BuffaloWeather Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Pretty awesome picture of the lake effect bands. Rochester/Syracuse/Binghamton got 1-2 feet of snow in the last 24 hours. Hoosier we starting a Lake Effect thread like the last few years? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Wednesday morning has trended with more Mixed Precip for longer north of I 80/90 wondering if some minor impacts might develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Younar Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 2 hours ago, Chitown Storm said: Looking more and more likely that we'll see a decent 3-6" snowfall here tomorrow into Wednesday morning. Thermals look iffy especially south of the twin cities but some of the 12z models came in a tick colder, and stronger. The NAM has me a bit concerned though... it pushes rain well north of both of us. Yes it is the NAM but it is in its range now so I don't know that it can be ignored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Pretty awesome picture of the lake effect bands. Rochester/Syracuse/Binghamton got 1-2 feet of snow in the last 24 hours. Hoosier we starting a Lake Effect thread like the last few years? I mentioned it a few days ago but nobody started one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 3 hours ago, Younar said: The NAM has me a bit concerned though... it pushes rain well north of both of us. Yes it is the NAM but it is in its range now so I don't know that it can be ignored. It's a complete toss up with thermals. Precip types might bounce back and forth for a few hours after the initial snow shield hits. Some are going get a nice hit. Others are going to get more slop and pingers. Either way, the pattern looks great here. Multiple events to track over the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Coldest night of the season so far. With snow on the ground and clearing, it's down to 15 in the front yard where there's few trees, and 18 degrees in the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 The GFS continues to stay in the negative category with the Arctic and North Atlantic Oscillation. The 12z Euro AO & NAO continue to stay in the negative category as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 13 hours ago, Jim Martin said: The GFS continues to stay in the negative category with the Arctic and North Atlantic Oscillation. The 12z Euro AO & NAO continue to stay in the negative category as well. Also looks like a pattern change around December 1st as both of those indices flips back towards positive. The models have a large system around this time as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjim101 Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 . Last night’s low of 21 at the airport was the coldest of this season so far. Here at my house I had a low of 20.2° at my main sensor and a very cold low of 15.3° at my colder location in the yard (I used to have 3 sensor locations but now I am down to just the two) I have a location in the yard that is much colder (or one that is warmer whatever way you want to look at it) On clear, calm summer nights you can feel the difference. Also on note today will either be a clear or partly cloudy day. After the cold and snow we just had GRR is now at 8 clear days 9 partly cloudy day and only 4 cloudy days. So this November has and will end up much sunnier than average here in west Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 I'm getting a bit of light sleet here on the front edge of the precip... sitting at 39 degrees. I'm expecting a half inch of rain or a bit more from this system. The soil is dry four inches down, so we could use a soaking before winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Not acclimated to this weather yet. 40 degrees feeling more like 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 IWX worried some Freezing Rain might try to stick around in the morning Temperatures have struggled to climb today with mostly cloudy skies and slow progress in push of warm air advection from the SW. Precipitation has been non existent thus far over the are with radar mosaic to the west and south rather anemic with little more than scattered light showers back towards the Mississippi River. Models still show increased moistening in response to an approaching upper level wave later tonight and the the main low on Wednesday. Have slowed onset of precip further with much of the evening seeing little more than a outside sprinkle or shower in the far west. Overnight, chances increase with main push after 9Z as deeper moisture arrives and overcomes the very dry airmass. At the same time, warmer low level temperatures will arrive just above the surface with sfc temps in the 28 to 32 degree range for NE areas. Strong cooling should take place to keep precip as a mix of rain and snow or all snow initially with possibly a brief period of light freezing rain in the 10-14Z window as warmer air surges in faster. Some concerns that the cold air will linger a bit longer in parts of Branch and Hillsdale counties into far NW Ohio in the AM but all should move above freezing by afternoon. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Miserable day. Overcast with passing sprinkles. Picked up 0.01". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sokolow Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Pissy drizzle on and off, maybe, maybe not, maybe more. Shouldn't be complaining for late November but wish it would settle on rain so I could cancel fieldwork and stay home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 West of Madison right now, leading edge of precip is falling as sleet, especially in the heavier returns. melting on contact as the air temp is still 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Can see the lake influence at work. I'm at 36 while it's in the upper 30s/low 40s farther north near the shore in IL/WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Younar Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Decent snow in the western twin cities metro right now. Eyeballing A little over an inch and coming down at a good clip. Forecast for 2-4 is looking good if it keeps this up for few more hours. Looks feasible based on radar returns. Despite temps in the mid 30s most of the day, it is sticking to all surfaces, even main roads, thanks to a period of sleet during the transition. Roads are a mess right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 19 minutes ago, Younar said: Decent snow in the western twin cities metro right now. Eyeballing A little over an inch and coming down at a good clip. Forecast for 2-4 is looking good if it keeps this up for few more hours. Looks feasible based on radar returns. Despite temps in the mid 30s most of the day, it is sticking to all surfaces, even main roads, thanks to a period of sleet during the transition. Roads are a mess right now. The sleet is hitting the window so hard here in Roseville at times that I need to turn the TV up. Had about a half inch of snow earlier this afternoon that's still on the ground. Roads are definitely a mess. Radar returns to the south suggest some heavy precip in the metro soon. I hope it flips to all snow. I hate the sound of pingers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Younar Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 28 minutes ago, Chitown Storm said: The sleet is hitting the window so hard here in Roseville at times that I need to turn the TV up. Had about a half inch of snow earlier this afternoon that's still on the ground. Roads are definitely a mess. Radar returns to the south suggest some heavy precip in the metro soon. I hope it flips to all snow. I hate the sound of pingers. I am hoping those heavier returns to the south don't have pingers... we have been all snow since about 630 and we are pushing two inches here. If that band is all snow, we can probably double that once it pushes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Picked up 0.19" this evening to bring us to 0.20" for the day. Only 36 out there right now. Very cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Freezing Rains developing by Fort Wayne a few hours faster than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 5 hours ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Freezing Rains developing by Fort Wayne a few hours faster than expected. .....and changed over to plain rain faster than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Definitely a winter wonderland out there this morning. Heavy slop plastered over everything. Picked up about 2" overnight and could pick up another inch with the deformation zone moving through. Looks like another 1-2" Thanksgiving eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Younar Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 3 minutes ago, Chitown Storm said: Definitely a winter wonderland out there this morning. Heavy slop plastered over everything. Picked up about 2" overnight and could pick up another inch with the deformation zone moving through. Looks like another 1-2" Thanksgiving eve. Picked up 3.5" here although it has compacted down some being such a wet snow. The MPX office which is maybe 4 miles away reported 3.8 as of midnight but it continued snowing for a couple of hours so wouldn't be surprise if they ended up around 4.5". Loving the look as we head into early Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Some areas started off with mixed precip last night, but it's been rain ever since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 0.54" of rain here overnight, right in line with model qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Precip underachieved here. Only 0.25" compared to the 0.5-0.75" forecast by most of the models. Today was about as awful as it gets. All day drizzle, fog, dense overcast, and temps in the low 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 Has anyone heard from snowstormcanuck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 1 hour ago, Ottawa Blizzard said: Has anyone heard from snowstormcanuck? I haven't heard from him since last spring. Hope everything is okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 39 minutes ago, blizzardof96 said: I haven't heard from him since last spring. Hope everything is okay. I checked his profile earlier and he hasn't visited the site since last May. I wonder if he's still in London, Ontario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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