forkyfork Posted November 27, 2016 Share Posted November 27, 2016 39 minutes ago, PB GFI said: The 12z GFS went right to this. Weenie run. 300 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 27, 2016 Share Posted November 27, 2016 44 minutes ago, PB GFI said: The 12z GFS went right to this. Weenie run. The cold shots are impressive on the GEFS. Would be nice if the 50/50 hangs on too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted November 27, 2016 Share Posted November 27, 2016 2 hours ago, packbacker said: Wonder if we just end up seeing a typical weak -ENSO/+QBO pattern setup as the predominate pattern. So far no sign of a displaced GOA ridge...so far (knock on wood). I think most here would take that pattern... Yep. Looks like the +QBO; La Niña forcing is taking over with that poleward aleutian ridge that Isotherm and HM wrote about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 27, 2016 Share Posted November 27, 2016 21 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Yep. Looks like the +QBO; La Niña forcing is taking over with that poleward aleutian ridge that Isotherm and HM wrote about Also....not surprising when you look at just the strong ninas with +QBO the SER is more evident. Why I peeled these out of my plot above. Hoping for a dying Nina or even if it just stays the same. Weaker the Nino seems to reduce the chance at SER with +QBO...which seems to be due to some form of Greenland block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Good morning...first morning in 20's here this season...looks like some good rains coming Tuesday thru Wed night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Current temp is 30 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 A wet, warm, and windy ending to November. Heavy rains this week as the Gulf opens for business. The last 2 days of the month will also have big positive temp departures as we have a shot at 60's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Heavy frost here this morning! Down to 30. We rain this week as the cutter parade starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 28, 2016 Author Share Posted November 28, 2016 37 for the low here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 heavy frost here. 29. Wonder if Nov ends in the top 10 for any NYC reporting site? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: heavy frost here. 29. Wonder if Nov ends in the top 10 for any NYC reporting site? LGA is currently at 6th warmest November with BDR in 10th place. The last two days of November will have some very warm departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 22 at 6 am. Heavy frost. Bring on the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 28 for a low with heavy frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Newark hit 32. First? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 First 20s of the season here. 27.5° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 4 hours ago, bluewave said: LGA is currently at 6th warmest November with BDR in 10th place. The last two days of November will have some very warm departures. November will end up averaging about the same it has been over the last 10 or 12 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 We could use a freeze now here in Battery Park City - we still have mosquitos everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Euro hints at a borderline event in the day 5-6 range, NW of NYC changeover to snow, extreme burbs in some parts are 8-12", immediate burbs around 2-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 2 hours ago, WEATHERBUFF said: November will end up averaging about the same it has been over the last 10 or 12 years. While we had a few colder than normal Novembers in the mix, the big story has been the historic November warmth during the 2000's. LGA November warmth rankings #1...2001 #2...2006 #3...2015 #6...2016 so far #7...2011 #8...2009 #11.2005 #12.2003 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 18z GFS is a deluge for the areas upcoming rainfall, looks to be widespread 1.75"-3.00" with a few pockets of 4.00" amounts. This is going to be much needed and welcomed rain which will put a good dent into the drought and hopefully the start of a much more active pattern just in time for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 36 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: 18z GFS is a deluge for the areas upcoming rainfall, looks to be widespread 1.75"-3.00" with a few pockets of 4.00" amounts. This is going to be much needed and welcomed rain which will put a good dent into the drought and hopefully the start of a much more active pattern just in time for winter. The Euro is also widespread 2+ from the two events with near record PWAT's for late November and elevated convective enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 ...KFOK temps rose almost 30* in 7 hours temp bottomed out @ 26* @9pm..rose to 53* @5am.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Another month with an extreme departure above +10 for parts of the US. Grand Forks, ND...+14.6 through 11/28/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 No cold anywhere in November. Continuation of this year's torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 On 11/28/2016 at 1:54 PM, pazzo83 said: We could use a freeze now here in Battery Park City - we still have mosquitos everywhere. Same here out in Bushwick. The last few years the mosquitoes haven't gone away until January. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 30, 2016 Author Share Posted November 30, 2016 1 minute ago, masomenos said: Same here out in Bushwick. The last few years the mosquitoes haven't gone away until January. Crazy. Yeah I see mosquitoes from time to time as well here in bed stuy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted November 30, 2016 Share Posted November 30, 2016 24 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Yeah I see mosquitoes from time to time as well here in bed stuy I've pretty much resigned to the fact that you're always going to get bit by something in this city. If it's not a bedbug, flea, mosquito, or rat, some nut on the subway will gladly take their place! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 30, 2016 Author Share Posted November 30, 2016 2 minutes ago, masomenos said: I've pretty much resigned to the fact that you're always going to get bit by something in this city. If it's not a bedbug, flea, mosquito, or rat, some nut on the subway will gladly take their place! Lol bingo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 30, 2016 Share Posted November 30, 2016 40 minutes ago, masomenos said: I've pretty much resigned to the fact that you're always going to get bit by something in this city. If it's not a bedbug, flea, mosquito, or rat, some nut on the subway will gladly take their place! Truth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted November 30, 2016 Share Posted November 30, 2016 5 hours ago, masomenos said: Same here out in Bushwick. The last few years the mosquitoes haven't gone away until January. Crazy. Right? It's annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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