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Upstate NY/North Country + adjacent ON, QC, VT: Fall into Winter!


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********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
                     SNOWFALL           OF
                     /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...
   PERRYSBURG            17.0   548 PM 12/08  COOP OBSERVER

...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...
   FORESTVILLE            8.0   200 PM 12/08  TRAINED SPOTTER

...ERIE COUNTY...
   EAST CONCORD          11.5   400 PM 12/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   2 NE CONCORD          11.0   357 PM 12/08  STORM CHASER
   1 NE CONCORD          11.0   330 PM 12/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   COLLINS               10.0   500 PM 12/08  POST OFFICE
   1 W SPRINGVILLE        5.0   405 PM 12/08  RT 39 AND CASCADE DRIVE
   2 W BOSTON             4.0   304 PM 12/08  STORM CHASER

...JEFFERSON COUNTY...
   BLACK RIVER            8.0   316 PM 12/08  POST OFFICE
   WATERTOWN              6.2   600 PM 12/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   EVANS MILLS            6.0   500 PM 12/08  SOCIAL MEDIA

...LEWIS COUNTY...
   LOWVILLE               4.0   307 PM 12/08  POST OFFICE

...OSWEGO COUNTY...
   OSWEGO                 3.0   555 PM 12/08  SOCIAL MEDIA
   REDFIELD               3.0   319 PM 12/08  COCORAHS

...WYOMING COUNTY...
   8 SW WARSAW            8.0   425 PM 12/08  COCORAHS
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This is my model of choice for the next event mon-tues. Didn't choose it becauase it drops the most snow, but rather it goes along with what I am thinking about the Arctic High to out North not being dislodged that easily but I can definitely be wrong.  I think GFS is in La La Land with its depiction but it may score a coup, but I doubt it.

cmc_pr6_slp_t850_east_15.png

cmc_pr6_slp_t850_east_16.png

cmc_pr6_slp_t850_east_17.png

cmc_pr6_slp_t850_east_18.png

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GB connection I think is going to have an impact on our band here E/SE of LO.  Its starting to develop and I think KROC is going to get in on the action first which is why Warnings were posted there but were downgraded to adv's.  Interesting situation unfolding. The one caveat I see is were loosing quite a bit of synoptic moisture but if the connection is established then it negates the need for Synoptic moisture.

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1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
                     SNOWFALL           OF
                     /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...
   PERRYSBURG            17.0   548 PM 12/08  COOP OBSERVER

...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...
   FORESTVILLE            8.0   200 PM 12/08  TRAINED SPOTTER

...ERIE COUNTY...
   EAST CONCORD          11.5   400 PM 12/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   2 NE CONCORD          11.0   357 PM 12/08  STORM CHASER
   1 NE CONCORD          11.0   330 PM 12/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   COLLINS               10.0   500 PM 12/08  POST OFFICE
   1 W SPRINGVILLE        5.0   405 PM 12/08  RT 39 AND CASCADE DRIVE
   2 W BOSTON             4.0   304 PM 12/08  STORM CHASER

...JEFFERSON COUNTY...
   BLACK RIVER            8.0   316 PM 12/08  POST OFFICE
   WATERTOWN              6.2   600 PM 12/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   EVANS MILLS            6.0   500 PM 12/08  SOCIAL MEDIA

...LEWIS COUNTY...
   LOWVILLE               4.0   307 PM 12/08  POST OFFICE

...OSWEGO COUNTY...
   OSWEGO                 3.0   555 PM 12/08  SOCIAL MEDIA
   REDFIELD               3.0   319 PM 12/08  COCORAHS

...WYOMING COUNTY...
   8 SW WARSAW            8.0   425 PM 12/08  COCORAHS

Nice totals for far southern Erie and Cat/Chaut counties.  I'm noticing that E. Concord usually comes in with high totals, seem to be in a good spot there with elevation and fetch.  Erie County Forest is a great place to hike there if anyone up in the snowless metro area ever gets the itch to scout out some snow.  And easy to get to - quick 30-40 minute drive.   

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LO band is making its last Northward push out ahead of the final wind shift. It's going to be interesting to see how they bands redevelop. If they even redevelop at all, I'm expecting them to be in a banded fashion as they'll be multi-banded if its a true NWerly wind flow is realized.  I think we have to get through a period of shear right behind the aforementioned wind shift occurs as well. Kind of like a realignment of sorts.

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LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
                     SNOWFALL           OF
                     /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...
   PERRYSBURG            17.0   548 PM 12/08  COOP OBSERVER
   GOWANDA               12.0   720 PM 12/08  STORM CHASER
   CATTARAUGUS            9.0   706 PM 12/08  PUBLIC

...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...
   2 NE RIPLEY            9.0   530 PM 12/08  TRAINED SPOTTER

...ERIE COUNTY...
   EAST CONCORD          15.5   838 PM 12/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   SARDINIA              11.0   515 PM 12/08  TRAINED SPOTTER

...JEFFERSON COUNTY...
   WATERTOWN              6.2   600 PM 12/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   FORT DRUM              6.0   859 PM 12/08  FACEBOOK REPORT

...OSWEGO COUNTY...
   6 NW REDFIELD          8.0   945 PM 12/08  POST TO TWITTER
   OSWEGO                 3.0   555 PM 12/08  SOCIAL MEDIA
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From the Lake Effect Expert himself Tom Niziol. Show us what makes the Chautauqua ridge as one of the best spots for LES. Annual snowfall of 200"+

15337612_1115651128548243_90233222850174https://scontent-lga3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t31.0-8/15384374_1115651121881577_5984914494370661653_o.jpg?oh=4459b23c0af57f04a11cf3e0566a0ca6&oe=58BA9D4A

  17" so far as of 548 PM today in Perrysburg NY (Elevation 1,322′) . Another 1-2' forecast by Sat. Morning. 

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=buf&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF&format=ci&version=1

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