CoachLB Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 I almost spit my coffee out this morning. Too funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 The Euro ensembles would potentially be something to watch maybe for the Apps and eastern Lakes/Ohio Valley day 10-11 with a mean negatively tilted trough right over the heart of the sub forum...maybe could thread the needle somewhere. Somewhat more interesting times ahead hopefully. EDIT: On second look you'd probably have to be pretty far north for something in that timeframe to pan out. Not much cold in place ahead of or near the trough until the potential storm wraps up and starts moving away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 Got to love the old clown maps of accumulative snow... The next few days of model watching will be interesting to see if this colder trend holds true or is just another computer generated hiccup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 6 hours ago, IWXwx said: ...and so the GFS fantasyland storms begin for 2016-'17. EDIT: Congrats ORD On the anniversary of last years storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 Let's accomplish a freeze before we start posting clown maps lol. Fun to look at though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 This is pretty much the opposite of a fantasy snowstorm- a reality heat wave, when it should be getting colder. Northern Ontario's 850mb temp difference from normal 26C , is equal to 46.8F above normal. Ontario's surface temperatures are as much as 30F above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 1 hour ago, Chinook said: This is pretty much the opposite of a fantasy snowstorm- a reality heat wave, when it should be getting colder. Northern Ontario's 850mb temp difference from normal 26C , is equal to 46.8F above normal. Ontario's surface temperatures are as much as 30F above average. Sure is quite impressive. Not all of that will get transferred to the surface, but they will certainly have well above average temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 7 hours ago, CoachLB said: I almost spit my coffee out this morning. Too funny. lol what a start that would be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjim101 Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 Another great November day here in Grand Rapids. We had a sunny (after the fog burned off) warm,69° officially,70° here at my house. (average high is 52°) It’s not very often we get warm sunny days in west Michigan in November. I also cut the lawn (and mulched the leaves) I hope it is the last time I have to cut the grass this year. And in the last two days many more trees have now dropped their leaves but there are still a good amount of leaves on some of the trees still. In my yard I have two trees that have most of the leaves still on them and one of those trees will drop all of its leaves once we get a hard freeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 A bit foggy at work lol, glad I am off tonight. KDTW 070353Z 00000KT 1/16SM R03R/0800V1000FT FG VV001 10/10 A3039 RMK AO2 SLP293 T01000100 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 The pattern flip looks better with every run. Should be below normal for the second half of the month. This cold shot doesn't look as transient as the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 still haven't even turned my heat on and tons of trees with full green coverage, including all parkway ginkos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 Yards are emerald green, I have a landscaping business, and just started leaf clean up at clients houses 11/1. Probably another 1-2 weeks of mowing left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 68 yesterday and 60's again today... First week of November running 11.3 degrees above the norm! Couldn't have asked for a better Fall, but I'm ready for snow. I've been watching lake temps and I haven't seen Superior this primed to dump in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 with lakes this warm, i might not see flakes until january Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 13 minutes ago, weatherbo said: 68 yesterday and 60's again today... First week of November running 11.3 degrees above the norm! Couldn't have asked for a better Fall, but I'm ready for snow. I've been watching lake temps and I haven't seen Superior this primed to dump in a long time. Could be a historic year for you up there, as the cold air will eventually arrive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 22 minutes ago, LoveSN+ said: 22 minutes ago, LoveSN+ said: Could be a historic year for you up there, as the cold air will eventually arrive! Could be a historic year for you up there, as the cold air will eventually arrive! Normal for my area is around 240". IMBY there's been a recent 300" winter. "Historic" would need to north of 350" I'm guessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 28 minutes ago, weatherbo said: 68 yesterday and 60's again today... First week of November running 11.3 degrees above the norm! Couldn't have asked for a better Fall, but I'm ready for snow. I've been watching lake temps and I haven't seen Superior this primed to dump in a long time. Adding to the warmth could be the lack of a big blow to churn up the lake and bring the colder waters of the deep to the surface. Looks like to me the LES machine is locked and loaded.... All that's needed is a true arctic outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 21 minutes ago, weatherbo said: Normal for my area is around 240". IMBY there's been a recent 300" winter. "Historic" would need to north of 350" I'm guessing. I agree the lakes are very warm, but that doesn't always equate to large amounts of lake effect. I am cautiously optimistic but need the weather pattern change to open the door. The last couple years have been fairly anemic for LES. We are do for some well above average snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjim101 Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 Today is my Birthday!!!!! If Grand Rapids reaches the forecasted high of 68° today would be the warmest it has gotten on my birthday in my life time. (note the current record is 66°) the coldest high was 27° and the coldest low is 14° the most snow that fell is 6” and the most on the ground was 11” the last time there was snow reported on the ground was in 1991. the records are for today November 7th in my lifetime. Today I will take it easy (as I always do) and will “officially” have a celebration next weekend up in the Bay City area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 1 hour ago, weatherbo said: Normal for my area is around 240". IMBY there's been a recent 300" winter. "Historic" would need to north of 350" I'm guessing. Only time will tell my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 Starting to look more and more likely that a significant storm is going to take place around the 17th. Way too far out to try and pin anything down, but a storm looks to be in the cards and there will be a heavy snow component for someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 D10 huh? bit early in the season to be chucking em that deep already don't you think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: D10 huh? bit early in the season to be chucking em that deep already don't you think It's been that boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 10 minutes ago, Jonger said: It's been that beautiful. lots of people at the beach yesterday best climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 10 hours ago, Jonger said: The pattern flip looks better with every run. Should be below normal for the second half of the month. This cold shot doesn't look as transient as the others. bust, looks like another torch setting up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 I think it's going to be a while before we see sustained cold, which is fine. It's still November folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 41 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: bust, looks like another torch setting up Certainly will not be an all out, straight to cold. We will have ups and downs, but the never ending ridge we have seen for most of this fall will likely be gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 you mean it won't be in the 70s all winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 52 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I think it's going to be a while before we see sustained cold, which is fine. It's still November folks. Every year the same people fall for the early shots of cold only to have the rug pulled out. You'd think by now they'd realize it isn't until December before things really settle in, and hell lately even that's a gamble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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