AppsRunner Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: There is going to be some thundersnow in that band tomorrow. If you could go get inside it! Class tomorrow prevents me from going in the afternoon, although a few of us may head out towards Pulaski near around 7ish depending on the actual setup. Still not convinced this band doesn't center near/south of Pulaski tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 The only thing for sure in all guidance is the PV makes a visit next week Thurs/Fri and the lakes will be firing for quite awhile. EPS ensemble mean snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 With all this cold air around I think the models are having a difficult time with even short term forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Quote Lake Ontario is starting to fire just South of KWRT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 10 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I think this event will have a few surprises up its sleeve, no doubt in my mind! One thing I do know is KROC could very well be in the cross hairs again if this band gets some help from GB! Im off tomorrow so I track all day starting from 09Z this morning. Models do seem to show best snow rochester west. Thinkin a 6 hour period from 12 to 6 am for a few inches then disruption from front coming through and mixing from daylight. Then from 3 or 4pm friday overnight to sat is another good period for rochester. Models starting to show a gb connection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 21 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Welcome! We have quite a few from the Liverpool area including a great Met LakeEffectKing (George) Thanks BuffaloWeather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 One big change I do see wrt the models and that is the movement of the system responsible for this Arctic Outbreak as well as oir LES event. This system was supposed to move due East the last couple days right into Quebec, but instead its headed for James Bay, lol, but I may be mistaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 It's going to get quite cold next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Looks like the RGEM is doing a great job with early placement of bands both off Lake Erie and Ontario. Lets see how it does as we go forward. Definitely doesn't come anywhere near Syracuse with totals reaching a paltry 2-3", lol!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Cant show RGEM for some reason, but suffice to say, its spot on with placement thats for sure. Lets see how it fares going through the rest of the day. See y'all tomorrow and hope we all cash in with a few fluffy inches at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 That band is thin and strong. If it can get its act together in next few hours we may have a good chance here of some good stuff. Ground is covered already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 10 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That band is thin and strong. If it can get its act together in next few hours we may have a good chance here of some good stuff. Ground is covered already. Your gonna get pounded. just looked at some new data and totals SE of Lake Ontario have dropped once again. KSYR will be hard pressed to get to 3". what a shame as we were on pace to rival some of the great snow Winters of old! Nothing ever works out as planned with the weather that's why its so intriguing to me and so many others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Carthage NY is will be ground zero for this event off LO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 Very heavy graupel/snow right now. Definitely some convective nature to this band. Wouldn't be surprised to see some lightning soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Very heavy graupel/snow right now. Definitely some convective nature to this band. Wouldn't be surprised to see some lightning soon. Considering the returns on radar, it's only a matter of time before you catch some thunder and lightning. Hopefully the band sticks around for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 Got an inch already so far, coming down good not as much graupel, mainly snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 This event is a joke, which seems to be the way this season is going here on the Niagara Frontier. Radar looks anemic and the band is already south of the Southtowns. What's the grand total in Hamburg, 1.5"? They might as well drop the warnings at this point. Meanwhile with a shorter fetch,KART is getting crushed right now with a very healthy looking band. Well congrats to to those who cash in on this one (looks to be the TUG of Ontario for the most part.) I guess this winter is just another payback year for the two great winters of 13-14 and 14-15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Georgian Bay to the rescue lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 1 hour ago, ayuud11 said: Georgian Bay to the rescue lol! If only. That would be a good 4-6" at my place. Highly doubt it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Right in the middle of the Lake Erie band in Collins and the snow is not impressive at all even under the heaviest dbz. I don't even think I could call what's falling moderate snow. Only a coating on the grass too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Right in the middle of the Lake Erie band in Collins and the snow is not impressive at all even under the heaviest dbz. I don't even think I could call what's falling moderate snow. Only a coating on the grass too...Pretty good returns right near Dunkirk but the cam shows minimal snow. Also looks like a new band is trying to setup and head back into central Erie.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 New totals from BUF. Huge drops in accumulations from this morning! 9:00pm6:00amSent from my iPhone using TapatalkSo Eden goes from 18-24 yesterday down to 4-6 last night. Now this morning they go back up to 8-12.I know it's early but not looking good thus far to verify...The Erie band is proving to be a forecast headache. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 1.8" with round 1, it was thick slop with lots of graupel mixed in overnight. Some pretty big piles on side of the road for so little snow. Still snowing now, but lighter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 27 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: 1.8" with round 1, it was thick slop with lots of graupel mixed in overnight. Some pretty big piles on side of the road for so little snow. Still snowing now, but lighter. Wow that's pretty good. Only about .5" at my work right in the village. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 4 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Wow that's pretty good. Only about .5" at my work right in the village. Yeah the band was a bit further north overnight. Village didn't get much. We're getting hit pretty good now as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 Saturday night looks good with that band remaining quite strong as it passes north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 In Gowanda right now and it is absolutely crushing here. At least 2"/hr with about 4" otg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Total whiteout in Gowanda. Can't see the car in front of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 4 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Total whiteout in Gowanda. Can't see the car in front of us. Did you get the facebook post from Mayville, coming down really hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Careful anyone out there chasing today... Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1203 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016 NYZ012-019-020-085-081800- Southern Erie-Cattaraugus-Chautauqua-Wyoming- 1203 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016 ...A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTHERN ERIE...NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS...CENTRAL WYOMING AND CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES... At 1155 AM EST, A band of heavy lake effect snow producing snowfall rates of at least 2 inches per hour extended inland from Lake Erie with Hamburg to Warsaw on the northern end and Sherman to Arcade on the southern end. This band of snow will remain nearly stationary through mid afternoon, while continuing to intensify with snowfall rates likely increasing further. Reports of thunder have already been reported within this band. Visibilities will be reduced to less than a quarter mile at times. Locations impacted include... Dunkirk, Fredonia, Hamburg, Boston, Eden, Springville, Perry, Warsaw, Colden and Westfield. This includes the following highways... Interstate 90 between exits 61 and 57A. Interstate 86 between exits 4 and 10. Conditions in the above locations will continue to deteriorate as we move through the afternoon hours. Travel will become increasingly difficult as snow cover increases on area roads. If you must travel in areas south of Buffalo be prepared for severe winter weather driving conditions. Slow down and allow plenty of extra time when traveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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