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November 2016 Pattern Discussion


dmillz25

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We are now getting towards the 6 days mark .

 

Although the turn to somewhat colder that was expected around the 15th was wrong , it now appears the 12z GFS ensemble guidance now sees the 18th as the date .

 

More important than the actual departures , it is building the block in the Atlantic . So although I don`t expect the PAC to slow down much , you do run the chance of running any lobes of energy crossing the CONUS underneath . 

gfs-ens_z500aMean_nhem_6.png

gfs-ens_z500aMean_nhem_10.png

gfs-ens_z500aMean_namer_12.png

 

gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_7.png

gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_10.png

gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_12.png

 

 

 

 

 

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