CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Fulton hasn't gotten anywhere near 6" yet but their supposed to get 12-18", what a joke KBUF is sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 52 minutes ago, tim123 said: Haha that is great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Hey dave were is that precip map from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 How far is Cassadaga form Buffalo cause that type of gradient is just sick, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 5 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: You win the internet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 3 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: How far is Cassadaga form Buffalo cause that type of gradient is just sick, lol 50 miles from the city, 35 from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 I'm very skeptical of the band firing up the way some of you think it will and some of the Meso models indicate it will. Those forecast maps are straight fantasyland at this point. The fact that the NWS doubles down and upgrades Monroe to a warning is mind boggling. I really hope I'm wrong here but I don't think we get more than 3 inches from this event. The lake is dead right now with abundant dry air. When the marginally more moist air arrives this afternoon, winds are too westerly and too weak to really hook up a GB connection. This event is already more or less over IMO opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Understand your point but just puttin 2 and 2 together and looks legit. Already can see western part of lake starting to slowy fire up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 7 minutes ago, tim123 said: Understand your point but just puttin 2 and 2 together and looks legit. Already can see western part of lake starting to slowy fire up I've been wrong many times and hopefully will again, I just feel like I've seen similar scenarios with a far better setup yield much less snow than the current forecast. Things better get cranking in a hurry if they hope to even verify a single forecast for Monroe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The totals on this map show a 10 day accumulation that is less than the current forecast map from the Buf NWS for the next 18 hours. Something isnt adding up. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 2 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: I've been wrong many times and hopefully will again, I just feel like I've seen similar scenarios with a far better setup yield much less snow than the current forecast. Things better get cranking in a hurry if they hope to even verify a single forecast for Monroe. I know what your saying. Very difficult to predict the south shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 8 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: The totals on this map show a 10 day accumulation that is less than the current forecast map from the Buf NWS for the next 18 hours. Something isnt adding up. LOL The buf current map is for storm totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: The buf current map is for storm totals. I know, and they are still more than what the 10 day has. I'm just trying to show how aggressive the buffalo forecasts is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Lake starting to pop now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 38 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: How far is Cassadaga form Buffalo cause that type of gradient is just sick, lol The closest distance between the 36-48 and the 1-2 areas is 31.5 miles. Of course that's a shallow gradient compared to Nov 2014, where my in-laws had more than 70 inches in Gardenville, West Seneca and we had maybe three or four in Parkside, just 7.75 miles away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 4 minutes ago, WNash said: The closest distance between the 36-48 and the 1-2 areas is 31.5 miles. Of course that's a shallow gradient compared to Nov 2014, where my in-laws had more than 70 inches in Gardenville, West Seneca and we had maybe three or four in Parkside, just 7.75 miles away. incredible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: incredible! I think there was a 40 inch gradient over 1 mile during the November '14 storm if that kind of thing blows your mind. BuffaloWeather might have a specific number and location from that event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Just now, DeltaT13 said: I think there was a 40 inch gradient over 1 mile during the November '14 storm if that kind of thing blows your mind. BuffaloWeather might have a specific number and location from that event. Honestly, to me, that is as amazing as chasing the heaviest returns. It's incredible to drive from bright sunshine into what is basically a wall of snow, or to go from bare grass to feet of snow in a five minute drive. The crappy part is when there is a extended bad run of luck, and where you live ends up on the wrong side of the line for every event going back for years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 50 minutes ago, tim123 said: Hey dave were is that precip map from? Weatherbell HRRR. It's a paid site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Nice dave keep postind those. Is that a model that comes out every hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 50 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: I'm very skeptical of the band firing up the way some of you think it will and some of the Meso models indicate it will. Those forecast maps are straight fantasyland at this point. The fact that the NWS doubles down and upgrades Monroe to a warning is mind boggling. I really hope I'm wrong here but I don't think we get more than 3 inches from this event. The lake is dead right now with abundant dry air. When the marginally more moist air arrives this afternoon, winds are too westerly and too weak to really hook up a GB connection. This event is already more or less over IMO opinion. For the record, I do NOT see big totals for Monroe. It's not a bad setup. We do best with lighter winds. Some of my bigger totals have been with drier air and tea kettle stuff. Streamers are for the east ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 12 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: I think there was a 40 inch gradient over 1 mile during the November '14 storm if that kind of thing blows your mind. BuffaloWeather might have a specific number and location from that event. Yeah there is a picture showing 60 inches and 2 inches 3 miles apart I think it was in southern cheektowaga vs central cheektowaga. I'll find it later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 52 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah there is a picture showing 60 inches and 2 inches 3 miles apart I think it was in southern cheektowaga vs central cheektowaga. I'll find it later. yes please do, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 On another note, The band is definitely gaining fetch, thats for sure so maybe we eek out a few inches tyhis evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Possibly 6 inches in 3 hours rochester east. Special weather statement from nws Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Snowing steady no. of syracuse and in city. At this rate we may pick up our next inch by New Years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 34 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: yes please do, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 6 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: that's just nuts, seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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