Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Looks like the umpteenth round of above-normal temps that began Halloween weekend will continue at least into the first day or so of November, at least here in Central Illinois. FWIW Weather Channel's 10-day forecast currently has 75 predicted for Tuesday (Nov. 1): https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/62704:4:US Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjim101 Posted October 28, 2016 Share Posted October 28, 2016 With a forecasted high in the upper 60’s the start of November could be the warmest here in GR since 2000. And as we have not had a reading of 32° yet at GRR this will be the latest that Grand Rapids had not reached freezing since 1940 (November 6) I know there is a lot of people looking for a big "flip" in mid to late November and that very will may happen but then again it may not, If indeed there is a big flip to much colder conditions then there is a good chance of a good amount of lake effect but there also more than just lake temperatures for good lake effect to happen. Stay tuned! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 0Z GFS in fantasy range shows a little gift for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 Near record warmth to open the month, likely the warmest start to November since 2000 for most of Loopin Euro through 240, shows well above normal temps with the 540s north of the border. Like most, still waiting on first frost/freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 Gotta love GFS fantasy land sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 30, 2016 Share Posted October 30, 2016 FWA tied their record high at 78° ('91. '46, '22) yesterday per an IWX PNS. However, threaded extremes show a 79° (1897, the first year for record keeping at Fort Wayne). November will begin with another high temp record (79° - 1950) being threatened. The 83° (1910) on Wednesday looks safe. This is the latest 80°+ record at FWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tanner Verstegen Posted October 30, 2016 Share Posted October 30, 2016 If it even happens, I think we wait until week 3 for the ridge to retrograde west and bring cooler temps to the eastern half of the country. Week 1: record warmth for many Week 2: well above normal in plains, trending closer to normal in east..still warm Week 3: slightly below possible, focusing in the east. may stay above normal in the plains In my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 Hoping to get rid of the non stop ridge we have seen for several months now. The other side of the planet has stolen out cold for weeks now. October isn't a big deal, but good stuff can happen here in 2 weeks or so with a trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 17 hours ago, Jonger said: Hoping to get rid of the non stop ridge we have seen for several months now. The other side of the planet has stolen out cold for weeks now. October isn't a big deal, but good stuff can happen here in 2 weeks or so with a trough. And he says this is perhaps lagging a bit. Panel 4 looking nice: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 Ryan Maue tweeted out that models are latching onto the idea of a very cold second half of November, coincides well with the advertised pattern change mid month. 6-10 as well as 8-14 day temp and precip maps show well above normal temps and much below average precipitation form much of the sub Certainly do not want to start a drought on the heel of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 lol, weenies talking snow when it's going to be in the 60s all month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjim101 Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 This is a wrap up for GRR for the month of October. With October 2016 now in the record books it’s time to look and see how it was here in Grand Rapids. For the month, the mean temperature was 54.7° (+3.7°) Making it the warmest October since 2008. The warmest high was 79° on the 5th and the coldest low was 33° on the 32th making this October the first time since 1971 that GRR did not officially have a 32° reading in October and we have a good this year being the latest year without a 32 reading since 1940 (November 6th) in fact the all-time record of November 14th 1918 is in play. There was 6.15” of precipitation (+2.89”) and no snow was reported at GRR. On a side note there are still a lot of leaves on the trees and the color is still good. This is by far the latest I can remember this many leaves still on the trees this late in the year. I have a good reference point as we just had Halloween and my birthday is November 7th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: lol, weenies talking snow when it's going to be in the 60s all month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 Looks like our potential first shot of real cold won't be until at least Thanksgiving. The Pac jet will begin to breakdown, and hopefully we can eventually get some cross polar flow down into Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjim101 Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 I am getting ready to go outside and enjoy the nice November day. It’s now up to 71° with a 60° DP can you day warm and a touch humid in November? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 I think around the 20th is reasonable to target for getting some below normal temps in. That's about how long it'll take to flip from this very warm pattern. The month should easily average warmer than normal for almost the entire sub unless the last 10 days are record cold...which I somehow doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 51 minutes ago, OHweather said: I think around the 20th is reasonable to target for getting some below normal temps in. That's about how long it'll take to flip from this very warm pattern. The month should easily average warmer than normal for almost the entire sub unless the last 10 days are record cold...which I somehow doubt. I'd probably go a week later but there will be a flip late month, I am not buying the mid month flip because these things are always delayed a week or so, that said the flip is coming by December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 4 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: lol, weenies talking snow when it's going to be in the 60s all month 1/3rd of October was in the 40's and 50's here. I'm skeptical we are going up from this point. You're going to be so miserable running between trains/subways in a couple months. Gonna be nonstop complaints until May. You should look into moving here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 1 hour ago, Stebo said: I'd probably go a week later but there will be a flip late month, I am not buying the mid month flip because these things are always delayed a week or so, that said the flip is coming by December. I think either way it's better by December for sure. Some of the better analogs had warm falls and flipped by or during December, and the ensembles are hinting at an improving pattern consistently later in the runs. Patience will probably be key over the next few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 78 today, amazing weather with zero complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 56 minutes ago, OHweather said: I think either way it's better by December for sure. Some of the better analogs had warm falls and flipped by or during December, and the ensembles are hinting at an improving pattern consistently later in the runs. Patience will probably be key over the next few weeks. Honestly, I'd rather have good patterns later on anyways, having a good pattern in November usually doesn't yield for the region outside MN WI and the UP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 1 minute ago, Stebo said: 78 today, amazing weather with zero complaints. A tad cooler here but agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 Just now, Stebo said: Honestly, I'd rather have good patterns later on anyways, having a good pattern in November usually doesn't yield for the region outside MN WI and the UP. I prefer a front loaded winter for sure. Annoying when it starts late and drags on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 11 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I prefer a front loaded winter for sure. Annoying when it starts late and drags on. Aside from 2013, a front loaded has been a rarity since 2010. I want a white Christmas so bad, even 2013 had the thaw at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 13 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I prefer a front loaded winter for sure. Annoying when it starts late and drags on. Yeah, later on for me is in December/January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjim101 Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 The high at the airport so far of 73° will make this the warmest November 1st since 1990 when it reached 74. While the record high for today here in Grand Rapids is very warm 81 set in 1950 (that is the all time record high for the month) but todays high (so far) of 73 will be good for 4th place behind the 81 in 1950, 76 in 1944 and that 74 set in 1990. But note just last November GRR had 4 days in a row of 73, 76, 75, 72 and then a day of 67° that probably was the longest streak of such warm days in November. On a side note the last white Christmas here in Grand Rapids was in 2013 While two years dose not seem like a long time for here that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 2 hours ago, Jonger said: 1/3rd of October was in the 40's and 50's here. I'm skeptical we are going up from this point. You're going to be so miserable running between trains/subways in a couple months. Gonna be nonstop complaints until May. You should look into moving here. If things play out, in a couple months that'll look good to a lot on here. Maybe even myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConfusedKitten Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 23 minutes ago, Stebo said: 78 today, amazing weather with zero complaints. Wow it's only 67 up here in London, maybe I should take a brief vacation down to Southeast Michigan AKA Florida. Seriously though it's nice to open my windows for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 29 minutes ago, ConfusedKitten said: Wow it's only 67 up here in London, maybe I should take a brief vacation down to Southeast Michigan AKA Florida. Seriously though it's nice to open my windows for once. Warm front pretty much stalled near the border. High of 68 here today was enjoyable. Should be nice and warm for World Series game six tonight! Currently 77 in Cleveland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 58 here today. Can't really complain I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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