powderfreak Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Hit 63F today in town... really a nice day with a 41 degree diurnal swing off a low of 22F. Amazing to me this time of year though how fast the temp drops. Just plummets once the sun heads below the Spine. The 00z observations at 7pm are showing a 6-hour max of 63F and a min of 35F. Almost a 30 degree drop in the past few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 12 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Lol. I'm having my second hernia surgery in 3 weeks after having first in june. Hoping to be skiing and snowmobiling by early January. Yikes heal well bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Should be another night of "fake cold" as some like to say. Currently 35F at 750ft and 51F at 1,500ft... last night's lows were 22F at 750ft and 38F at 1,500ft. In a boring pattern, the most excitement we get is having a 15-20 degree difference over about 700-800ft of elevation change. Car thermometer can't keep up with it when driving through the inversion layer...starts skipping 2-3 degrees at a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 18 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Hit 63F today in town... really a nice day with a 41 degree diurnal swing off a low of 22F. Amazing to me this time of year though how fast the temp drops. Just plummets once the sun heads below the Spine. The 00z observations at 7pm are showing a 6-hour max of 63F and a min of 35F. Almost a 30 degree drop in the past few hours. Same high here (63F) off a low of 24F Beautiful day. Wish I got to spend it outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 54 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Like twisting a knife into DIT's back. The antithesis of hype. Not trolling either lol. Just looks rather boring, overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Boring in November isn't a bad thing though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 51 minutes ago, Hoth said: Maybe take a break? Feel free if you need it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 11 hours ago, powderfreak said: Hit 63F today in town... really a nice day with a 41 degree diurnal swing off a low of 22F. Amazing to me this time of year though how fast the temp drops. Just plummets once the sun heads below the Spine. The 00z observations at 7pm are showing a 6-hour max of 63F and a min of 35F. Almost a 30 degree drop in the past few hours. i walked across the street down here in Cambridge at around 2, it was quite nice out. No jacket needed. at 4 i walked across the street to get some lunch, and it was quite a bit chillier. it got chilly fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 9, 2016 Author Share Posted November 9, 2016 well well well... looks as though we'll slip through this interval of favorable GEFs-derived teleconnector spread having not seen much presentation on the pattern. sometimes that happens.. some may blame that on the GEFs but don't - they're not THAT bad over the long haul. i'm curious if the Euro ensemble derivatives still buckin' for the 20th? - sorry i've been off for days we've recurved a west Pac typhoon, and continue in the wake of that having the MJO prog show every member drilling the wave through phase 7-8-1... yet despite these tantalizing tropically forced signals the NP is strongly to respond and this is also not transmitting well over N/A. yeeah, there are some semblances there of +Perennial N/A pattern but the next run or run after that consummately returns to the rather antithetic rest-state of bulging the SE ridge back and least excuse imaginable. i would caution (duh) that Novie patterns don't really bear out too well for ensuing winters ...sometimes they do, but the correlation leaves plenty of room for less skill. that's code for we could easily flip it around in December or mid January...like 2014 and not really see it coming too well. anyway, having said all that the 12z oper. Euro...that's really quite the pattern for next week... may be a bit early to sustain cold; given a month, that's a couple of blue babes probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 ZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: ZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz. Tell me about it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 Actually, I may take that back. Given Steve's pants tent for tides, might get interesting next week if models are right with a potential coastal low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 Euro's alone with that storm. Tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 They all have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 GFS never had it until 6z. In a torch drought you toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: GFS never had it until 6z. In a torch drought you toss. Stick to cleaning your yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Stick to cleaning your yard. GFS has been Ots until 6z. Sorry you're still upset about the weeks events. Do you think Nov is snowless? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: GFS has been Ots until 6z. Sorry you're still upset about the weeks events. Do you think Nov is snowless? All the models have had something. Nobody said it's the perfect storm. I would keep an eye out though. Other than that ZZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: All the models have had something. Nobody said it's the perfect storm. I would keep an eye out though. Other than that ZZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzz. New JMA weeklies are torched right thru mid Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 I think anyone who thought Nov was going to turn cold and snowy are about to get a taste of the bong water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 5 minutes ago, Hazey said: I think anyone who thought Nov was going to turn cold and snowy are about to get a taste of the bong water. Feel bad for those folks who fail to understand climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 I was at least hoping for seasonable weather...looks definitely warmer than normal...even torchy perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 New JMA weeklies are torched right thru mid DecDon't worry, there's always January. Seriously though it is frustrating to see this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Don't worry, there's always January. Seriously though it is frustrating to see this pattern. Seriously though, it's 11/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 13 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Don't worry, there's always January. Seriously though it is frustrating to see this pattern. It's a hot mess. As far out as you look. The one eyed pig just sits , stares and laughs at winter fans in North America. No one is safe from one eyed Willy this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Seriously though, it's 11/10. This times 10000000000000. Sheesh people are acting like winter is half way through already when it hasn't even started yet. Yeah the proposed pattern change hasn't occurred but it's still early. I'll worry if it hasn't changed in February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Seriously though, it's 11/10. Exactly. Same thing every year with some...their dilution that the second half of November should bring cold and snowstorms is just way off base for SNE. Sometimes it can and does, most times NOT. Even December most years are iffy with regard to sustained cold and snow. Climo is not winter here in November and most of December most years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's a hot mess. As far out as you look. The one eyed pig just sits , stares and laughs at winter fans in North America. No one is safe from one eyed Willy this winter On the flip side the Eye on Sky forecast used this old proverb today as a way to argue a cold start is not a sign of a great snowy winter to come: If the ice in November can hold a duck, rest of winter is just Sleet and Muck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 59 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Exactly. Same thing every year with some...their dilution that the second half of November should bring cold and snowstorms is just way off base for SNE. Sometimes it can and does, most times NOT. Even December most years are iffy with regard to sustained cold and snow. Climo is not winter here in November and most of December most years. Yeah, it’s sort of feels like an annual broken record at this point. Yeah, we get it, snow at Thanksgiving happens in SNE… once in a while (Will ran or estimated the numbers at one point), but it’s far from the norm, and expecting it is just a delusional weenie thing. I actually loved Thanksgivings when I lived in SNE as a kid – heading off into the local woods with my grandfather to track down a holly tree and get a sprig, walking through the crunchy leaves, enjoying the seasonable weather. But snow? Even up here in the upslope zone of the Northern Greens my numbers suggest that white Thanksgivings are ~50% in the valleys, so not something you can really count on. And, even if there is snow down low at Thanksgiving, it’s not as if it’s all that useful – it’s typically a pretty thin pack (checking my numbers, mean depth is right around a half foot). When we do have valley snow at that point though, it could mean the mountains are having a good run of snow and the skiing could be great, so that’s definitely something to watch for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 Meanwhile, the 6z operational gfs has a -epo building beyond day 10, with cold air invading much of the country. I'm putting all my chips on the 6z operational. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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