moneypitmike Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 31 minutes ago, eyewall said: Here are a few shots I grabbed this morning: Those are some great shots--thanks for posting them! Just got back home. Went from cool, dank, dreary up in Maine to a beautiful late fall date here at the Pit. The wind really killed off the leaves--what a difference it makes with respect to the sun light into the house. 49.8/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 7 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Post mortem, it looks like the NAM did pretty darn well when employing/assessing what could take place given it's FRH data. I'm not as privy to other model specifics heading into this thing, but the NAM was hammering height implosion then biasing (if not outright) several hours of QPF on the marginal-cold-frozen side ... which, then we add in terrain climo and boom. Wind has been entirely manageable if not pedestrian. the average gust velocity has been ~ 48 mph on the coastal plain, and ~ 30 so far in the interior. this per KTAN's web-site - there may be other sources that support/add/subtract from this... I am not personally aware if there is a climate assessment for wind, specifically, as it pertains to season and/or system-recurrences. Like, 'what is the average backside gust' - i don't think i've ever heard of that.. Just from my experiences over the last three decades in SNE, this system is forgettable so far. We'll see if the destablizatioin off of feeble late October insolation/heating can help this some... I'm pretty sure it's been done at some local offices, but I can't for the life of me find the articles/information. A sure fire rule of thumb is avoid HWW in NW flow. It's exceedingly rare to get criteria on NW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 Friend of a friend posted this from Jay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2016 Author Share Posted October 23, 2016 4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Friend of a friend posted this from Jay Look for the Jay deniers to say it's photoshop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Look for the Jay deniers to say it's photoshop I mean I can see grass poking through the snow by the gun back there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 26 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I'm pretty sure it's been done at some local offices, but I can't for the life of me find the articles/information. A sure fire rule of thumb is avoid HWW in NW flow. It's exceedingly rare to get criteria on NW flow. That may be why it's so hard to find those studies because it's research by necessity maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Look for the Jay deniers to say it's photoshop Wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 3 hours ago, weathafella said: The wind part of the even is totally pedestrian. Decent. A lot of dead branches and trees toppled in this area... Maybe a lot is a stretch, but some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2016 Author Share Posted October 23, 2016 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Wind No sh it, but the 12-18 reports are many. Winds were pretty much as thought down here gusts to the 50s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2016 Author Share Posted October 23, 2016 16 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I mean I can see grass poking through the snow by the gun back there... Drifts are impressive for sure , you sure that's grass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 16 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Decent. A lot of dead branches and trees toppled in this area... Maybe a lot is a stretch, but some. Any time my siting chalks up a 30 is a good event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 25 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Wind ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 Those are some great shots--thanks for posting them! Just got back home. Went from cool, dank, dreary up in Maine to a beautiful late fall date here at the Pit. The wind really killed off the leaves--what a difference it makes with respect to the sun light into the house. 49.8/30Thank you!Sent from my VS987 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 Awesome pictures guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 32 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: No sh it, but the 12-18 reports are many. In Vermont? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 How much did Jay report?Sent from my VS987 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: In Vermont? Haven't seen any reports above a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 14 minutes ago, powderfreak said: In Vermont? Haven't seen any reports like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2016 Author Share Posted October 23, 2016 19 minutes ago, powderfreak said: In Vermont? We were talking about Jay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2016 Author Share Posted October 23, 2016 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Haven't seen any reports like that What reports have you seen from Jay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2016 Author Share Posted October 23, 2016 Josh Wirth: "Jay Peak reaps it in once again w/ 12-18" Best October storm in last 7 years I think" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: What reports have you seen from Jay We thought you were talking all over VT since you said many reports of 12-18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2016 Author Share Posted October 23, 2016 Pic from Jay sweeet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2016 Author Share Posted October 23, 2016 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We thought you were talking all over VT since you said many reports of 12-18 In response to Hunchy who was talking about the wind causing waist deep drifts We knew he wasn't talking about the wind in YBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 Yeah, radar last night looked like they would do well. I am a bit surprised at the 12"+ reports but it is a different world there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2016 Author Share Posted October 23, 2016 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Yeah, radar last night looked like they would do well. I am a bit surprised at the 12"+ reports but it is a different world there Stowe had 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 Jay was in a classic spot for this. Awesome westerly exposure and farthest north to get the synoptic deform precip enhancement the longest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Stowe had 11 They did better than I thought at the stake. I assumed a 6-8" total up there. nice event. Not a boring weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 Awesome pictures of the snow (and Mr. Unpronouncable's garden, too). Looking forward to the first accumulating snow here (hopefully in November this year and then getting slammed for December, January....) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: We were talking about Jay Ah my source from Lyndon State College (who's really into weather and snow obviously) said 8-12" with some drifts maybe to 15" and he skinned to the peak. I watch a lot of VT skiers/riders and those in the industry on social media and no one has claimed more than 12" that I can tell. Although I can see how some might think more. I've tossed a few social media reports I saw from Stowe of people saying 13-15". With the high wind (Mansfield gusted 75mph before the anemometer crapped out or froze last night), its very hard to tell and easy to see how you get a wide variety of reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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