powderfreak Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 2 hours ago, bobbutts said: How much relative weight do you guys put on the long range forecasts vs. Climo? There's some but not a ton put on long range props...if it's looking exceedingly likely for a given outcome then yes, it's weighed heavily but most of the time it's not. Last December was one of those times when even at the beginning of the month it was obvious it would be a disaster. Then you pull the trigger on hammering the same routes to keep you open, rather than going into expansion mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Quote Already down to 32.5 here. If the precip comes in before 9 Am I think we might coat it up even down here in the valley but if it's late morning or beyond is probably just some flakes in the air or mix quickly over to rain. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Looked like some K-H action in the distance a bit ago. What is k-h action? hum...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 One thing that sucks for me personally is that if any snow does fall and accumulate (a bit of a stretch for measurable here), I will be at work around 700 feet lower in el and 20 miles east...so I will miss much if not all of it before the changeover Need to have my daughter record orbs and make measurements at school I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 29 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: What is k-h action? hum...? Kevin - hand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 46 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: What is k-h action? hum...? Kelvin-helmholtz...not saying it was but there were a few cresting wavelike clouds on the horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Got to 27/18 so far. I'm hoping to leave Boston for home around 3:00. I hope I can still see some whitened ground before it's washed away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Still think ORH area esp nrn ORH county sees some snow and maybe not just flakes either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still think ORH area esp nrn ORH county sees some snow and maybe not just flakes either. My NWS forecast has up to an 1" out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still think ORH area esp nrn ORH county sees some snow and maybe not just flakes either. Need to overcome the dry air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 It's going to stick for many folks here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 45 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Need to overcome the dry air You will I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 27 imby now. Wow! edit-up to 30. 27 was the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's going to stick for many folks here 36.5 here in Salem, CT. No snow for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 It's going to stick for many folks here Lol at southern ct getting snow before most of ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 frosty morning 26F here.. wish it will remain like this all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Bretton Woods was making snow too... not sure I get it, considering the rain in the forecast for the weekend, the warm forecast for early November, and the fact that the projected opening is not till the 20th... but I'm not an expert!Can you post your cam link in your signature. thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 First flakes of the "season" in dxr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 24 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Can you post your cam link in your signature. thanks Sure thing. Added my PWS as well. 21F at the moment, but Gyx not very excited about much of anything for us. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: First flakes of the "season" in dxr. Right now? Nothing on metar. Need to know, Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 1 hour ago, metagraphica said: 36.5 here in Salem, CT. No snow for me. Really? only 32 down here at work close to the sound. My car thermo was 30-32 all the way in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Low of 24° this morning...up to 28° now. Looking forward to seeing some flakes today (outside of the normal ones I see every day...lol). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 New Milford CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Right now? Nothing on metar. Need to know, Thanks. I can confirm here in Newtown, we even have our first trace. Temp is 33.7 with a dewpoint of 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Nice thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 It looks like a lot of model guidance is absolutely torching the lower atmosphere between 12z and 18z in central SNE. I'm kind of skeptical of how fast it is doing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It looks like a lot of model guidance is absolutely torching the lower atmosphere between 12z and 18z in central SNE. I'm kind of skeptical of how fast it is doing that. They've been doing that all along. While it's been persistent, I haven't bought into that at all since yesterday...at least from ORH on west. Good luck torching ORH with clouds and a NE wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Right now? Nothing on metar. Need to know, Thanks. Yes. Im talking flurries though. My bad on late response, dropping mini me off daycare and weening out over flurries, plus site is acting wierd on mobile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They've been doing that all along. While it's been persistent, I haven't bought into that at all since yesterday...at least from ORH on west. Good luck torching ORH with clouds and a NE wind. 0C line at 925mb is still south of LI right now on mesoanalysis. It's got a long ways to go before it can overtake interior MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 0C line at 925mb is still south of LI right now on mesoanalysis. It's got a long ways to go before it can overtake interior MA. And a ton of room to wetbulb. You can see that on AlY, OKX, and CQX soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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