Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 1 hour ago, klw said: If the ice in November can hold a duck, rest of winter is just Sleet and Muck. I like that proverb, almost as much as the New England winter consisting of 9 months of winter and 3 months of damn poor sleading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 Forget it...it's ovah Just need it cold enough to blast snow for end part of November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 10, 2016 Author Share Posted November 10, 2016 there is a reason why the 'perception' sometimes supports proverbs for those having to do with the weather... for example, "Red sky at morning, sailor takes warning; red sky at night, sailor's delight" actually has some merit in the conceptual sense, for middle latitudes. The reason is because the mean motion of the atmosphere is west to east. At dawn, a rising sun will refract red and purple ...yellows and blues an storminess from activity that is west of the given location, thus, moving east toward the observer. The sailor takes note of that. Contrasting, in the evening the opposite is naturally true. If the setting sun is visible against a departing storm with the same palette of colors, the sailor takes note that the storm is departing and fairer conditions should immediately prevail. That of course does not always work. Storms 'retrograde' ... etc, etc. But the idea of red at dawn vs evening has some validity. Don't know about the November duck vs muck one. Although, I can posit that it might be related to residence times for patterns. Patterns are weird though... you can be in a basic regime for 18 months, and yet layers of patterns evolve in and out over that - but the rest state is still the pattern. That happened for 2 consecutive winters when the Great Lakes then New England both froze recently - whatever global physical parameter favored those whopper -EPO winters, it was 'base-lined' that whole time. Even so, about every 45 to 90 days, something morphs a given paradigm 'that much' to alter the perception of sensible weather. If you are in sloped flow in October and it lasts into November, you may lock up ponds, concrete the earth, but... can that last from the 20th through to February 15? not likely... But that's just supposition. I've also read correlations about October and November and the winter that go against that, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 In my experience, "red sky in evening" works over 90% of the time, but "red sky at morning" perhaps 50%. Still not bad for a proverb over 2,000 years old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 This times 10000000000000. Sheesh people are acting like winter is half way through already when it hasn't even started yet. Yeah the proposed pattern change hasn't occurred but it's still early. I'll worry if it hasn't changed in February This post could be a carbon copy of one from last year. People kept saying don't worry it's early, only another week or month away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 EURO looks to be a snowstorm for day 10, but again how accurate is any model at day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 10 hours ago, Lava Rock said: This post could be a carbon copy of one from last year. People kept saying don't worry it's early, only another week or month away. Yeah I understand. This year should be much better for you guys is what I'm saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 36 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Yeah I understand. This year should be much better for you guys is what I'm saying It's a completely different ENSO regime. But he also shouldn't expect that it will be above normal snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's a completely different ENSO regime. But he also shouldn't expect that it will be above normal snow. After last year I would think the same thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 Has to be a first for SNE. Forest fires in Nov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Has to be a first for SNE. Forest fires in Nov A first? You should check background before making a fool of yourself yourself. http://www.ct.gov/deep/cwp/view.asp?a=2697&q=322782&deepNav_GID=1631 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 BDL gust to 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: BDL gust to 48 nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 Quick tenth of an inch so far at home. Pretty solid orographic snow showers and graupel squalls rolling through the past hour. About as exciting as it'll get for a week lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 November is near, but hasn't arrived yet. Maybe it comes by Christmas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 2 hours ago, weathafella said: A first? You should check background before making a fool of yourself yourself. http://www.ct.gov/deep/cwp/view.asp?a=2697&q=322782&deepNav_GID=1631 November 1987 or 1988...massive forest fires in the Northeast somewhere, I remember smoke in the sky a few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 I think we'll see widespread record high temps Friday and Sat next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 9 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I think we'll see widespread record high temps Friday and Sat next week. Based on what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: November is near, but hasn't arrived yet. Maybe it comes by Christmas? Nothing lasts forever.. even warm November days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing lasts forever.. even warm November days lolol...GnR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 11, 2016 Author Share Posted November 11, 2016 i dunno...feels damn Novie like to me at the moment. it's been an interesting transitional pattern the last ten days or so. 30 hours of bite, followed by cargo shorts and long sleeve shirts...rinse repeat. Some intervals even briefer before flipping back. This air mass tsunamis today appears no different. 60 This morning, now 42 after the day's Canadian assault of white noise over head whirled leaves into frantic eddies. you know you're a geek when you stop to watch "leaf-nados" whirl around - people turn their head as they pass by wondering what the f you're looking at... anyway, -9 C at 850 at dawn tomorrow, then +6 C by Sunday early afternoon on an absolutely perfect wind direction to get a kadabatic assist... Probably 63 in some exit coastal zones - amazing day there I think. becoming higher confident for some sort of coastal inflection to lift up next week. I am sure others have noted that latter period off-on cut-off Nor'easter thing for D7-9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 Seems like in this fast PAC progressive ripping flow that any coastal is going to miss OTS. I'd take the under on any meaningful rains or coastal slam into SNE. Too fast a flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 Looks like I picked the right year for a season pass at Mount Snow: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/11/10/north-america-is-flooded-in-warmth-and-there-is-no-sign-of-real-winter/#comments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 11, 2016 Author Share Posted November 11, 2016 I'm not sure this is a "fast pacific flow" the l/w axis has been pretty locked in around the longitude of Nove Scotia - that's why these troughs keep bottoming out east of us and we get these sideswipe cold air mass in the same way over and over. it almost reminds me just having a cool draft blow by in an otherwise warm room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: I'm not sure this is a "fast pacific flow" the l/w axis has been pretty locked in around the longitude of Nove Scotia - that's why these trough keep bottoming out east of us and we get these sideswipe cold air mass in the same way over and over. Looks like another longer lasting cold shot next Fri-Sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 12 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Has to be a first for SNE. Forest fires in Nov https://weather.com/news/news/southeast-wildfires Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 10 minutes ago, Dan76 said: https://weather.com/news/news/southeast-wildfires The country burns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 Some pretty good squalls coming through, maybe 1/10" in a few minutes. Hard to tell how much because of the raging wind. Feels Arctic compared to the past few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 1 hour ago, alex said: Some pretty good squalls coming through, maybe 1/10" in a few minutes. Hard to tell how much because of the raging wind. Feels Arctic compared to the past few days Yeah it feels nasty out. Arctic wind feel for the first time this season. 33F and gusting 30mph in the valley. Up at 1500ft it's 29F, sustained at 29mph and gusting to 40mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 First sub-zero wind chills of the season up on the hill. Pretty nasty to be sustained over 50mph and gusting in the 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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