UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 26, 2016 Author Share Posted October 26, 2016 GFS 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Any chance for a flurry or two in the NYC area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 On October 26, 2016 at 8:28 AM, TriPol said: Any chance for a flurry or two in the NYC area? The forecast sounding for 12z on Thursday in NYC shows the chance of some sleet at the very start. It has a shallow warm layer around 800 mb with a subfreezing layer right below at 850-900 mb. Date: 30 hour AVN valid 12Z THU 27 OCT 16 Station: 40.60,-74.13 Latitude: 40.60 Longitude: -74.13 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SFC 1020 87 5.2 -0.3 68 5.5 2.8 61 7 276.8 277.4 275.0 286.8 3.66 1 1000 249 4.0 -2.0 65 6.0 1.6 69 12 277.2 277.8 274.8 286.3 3.31 2 950 665 1.4 -3.5 70 4.9 -0.5 107 11 278.6 279.2 275.2 287.3 3.10 3 900 1098 -1.2 -4.6 78 3.4 -2.5 156 8 280.2 280.7 276.0 288.7 3.02 4 850 1554 -0.0 -3.3 78 3.3 -1.4 225 14 286.1 286.7 279.6 296.2 3.51 5 800 2040 0.4 0.0 97 0.4 0.3 245 26 291.6 292.5 283.6 305.5 4.80 6 750 2559 0.2 -0.8 94 0.9 -0.3 255 34 296.8 297.6 285.7 311.0 4.83 7 700 3110 -2.6 -3.5 94 0.9 -3.0 260 38 299.6 300.4 286.2 312.3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 A little snippet from Upton.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Any chance the northern boros or north shore of Long Island sees some ice pellets or sleet if precip moves in fast enough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 Instead of flooding out octobers OBS, figured a separate OBS thread was needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Snowing Upton has 1-2" in my P/C. I highly doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 34/33 light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 Looking at hi res radar, u less poorly depicted, the mix line does not wanna hold its ground, if radars correct most of us will be pellets to rain by 10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 7 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Looking at hi res radar, u less poorly depicted, the mix line does not wanna hold its ground, if radars correct most of us will be pellets to rain by 10am The mix line was suppose to set up right along the NY/NJ border. We should start seeing a changeover by 10-11. Im just happy to see snow falling and actually sticking nonetheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Sleet/Graupel mix here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Sleet and rain in highland lakes. had some flakes earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Sleet snow graupel kitchen sink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Flurries here in Ramsey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 Wanted to upload a pic but no matter what size the pic is, says I can only upload 1.95mb... no way an phone snap is more than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 First sleet of the season here in SW Suffolk and 42 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Sleet / rain mix in uptown Manhattan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 On 10/24/2016 at 0:29 PM, forkyfork said: if you live anywhere within the metro area expect a cold rain from start to finish. temps are ~40 on the gfs when precip starts. lol Wrong , started as snow than went to sleet Now rain and sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 24 minutes ago, snywx said: The mix line was suppose to set up right along the NY/NJ border. We should start seeing a changeover by 10-11. Im just happy to see snow falling and actually sticking nonetheless Good call, rain snow line is receding a tad on the NY-PA border, heavier DBZ comin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 I actually saw some IP but mostly rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 Coming down steady now, everything's covered.. won't let me post photo for some reason, says files too large Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Was mostly sleet but getting more snow now, White Plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 I drove through the Catskills earlier. Very heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 IP/rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 11 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Coming down steady now, everything's covered.. won't let me post photo for some reason, says files too large Try using tinypic.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 Radar looked promising, but I'm nearly all sleet at this point, few flakes mixed in... weatherboards not even worth measuring, 1/4 inch maybe, but enough to coat the trees and grass. I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 2 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Radar looked promising, but I'm nearly all sleet at this point, few flakes mixed in... weatherboards not even worth measuring, 1/4 inch maybe, but enough to coat the trees and grass. I'll take it Same here.. light coating on all non-paved surfaces. 32° Light freezing rain/Sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 snow/sleet mix here, 37/30. Melting on contact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 Back to mostly snow, I expect the back and forth till the full changeover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 Moderate sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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