tamarack Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 5:13 PM, Lava Rock said: I know it's early, but my concern is a repeat of last year. Some say statistically it can't happen, but IDK. I can't fathom another ratter. Expand Statistically very unlikely, but not impossible. Farmington's two least snowy of 124 winters on record came in 1979-80 and 1980-81, with the latter getting 1" less than the former. Their only two with less than 50% of average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 5:54 PM, tamarack said: Statistically very unlikely, but not impossible. Farmington's two least snowy of 124 winters on record came in 1979-80 and 1980-81, with the latter getting 1" less than the former. Their only two with less than 50% of average. Expand Did they exceed 50% of normal last winter? I didn't know if anyone did lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 Because this will clearly be a snowless winter, I am going to start rooting for drought busting rainstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 I wonder how many years in the November 1-15 date range you can go back and find advocates for either nuclear winter or installing. Never fails this time of year to have people getting out on that edge....either edge. Seasons in seasons, winter is coming but must be patient. That said, we certainly seem like we're in a boring pattern for months with no exciting storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 I'd take a repeat of last winter in a heartbeat. 107" vs normal 87". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 5:56 PM, powderfreak said: Did they exceed 50% of normal last winter? I didn't know if anyone did lol. Expand Yup. 52%, 4th lowest, and missed 3rd by 0.1". CAR has never finished below 50; lowest is 52% in 43-44, the only one under 60%. (61-62 just squeaked over that line. Farmington measured over 40" more than CAR that winter, and almost 40" more in 43-44, thanks mainly to the 30" maple mauler in November.) CAR finished at 82% last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 Absolutely abysmal runs and ensembles today. Nothing but furnace as far out as they go. Freaking 60's on Tgiving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 9:17 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Absolutely abysmal runs and ensembles today. Nothing but furnace as far out as they go. Freaking 60's on Tgiving Expand ensembles don't go out to Thanksgiving Kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 Gotta be patient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 9:20 PM, Ginx snewx said: ensembles don't go out to Thanksgiving Kevin Expand They do when one extrapolates the pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 9:26 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Gotta be patient. Expand My top ten warmest Nov versus snow since 1975 Dec - Feb, yea that is a pretty ugly correlation 1 2011 47.3 19.2 2 1975 46.3 30.3 3 2006 46.1 14.2 - 2001 46.1 23.4 5 2009 45.8 60.9 6 1999 45.3 23.5 - 1979 45.3 7.5 8 2015 45.1 34.9 9 1994 44.8 16.2 10 1982 44.2 49.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 9:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said: They do when one extrapolates the pattern Expand so you extrapolated 2m temps, cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 Maybe I will get my knee replaced this winter, was worried I'd miss out on an epic year LOL j/k climo in NNE is pretty sweet and another late winter would be perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 9:32 PM, Ginx snewx said: My top ten warmest Nov versus snow since 1975 Dec - Feb, yea that is a pretty ugly correlation 1 2011 47.3 19.2 2 1975 46.3 30.3 3 2006 46.1 14.2 - 2001 46.1 23.4 5 2009 45.8 60.9 6 1999 45.3 23.5 - 1979 45.3 7.5 8 2015 45.1 34.9 9 1994 44.8 16.2 10 1982 44.2 49.8 Expand I feel like I ask all the time but what's your rough average for comparison? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 I'm really down in the dumps over what's transpired this week for rest of month and beyond. Nothing to look forward to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 9:46 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I'm really down in the dumps over what's transpired this week for rest of month and beyond. Nothing to look forward to Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 9:45 PM, powderfreak said: I feel like I ask all the time but what's your rough average for comparison? Expand about 53, last ten years 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 Kev looks a lot like Michael Stipe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 9:50 PM, Ginx snewx said: about 53, last ten years 63 Expand lol cool thanks, old and new regime. So yeah those aren't good numbers for a warm Novie. Time for the cliff jumping...DIT should really lose it in another week or so. I'd still maintain no matter what happens it will be better than last winter which is all that matters, ha. As an aside it's interesting that 6 of those 10 warm Nov have occurred since 1999. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 9:55 PM, powderfreak said: lol cool thanks, old and new regime. So yeah those aren't good numbers for a warm Novie. Time for the cliff jumping...DIT should really lose it in another week or so. I'd still maintain no matter what happens it will be better than last winter which is all that matters, ha. As an aside it's interesting that 6 of those 10 warm Nov have occurred since 1999. Expand March is the new winter month replacing December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 10:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: March is the new winter month replacing December Expand Last year it was April replacing Dec lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 10:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: March is the new winter month replacing December Expand Last year it was April replacing Dec lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 10:24 PM, powderfreak said: Last year it was April replacing Dec lol. Expand I'd hit a solid Christmas day to March 28th up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 When we had that snowy period(2014-2015), if i remember we didn't get a majority of it until late January etc(I may be off a bit)? Based on what everyone is reading into, was November-December 2014 like what we are experiencing now before we got clobbered later in January-February? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 Zzzzzzzzzzzzzz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 10:38 PM, 512high said: When we had that snowy period(2014-2015), if i remember we didn't get a majority of it until late January etc(I may be off a bit)? Based on what everyone is reading into, was November-December 2014 like what we are experiencing now before we got clobbered later in January-February? Expand Jan 27th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 10:38 PM, CoastalWx said: Zzzzzzzzzzzzzz. Expand Like twisting a knife into DIT's back. The antithesis of hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 9:46 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I'm really down in the dumps over what's transpired this week for rest of month and beyond. Nothing to look forward to Expand Maybe take a break? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 On 11/8/2016 at 9:35 PM, Ginx snewx said: Maybe I will get my knee replaced this winter, was worried I'd miss out on an epic year LOL j/k climo in NNE is pretty sweet and another late winter would be perfect.Lol. I'm having my second hernia surgery in 3 weeks after having first in june. Hoping to be skiing and snowmobiling by early January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 This should not be a total shock. Any time you have a PV near AK, proceed with caution. Doesn't mean the whole winter is shot, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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