BuffaloWeather Posted December 1, 2016 Author Share Posted December 1, 2016 Arctic express. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 1, 2016 Author Share Posted December 1, 2016 Next Friday has great ENS support for well below normal conditions once that front goes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 Legit snow in that band earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 Legit snow in that band earlier.We need a snow game this year. 3 chances to make it happen! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 41 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: We need a snow game this year. 3 chances to make it happen! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk McCoy is the best snow RB in the league. I think next week against Pitts has a good shot. I went to the game on Sunday, was 45 and sunny so conditions were great for late November. Rainy games are the worst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 Crazy warmth last 6 months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 Looks like a prolonged wnw flow event. Wiggles north and south a bit. Could be good for south shore within 10 miles of lake ontario. Ofcourse oswego county looks to get feet of snow end of next week cmc has a more nw component. With more wrap around not unlike a couple weeks ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 Very fun model runs tonite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: Very fun model runs tonite For you or everyone? I think I'm the only one who doesn't post only about their backyard. GFS: GEM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 Euro weeklies show the Alaskan death vortex for the last 2 weeks of December. Doesn't look good for prolonged winter weather. We have about a 10 day window before it gets warm I think. Just hope Christmas has some snow. But of course those weeklies have been changing quite a bit. Accuracy after week 2 is not that great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 250 special on the 6z GFS, BUFKIT data really looked good lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 2 hours ago, ayuud11 said: 250 special on the 6z GFS, BUFKIT data really looked good lol.. That run had several les events and 2 snowstorms lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 KBUF: SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE EAST OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES LATE NEXT WEEK... ACCOMPANIED BY MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND WINDY CONDITIONS. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS... HOWEVER THERE REMAINS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD IN THE EXACT TIMING AND LOCATIONS THAT COULD SEE THE GREATEST IMPACT. WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK SHOULD KEEP UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. IF YOU HAVE ANY REMAINING PREPARATIONS TO MAKE FOR THE WINTER SEASON... THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BE A GOOD TIME TO COMPLETE THOSE PREPARATIONS. The main storm system in question will then develop in the vcnty of the Lower Mississippi/Ohio Valley Wednesday night or Thursday. This deepening storm will push northeast across our region sometime on Thursday...with the likelihood of rain over the region. It is not out of the question that there could be some snow on the front end of this storm system...pending its exact track. There should also be strong winds on the backside of this deepening cyclone...and possibly some very significant lake effect snow. The fact that the core of the coldest air will be approaching our region via the Ohio valley is climatologically favorable for a big southwest flow event off Lake Erie...but the majority of the ensembles are leaning more towards a west to northwest flow event...so stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 Time to start watching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 NWS posts this on Tuesday: Model discrepancies and differences aside, it does appear that there will be a non-diurnal temperature trend Monday night, with a warming low level jet and steady or rising temps through the night into Tuesday morning. A peek into the coming week also shows little in the way of a profound cool down as the truly cold air remains far to our west and northwest, across the Inter-Mountain region to the Canadian West. Winter may have to wait until its official date on the calendar. Then this today: SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE EAST OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES LATE NEXT WEEK... ACCOMPANIED BY MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND WINDY CONDITIONS. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS... HOWEVER THERE REMAINS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD IN THE EXACT TIMING AND LOCATIONS THAT COULD SEE THE GREATEST IMPACT. WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK SHOULD KEEP UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. IF YOU HAVE ANY REMAINING PREPARATIONS TO MAKE FOR THE WINTER SEASON... THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BE A GOOD TIME TO COMPLETE THOSE PREPARATIONS. Do they have access to models? Is there anyone at the wheel actually looking at the long range. What the F. Kind of disappointed in them these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 16 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: NWS posts this on Tuesday: Model discrepancies and differences aside, it does appear that there will be a non-diurnal temperature trend Monday night, with a warming low level jet and steady or rising temps through the night into Tuesday morning. A peek into the coming week also shows little in the way of a profound cool down as the truly cold air remains far to our west and northwest, across the Inter-Mountain region to the Canadian West. Winter may have to wait until its official date on the calendar. Then this today: SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE EAST OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES LATE NEXT WEEK... ACCOMPANIED BY MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND WINDY CONDITIONS. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS... HOWEVER THERE REMAINS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD IN THE EXACT TIMING AND LOCATIONS THAT COULD SEE THE GREATEST IMPACT. WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK SHOULD KEEP UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. IF YOU HAVE ANY REMAINING PREPARATIONS TO MAKE FOR THE WINTER SEASON... THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BE A GOOD TIME TO COMPLETE THOSE PREPARATIONS. Do they have access to models? Is there anyone at the wheel actually looking at the long range. What the F. Kind of disappointed in them these days. I couldn't agree more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 We just changed over to heavy wet snow here as we're in the middle of the lake band as it sinks south. Temperature has dropped to 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Well since we're going to spend the next 5-7 days watching these models flop like a fish out of water how about a little game to ease our snow withdrawal...Who can guess where I just found this point and click forecast from. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 1 hour ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Well since we're going to spend the next 5-7 days watching these models flop like a fish out of water how about a little game to ease our snow withdrawal... Who can guess where I just found this point and click forecast from. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk The only place I can think of is the mountains of Hawaii? Pretty incredible storm going on over there. http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=hfo&wwa=winter storm warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 4 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: NWS posts this on Tuesday: Model discrepancies and differences aside, it does appear that there will be a non-diurnal temperature trend Monday night, with a warming low level jet and steady or rising temps through the night into Tuesday morning. A peek into the coming week also shows little in the way of a profound cool down as the truly cold air remains far to our west and northwest, across the Inter-Mountain region to the Canadian West. Winter may have to wait until its official date on the calendar. Then this today: SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE EAST OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES LATE NEXT WEEK... ACCOMPANIED BY MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND WINDY CONDITIONS. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS... HOWEVER THERE REMAINS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD IN THE EXACT TIMING AND LOCATIONS THAT COULD SEE THE GREATEST IMPACT. WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK SHOULD KEEP UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. IF YOU HAVE ANY REMAINING PREPARATIONS TO MAKE FOR THE WINTER SEASON... THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BE A GOOD TIME TO COMPLETE THOSE PREPARATIONS. Do they have access to models? Is there anyone at the wheel actually looking at the long range. What the F. Kind of disappointed in them these days. Yeah, we both called them out on Tuesday for that. Not exactly sure what they were looking at. When CPC shows colder than normal for nearly the entire USA for the first time in years you start to take notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 Cold from late next thurs through the following week, pretty high consensus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 First call is band starts SW goes to W and then NW from Thurs Night into Sunday. Another clipper comes in with a better SW flow and colder air early the following week in most models/emsembles. Looks like an awesome period of active weather with lake effect moving all over. I'd say those in Fulton/Oswego should be having a party, I think they get destroyed in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 GEM: GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 11 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: First call is band starts SW goes to W and then NW from Thurs Night into Sunday. Another clipper comes in with a better SW flow and colder air early the following week in most models/emsembles. Looks like an awesome period of active weather with lake effect moving all over. I'd say those in Fulton/Oswego should be having a party, I think they get destroyed in this setup. Yeah, that looks like the way things are heading. Hopefully things stay active after the cold moves in with waves/clippers pushing through to spread the wealth around. Looking forward to tracking/chasing again. And in early December no less... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 14 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Yeah, that looks like the way things are heading. Hopefully things stay active after the cold moves in with waves/clippers pushing through to spread the wealth around. Looking forward to tracking/chasing again. And in early December no less... You should come with me and Devin next weekend if its worth going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 AmericanWX is sending me emails like crazy. I turned them off in preferences. Any advice? this is screen save of my preferences. I can't find how to send them email. Super frustrating. Please. Help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 1 hour ago, rochesterdave said: AmericanWX is sending me emails like crazy. I turned them off in preferences. Any advice? this is screen save of my preferences. I can't find how to send them email. Super frustrating. Please. Help Topic on it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Looks like we have a chance for some snow over the next 7-10 days.. Already a 70% chance of precipitation a week out..(ggem(top) gfs(bottom) pictured below) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 Looks good for you Wolfie, your spot may be the place we go chasing too. If so we'll have to meet up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.