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November 2016 Pattern Discussion


dmillz25

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3 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said:

I think that was a result of the orientation of the thermal gradient aloft. If you look back at SPC Mesoanalysis 850s you'll see how it was oriented east-west.

SPC 11-20-16.png

I'd say even SW-NE w the trough going negative but correct idea. Interesting that the storm dumped light accumulations in Staten Is/Central NJ with nothing in the hilly parts of S Westchester. I even hiked up to 400' in the woods but nothing.

Anthony, the TG storm is NOT a threat for most of this subforum. The airmass warms too much as a Bermuda high develops Wednesday. BUT, the TG storm becomes our 50/50 low for the 28th threat, which the 12z ECM yesterday turned into a major snowstorm..still on there today but gets going later.

Also expecting another threat in the Dec 3-5 timeframe after the Nov 30 storm cuts to our west. PAC has a brief favorable window with high heights building into the EPO regions and more of an Aleutian low.

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