OceanStWx Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That's been showing up pretty consistently the last few runs across all guidance. Some guidance tries to wrap it more into an actual coastal while others are making it a very potent inverted trough. GGEM hammered most of eastern MA with that setup. Yeah, just noticing how the GFS almost goes from trof to deformation band along the coast. I wouldn't bet on that evolution, but like you said, at least we have a strong s/wv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Thanksgiving looks like it could have one of those leading WAA weenie bands from H7 warm front. One of those deals where QPF looks meh, but then you have people saying "wow it's coming down good.." It won't last long..but I could see that. Decent mid level warmth moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Just now, CoastalWx said: Thanksgiving looks like it could have one of those leading WAA weenie bands from H7 warm front. One of those deals where QPF looks meh, but then you have people saying "wow it's coming down good.." It won't last long..but I could see that. Decent mid level warmth moving in. If things break right, I could def see a band of 1-2" over parts of the interior...but I'd want to wait until we're in RGEM range to start throwing out accumulations seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If things break right, I could def see a band of 1-2" over parts of the interior...but I'd want to wait until we're in RGEM range to start throwing out accumulations seriously. Yeah..and those mid level bands usually can get the coast before low level flow tries to infect it....if it ever does anyways. Something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 All joking aside, every now and again, someone does get hit hard with these. Def. bears watching...esp. at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 No surprise that I arrive back in the USA and an hour later it snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Exciting times ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Based on guidance today everyone in New England sees snow in the Th - Sat timeframe. Just a matter of nailing down if its ENE jack or everyone shares the wealth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Very limited resources, so probably not much wealth to be distributed, nevermind the equality of said distribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Very limited resources, so probably not much wealth to be distributed, nevermind the equality of said distribution. Tgiving favors WNE.. Sat favors ene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 dead in here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 10 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: dead in here... Not a whole lot more to add that hasn't been said since midday. We aren't close enough to the Saturday system to really talk much about it given the uncertainty in how it even develops and the Tday event is more of a nuisance type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Yeah the weaker the Tday event becomes, the strong the Saturday system becomes, something tells me that setup on the GFS is quite the snow maker for ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 8 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Yeah the weaker the Tday event becomes, the strong the Saturday system becomes, something tells me that setup on the GFS is quite the snow maker for ENE. Looks like rain for most outside of CNE and NNE, am I missing something? The GFS is weak with the TDay storm and wet for Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Yes but cold air is nearby, all it will take is a little northern stream interaction with the disturbance and we have a white post Thanksgiving Saturday. I will wait until later this week before snow is ruled out for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 tday looks like flurries if that on the NAM.. winter cancel.. jk.. I'm not expecting much, was hoping for a snow storm so my wife's family would cancel coming over for dinner and I can watch the Cowboys game in peace.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Marginal air mass, Coastal areas would have a tough time seeing snow unless we get a secondary development on the Saturday system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 17 minutes ago, dryslot said: Marginal air mass, Coastal areas would have a tough time seeing snow unless we get a secondary development on the Saturday system Yeah, I'm not seeing it at the moment. Looks wet for all of SNE outside maybe Northern ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Most of SNE would see snow if this ends up as an IVT. SE areas prob rain....esp coastal. Still too early to really talk ptype with any confidence though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Most of SNE would see snow if this ends up as an IVT. SE areas prob rain....esp coastal. Still too early to really talk ptype with any confidence though. That would be likely, Inland different story, But still a few days out to say with any confidence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 GFS looks good for some light accumulation N of Rt 2 on Thursday even at lower elevations. Hopefully makes for a pretty but not treacherous drive East for Thanksgiving festivities. 2014 was an amazing ride down Rt 2 E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 GFS is out to 108 now, and shows a strong secondary developing southeast of Montauk, NY at 1010mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Low is now over Hyannis, MA at hour 114, 1mb/hour for the past 6 hours on the model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 GFS is no good for Saturday but it continues to be the warmest of all the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Will, what is the EURO saying for the same period, all I have access to currently is the 24 hour periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Will, what is the EURO saying for the same period, all I have access to currently is the 24 hour periods. 12z Euro had an inverted trough and crushed Maine. Scrapes E MA with some snow. It's definitely colder than GFS though so it's worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Would it have brought snow to Cape Cod? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Nice rainstorm on the GFS outside of the far inland elevated locations in CNE/NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Yeah oh well, December I liked more anyways for snow for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Pattern changing type of cutter appears to take place between November 27th and December 1st on the GFS, large arctic front takes place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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