lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 14 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Did you get the facebook post from Mayville, coming down really hard. No where's the link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Just saw the video you tagged me in. It's twice as bad in Gowanda lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 I think Reed went a little to far south. Best action looks to be from Frediona down to Cassadaga and the inland to South Dayton and up to Perrysburg and Gowanda. Lots of flare ups in that zone right now. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Ton of graupel falling from the sky in this extremely thin band .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Perrysburg has to have a foot. They've been under the heaviest returns all day long. If there is 6" in Gowanda there's definitely double that in Perrysburg on a ridge somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Special Weather StatementNational Weather Service Buffalo NY226 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016NYZ012-019-020-085-082015-Southern Erie-Cattaraugus-Chautauqua-Wyoming-226 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016...A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT FARSOUTHEASTERN ERIE...NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS...FAR SOUTHWESTERN WYOMINGAND NORTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES...At 215 PM EST, A 10 mile wide band of intense heavy lake effect snowproducing snow fall rates of 2 TO 4 inches per hour extended inlandfrom Lake Erie with Dunkirk to Arcade on the northern end andCassadaga to Machias on the southern end.This band of snow will remain nearly stationary through lateafternoon, while continuing to remain its current intensity.Thunder and lightning will be quite possible within this band.Visibilities will be reduced to less than a quarter mile attimes.Some locations along the Chautauqua ridge are quickly approaching afoot of snow.Locations impacted include...Dunkirk, Fredonia, Springville, Westfield, Gowanda, Arcade, Chaffee,Suny Fredonia, Ashford Hollow and East Concord.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 ...A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT FAR SOUTHEASTERN ERIE...NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS...FAR SOUTHWESTERN WYOMING AND NORTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES... At 215 PM EST, A 10 mile wide band of intense heavy lake effect snow producing snow fall rates of 2 TO 4 inches per hour extended inland from Lake Erie with Dunkirk to Arcade on the northern end and Cassadaga to Machias on the southern end. This band of snow will remain nearly stationary through late afternoon, while continuing to remain its current intensity. Thunder and lightning will be quite possible within this band. Visibilities will be reduced to less than a quarter mile at times. Some locations along the Chautauqua ridge are quickly approaching a foot of snow. Locations impacted include... Dunkirk, Fredonia, Springville, Westfield, Gowanda, Arcade, Chaffee, Suny Fredonia, Ashford Hollow and East Concord. This includes Interstate 90 between exits 60 and 59. Conditions in the above locations will be extremely poor through the remainder of the afternoon hours. Travel will be very difficult and hazardous as snow cover continues to increase on area roads. If you must travel in areas south of Buffalo be prepared for severe winter weather driving conditions. Slow down and allow plenty of extra time when traveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 I get out at 7 we going or what? Also, Reed just posted video of winter lake effect waterspout, the first he's ever seen. Pretty awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 I get out at 7 we going or what? Also, Reed just posted video of winter lake effect waterspout, the first he's ever seen. Pretty awesome.Nice! Here's the link. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 34 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Nice! Here's the link. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk That is fantastic!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 pretty awesome to catch that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Sunday/Monday storm system is looking interesting once we get thru this lake-effect event. WNY seems close to a rain/snow mix, especially lower elevations, but decent potential anyway for an area-wide hit. Fun times ahead tracking/chasing the next couple weeks... From BUF: Sunday and Sunday night, the above mentioned backing flow is expected ahead of the next system expected to arrive during this time period. Consensus model blend would suggest that isentropically driven snow arrives very late Saturday night or early Sunday, continuing through into Sunday night. This system does have a tap into Gulf moisture, with profiles showing deep moisture through the dendritic growth zone which would help snowfall rates. It is very possible that several inches of widespread snow will fall Sunday into Sunday night with another possible winter weather headline event looming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 If your heading out tonight use caution. Gowanda has issued a travel advisory after a school bus with 30 kids went off route 62. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 22 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Sunday/Monday storm system is looking interesting once we get thru this lake-effect event. WNY seems close to a rain/snow mix, especially lower elevations, but decent potential anyway for an area-wide hit. Fun times ahead tracking/chasing the next couple weeks... From BUF: Sunday and Sunday night, the above mentioned backing flow is expected ahead of the next system expected to arrive during this time period. Consensus model blend would suggest that isentropically driven snow arrives very late Saturday night or early Sunday, continuing through into Sunday night. This system does have a tap into Gulf moisture, with profiles showing deep moisture through the dendritic growth zone which would help snowfall rates. It is very possible that several inches of widespread snow will fall Sunday into Sunday night with another possible winter weather headline event looming. With a track to the NW of BUF, it looks to be a front-end only hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Wind shift over WLO should cross the area between 8-9, thats when the Cuse should get in on whatever action is left. we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 No track over buffalo on the euro, it's a transfer.. Sunday Snow likely, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday Night Snow. Low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: No track over buffalo on the euro, it's a transfer.. Sunday Snow likely, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday Night Snow. Low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 80%. I was gonna mention the exact same thing but I refrained, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Gfs is well west of the ecm/gem/Uk but still cold enough to deliver some front end, plenty of time to iron this one out.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 That still looks ideal as theres still a secondary going to form so if we mix for a period, fine, but it wont last long IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Besides the fact that its all alone, doesn't bode well for the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Monday looks like a front end 2-5" type snow followed by mix and then dry slot with some embedded DZ. I dont really see an immediate coastal transfer on GFS the last few runs, but there is indication of primary low cyclolisis as slp increases with time. If a secondary forms it's well NE of our latitude. Better hope the primary low doesn't get too strong or we could end up with a longer period of rain or mix. A weaker system should keep this ~80% frozen for most of CNY/WNY. Then we can have the Tug Hill and Chautauqua ridge get more lake snow on the backside and then more for them mid/late week when it gets colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 I'm really not concerned with details at this point since were still 4 days away. A lot can change, and will, by then but I'm quite confident the GFS is bringing the primary way to far North with the amount of Blocking that exists but we've seen stranger things happen. I'm just happy we have storms to track the next week or 2 perhaps into Christmas. I'm pretty confident in a white XMAS this yr too so thats a good thing as the fam is visiting and they live in Tropical NJ, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 After an afternoon filled with graupel we finally have some snow !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Reports off the Tug are brutal. Pulaski/Sandy Creek both at 2", Constableville 4". Maybe the actual tug was better but pretty bad for how long they snowed there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 Over a foot at Perrysburg already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 16 minutes ago, AppsRunner said: Reports off the Tug are brutal. Pulaski/Sandy Creek both at 2", Constableville 4". Maybe the actual tug was better but pretty bad for how long they snowed there Yeah, KBUF didn't do to good today unless something changes. Wind shift is imminent, so if anything is gonna happen, it beter fast but then again the TUG can cash in on a NW flow as well because of orografic reasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 26 minutes ago, AppsRunner said: Reports off the Tug are brutal. Pulaski/Sandy Creek both at 2", Constableville 4". Maybe the actual tug was better but pretty bad for how long they snowed there Eh not that bad redfield had 3" at 3 and has probably been at least 2" an hour since they have a foot I bet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Lots of shear out there right now with the passage of this SW so bands might get disrupted before they reorganize into a more multi banded fashion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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