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Oct 27th to 29th vigorous Vort max Sn/Rn/wind


Ginx snewx

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925mb is def warming slower than models had it...esp yesterday. Still -2C from just south of HFD up through ORH. Most guidance had it well above 0C by 18z, which is why they showed basically no snow east of the Berkshires/Litchfield hills. I don't think it's a monster bust...but it will allow a lot of people to see some minor accums.

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9 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said:

Most of Northern Litchfield County is at or just below freezing and with heavier precipitation moving in there it must be a real winter wonderland up in the hills.

NWS will bust low up there. Highest forecast I could find this AM was 1-2"...but last several HRRR runs have put out up to 4-6" around Norfolk & Colebrook

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part of that wait another month for a system like this, thing we were discussing earlier..

if there was any snow pack at all in Ontario as this high built it...  even if that had happened now (forget thanks giggedy) we'd have probably white-walled this sucker

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you can tell that the western areas that were able to get the precipitation in during the morning and also get the heavier rates were able to wetbulb right to freezing. Areas east of Interstate 91 got well into the upper thirties in many cases before  it started and without the heavier rates to really bring down the temperature it looks like it's going to be mainly mid 30s and non accumulating snows with perhaps a few coatings in the hilltops east of the Connecticut River. 

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4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

part of that wait another month for a system like this, thing we were discussing earlier..

if there was any snow pack at all in Ontario as this high built it...  even if that had happened now (forget thanks giggedy) we'd have probably white-walled this sucker

 

Yeah we probably would have had cryospheric feedback so that the entire cold wedge was "deeper" or "thicker", and you shunt the whole thing under LI...or at the very least, you produce a more prolonged frontogenetically-induced wall of heavy snow.

 

At any rate, this is still really impressive for October...the vast majority of October snows usually tend to come on the tail end of a system or an anafront type event. Very rare to get really any type of snow on a front end thump in October...at least at our general latitude.

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

 

Yeah we probably would have had cryospheric feedback so that the entire cold wedge was "deeper" or "thicker", and you shunt the whole thing under LI...or at the very least, you produce a more prolonged frontogenetically-induced wall of heavy snow.

 

At any rate, this is still really impressive for October...the vast majority of October snows usually tend to come on the tail end of a system or an anafront type event. Very rare to get really any type of snow on a front end thump in October.

without a doubt it's on the + side of climo ..sure, just overall behavior of it.  forget imby measuring and such; this set up is hearkening to a DJF one.

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