75.4

SDF __8.2

MQT __177.5

MKE __47.9

MSP __42.5

MLI __25.9

PAH __8.5

PIA __23.6

STL __19.1

YYZ __65.4

Tiebreakers

1. December 2016 snowfall ORD  11.3

2. January 2017 snowfall IND  16.5

3. February 2017 snowfall DTW  19.4

[Roger Smith]

Notice to contest entrants

_________________________________

 

An error took place in the list of 1986-2015 averages in post number one. What you may have seen there were the averages of last year's contest entries. These were roughly 90% of actual normals with some variation. I have posted the right values for 1986-2015 now. 

You may have based your forecasts on those averages, so I am extending the deadline three days from now (almost) to Friday night at midnight. If you feel like revising any forecasts, just edit your post, I have not started a table. Sorry about the confusion, some had noted this possibility but at first I thought perhaps they were thinking of higher 1981-2010 normals.

I just spotted the error as I reviewed my excel file from last winter's contest. 

While I was editing post number one, I added the 1981-2010 averages for the three tie-breaker questions, used those last winter as they were more easily accessible than going 1986-2015 on those. 

Since the tie-breakers are not really likely to be needed, we'll just have a separate contest for those three predictions.

So to summarize, you have three more days to revise or just enter for the first time. 

 

[Roger Smith]

Thanks for your entries, the contest is now sealed as far as edits or new entries. 

I have made up an excel file of the entries; these are the averages of the 17 entries for each location. The departure is relative to the (corrected) 1986-2015 averages.

(edited Dec 28th to show the minimum and maximum of our forecasts)

LOC'n _ AVG FORECAST ___ MIN FORECAST ___ MAX FORECAST

APN _ 82.5 (+2.1) _______ 59.1 (BufWx) _____ 102.1 (DAFF)

ORD _ 39.6 (+1.5) _______28.0 (Ont snow) ____ 52.0 (Roger S)

CLE _ 70.5 (+3.3) _______ 46.0 (Ont snow) ____ 83.7 (SlimJim101)

CMH _ 28.2 (--0.2) _______15.6 (madwx) ______ 38.5 (Kokomo wx)

DTW _ 47.4 (+2.6) ______ 35.0 (Slow poke) ___ 59.0 (Toronto 4)

FWA _ 34.9 (+0.9) ______ 26.9 (DAFF) ________44.0 (OHweather)

GRR _ 77.7 (+0.6) _______50.0 (Ont snow) ___ 105.0 (Roger S)

GRB _ 50.7 (--3.5) ______ 35.5 (Buf wx) _______ 75.0 (OHweather)

IND _ 26.1 (+0.2) _______ 16.0 (Ont snow) ____ 38.6 (Kokomo wx)

LSE _ 45.1 (--1.0) _______ 31.4 (Stebo) ________65.0 (OHweather)

YXU _ 81.4 (+5.7) _______64.0 (Slow poke) ___ 110.0 (Roger S)

SDF _ 13.8 (--0.1) ________6.0 (Ont snow) _____ 19.2 (weatherbo)

MQT _200.1 (+0.9) _____ 160.0 (Slow poke) ___ 250.2 (DAFF)

MKE _ 45.7 (--3.5) _______ 33.4 (Stebo) _______ 57.0 (Roger S)

MSP _ 46.2 (--4.4) _______ 36.4 (Stebo) _______ 59.5 (weatherbo)

MLI _ 30.7 (--2.8) _______ 22.8 (Buf wx) _______39.2 (confused kitten)

PAH _ 11.5 (+2.3) ________5.0 (Ont snow) _____20.0 (Stebo)

PIA _ 25.7 (+0.8) _______ 19.7 (Buf wx) _______33.0 (Roger S)

STL _ 17.2 (--1.2) ________ 8.0 (Ont snow) ____ 28.8 (Slimjim101)

YYZ _ 47.4 (+4.9) _______ 26.0 (Ont snow) ____ 65.4 (Toronto4)

 

total _ 1022.5 (+8.6) ____ 811.0 (slow poke) __ 1172.0 (Roger S)

(second most extreme) __ 881.0 (Ont snow) ___ 1140.5 (confused kitten)

 

ORD Dec 9.1" (+0.6) _____ 4.5 (OHweather) ___ 16.3 (Kokomo wx)

IND Jan 10.0" (+1.4) _____ 5.2 (DAFF) _______ 23.6 (Kokomo wx)

DTW Feb 14.3" (+4.1) ____ 6.9 (DAFF) _______ 22.0 (OHweather)

 

[Roger Smith]

Measurable snowfalls to date ...

APN ___ 1.8"

CLE ___ 0.9"

DTW ___ 0.1"

FWA ___ 0.4"

GRR ___ 0.8"

GRB ___ 0.9"

YXU ___ 3.5" (9.0 cm)

MQT __ 14.2"

MSP ___ 2.3"

YYZ ___ data not complete, looks to be in the range of zero to 1.0"

 

[Roger Smith]

Update on snowfalls thru Dec 31st ... and new feature, percentage of contest average forecast.

 ... table now migrates to next post for updates, this is complete through Dec 31st except for one missing day at YXU. 

 

MQT ___ 56.2" ___ (28%)

GRR ___ 37.8" ___ (49%)

YXU ___ 28.9" * __ (35%)

APN ____27.7" ^ __ (34%)

GRB ____24.0" ___ (47%)

LSE ____ 20.8" ___ (46%)

MKE ____18.8" ___ (41%)

MSP ____18.1" ___ (39%)

ORD ___ 17.7" ___ (45%)

DTW ___ 16.9" ___ (35%)

YYZ ____16.8" ** __ (36%)

MLI ____ 13.8" ___ (45%)

FWA ___ 11.3" ___ (32%)

CLE ____10.5" ___ (15%)

PIA _____5.5" ___ (21%)

CMH ____5.2" ___ (18%)

IND ____ 4.9" ___ (18%)

STL ____ 0.2" ___ ( 1%)

SDF ____ 0.1" ___ ( 1%)

PAH _____ Tr ___ ( 0%)

Tiebreaker 1, ORD (Dec) ___ 17.7" (+8.6 on contest avg, +1.4" on max from KokomoWx) --

-- -- settled. KokomoWx was closest. 

___________________________________________

 

^ APN adjusted on Jan 2nd as Dec 14th now shown as 1.4" in CF6 data.

* YXU data updates a day or two behind recent data, as of Dec 31st total Nov-Dec snowfall of 73.0 cm, which is 28.7 inches. (nothing reported yet for 13th but another report says 0.4 mm liquid equivalent with temps below freezing, so if never reported I am counting this as 0.5 cm, hence working total is 73.5 cm, which is 28.9". No report for Dec 25th yet in that total, not expecting any snow from that missing day. 

** YYZ are updated to Dec 31st with 1.0 cm added on 31st, and 0.4 cm on 30th, now 42.6 cm or 16.8" in total.

____________________________________________________

This list has been fully updated from all reports in December. A new table has been posted in January. 

[Roger Smith]

Update on snowfalls thru Jan 31st ... showing percentage of contest average forecast and minimum forecast (GRB first to pass the minimum forecast on Jan 30th, then GRR on Jan 31st, with LSE closing in). This post will now be kept as a record of how January ended. 

(no new snow anywhere in this grid Jan 13-23 except for 0.6" 17th at MSP) _ half time? 

 

Loc'n __ Snow __ % Contest Avg ___ Contest Minimum

 

MQT ___ 86.4" ___ (43%) _________ 160.0

GRR ___ 52.6" ___ (68%) __________ 50.0 (passed Jan 31)

YXU ___ 45.3" * __ (55%) __________64.0

APN ____43.7" ___ (54%) __________59.1

GRB ____38.6" ___ (77%) __________35.5 (passed Jan 30)

LSE ____ 30.3" ___ (67%) __________31.4

DTW ___ 28.7" ___ (61%) __________35.0

MSP ____26.5" ___ (57%) __________36.4

MKE ____22.9" ___ (51%) __________33.4

CLE ____22.0" ___ (31%) __________46.0

YYZ ____20.9" ** __ (44%) ________ 26.0

ORD ___ 18.3" ___ (46%) __________28.0

MLI ____ 14.2" ___ (46%) _________ 22.8

FWA ___ 12.6" ___ (35%) __________26.9

CMH ____7.0" ___ (25%) __________ 15.6

IND ____ 6.6" ___ (23%) __________ 16.0

PIA _____6.0" ___ (23%) __________ 19.7

SDF ____ 2.7" ___ (18%) ____________6.0

STL ____ 1.2" ___ ( 7%) ____________ 8.0

PAH ____0.2" ___ ( 2%) ____________ 5.0

 

TOTAL __ 486.7" __ (47.7%) ______811.0

 

Tiebreaker 1, ORD (Dec) ___ 17.7" (+8.6 on contest avg, +1.4" on max from KokomoWx) (settled )

Tiebreaker 2, IND (Jan) _____1.7  (min 5.2 from DAFF, mean 10.0, max 23.6) (settled)

___________________________________________

* YXU now updated for Jan 31st, 5.0 cm 31st,  total 115.1 cm or 45.3". 

** YYZ now updated Jan 28th to 31st, 3.0 cm reported,  total 53.1 cm or 20.9".

 

[Roger Smith]

Update on snowfalls thru Feb 28th showing percentage of contest average forecast and minimum forecast (GRB first to pass the minimum forecast on Jan 30th, then GRR on Jan 31st, YYZ on Feb 12, with LSE added Feb 24th). (to end of FEB, snow in MAR in next post)

New on display this month, % Contest Avg figures are graphically situated.

 

Loc'n _ Total __ % Contest Avg  ___ Contest Minimum (dates when passed)

 

MQT __ 121.1" ____(61%)_________ 160.0

GRR ___ 55.0" ______ (71%) _______ 50.0 (passed Jan 31)

YXU ___ 54.0" * ____(66%)_________64.0

APN ____53.5" ____ (65%) _________59.1

GRB ____44.2" ___________(88%)__ 35.5 (passed Jan 30)

LSE ____ 34.2" _________ (80%) ___ 31.5 (passed Feb 24)

DTW ___ 30.9" _____(66%)________ 35.0

YYZ ____29.1" **___ (62%) _______ 26.0 (passed Feb 12)

MSP ____26.8" ___ (58%) _________ 36.4

CLE ____ 25.2"  (34%) ____________ 46.0

MKE ____24.0" ___(53%) __________33.4

ORD ___ 18.3" __ (46%)___________ 28.0

MLI ____ 16.5" ___ (54%) _________ 22.8

FWA ___ 15.1" __(42%) ___________ 26.9

PIA _____9.7" _ (38%) ____________ 19.7

IND ____ 8.7" _ (33%) ____________ 16.0

CMH ____7.6" (27%) ______________15.6

SDF ___ 2.7" (18%) _______________ 6.0

STL __ 1.4" ( 8%) _________________ 8.0

PAH __0.2" ( 2%) _________________ 5.0

 

TOTAL __ 578.2" ____ (56.2%) ____811.0

 

Tiebreaker 1, ORD (Dec) ___ 17.7" (+8.6 on contest avg, +1.4" on max from KokomoWx) (settled )

Tiebreaker 2, IND (Jan) _____1.7  (min 5.2 from DAFF, mean 10.0, max 23.6) (settled)

Tiebreaker 3, DTW (Feb) ____ 2.2 (min 6.9 from DAFF, mean 14.3, max 22.0) (settled)

___________________________________________

* YXU updated for Feb 27th-28th, 0.0 cm  for a total 137.0 cm or 54.0".

** YYZ now updated Feb 28th, 0.0 cm,  total 73.9 cm or 29.1".

[Roger Smith]

Update on snowfalls thru MARCH 31st ... showing percentage of contest average forecast and minimum forecast (GRB first to pass the minimum forecast on Jan 30th, then GRR on Jan 31st, YYZ on Feb 12, with LSE added Feb 24th, APN March 1st, MKE and DTW March 13th, YXU March 19th).

... ... ... The previous post shows the totals to the end of FEB. ... ... ...

March 12th __ GRB reached contest average, the first station to do so. 

March 13th __ MKE and DTW zoomed past contest minimum.

March 14th __ ORD and MLI are getting close to contest minimum, not quite there yet.

March 19th __ YXU has now reached contest minimum.

WITH ALL DATA IN FOR MARCH, this post is retired. A new post will begin whenever April produces snow. No new post means no April snow has been detected at contest central. 

 

Loc'n _ Total __ % Contest Avg  ___ Contest Minimum (dates when passed)

 

MQT __ 141.0" _______(71%) _____ 160.0

APN ____66.4" _________ (81%)____ 59.1 (passed Mar 1)

YXU ___ 64.1" * ______ (76%) _____ 64.0 (passed Mar 19)

GRR ___ 59.7" ________ (78%) _____50.0 (passed Jan 31)

GRB ____53.2" ____________ (105%) 35.5 (passed Jan 30) (contest avg Mar 12)

LSE ____ 42.2" ___________ (93%) _ 31.5 (passed Feb 24)

MKE ____37.6" __________ (86%) __ 33.4 (passed Mar 13)

DTW ___ 37.8" __________(79%) ___ 35.0 (passed Mar 13)

CLE ____ 34.5" __ (49%) __________ 46.0

YYZ ____31.8" **____ (67%) ______ 26.0 (passed Feb 12)

MSP ____31.5" ______ (68%) ______ 36.4

ORD ___ 26.1" ______ (66%) ______ 28.0

MLI ____ 22.4"________ (72%) ____ 22.8

FWA ___ 18.1" ___ (50%) _________ 26.9

PIA ____ 13.9" ____ (54%) ________ 19.7

IND ____ 9.7" _ (37%) ____________ 16.0

CMH ____9.3" _ (34%) ____________ 15.6

STL ___ 3.2" (17%) ________________8.0

SDF ___ 2.7" (18%) ________________6.0

PAH __ 1.2" (12%) _________________5.0

 

TOTAL __ 706.4" ____ (69.1%) ____811.0

 

Tiebreaker 1, ORD (Dec) ___ 17.7" (+8.6 on contest avg, +1.4" on max from KokomoWx) (settled )

Tiebreaker 2, IND (Jan) _____1.7  (min 5.2 from DAFF, mean 10.0, max 23.6) (settled)

Tiebreaker 3, DTW (Feb) ____ 2.2 (min 6.9 from DAFF, mean 14.3, max 22.0) (settled)

___________________________________________

* YXU  updated to March 31st, 0.0 cm for a total 163.1 cm or 64.1"

** YYZ  updated to Mar 31st, 0.0 cm,  total 80.7 cm or 31.8".