Tacoma Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 3/4 inches here in West Asheville, beautiful little snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Here are some pics from The Glenville area.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold air aloft Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I've been lurking here this Winter and have learned alot from y'all. For my first post, a beautiful 4 inches in Maggie Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Maybe a .25" in Boone, have had cloudless skies all morning and most of the snow is already gone lol hoping for much better things tomorrow night. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 12 minutes ago, AirNelson39 said: Maybe a .25" in Boone, have had cloudless skies all morning and most of the snow is already gone lol hoping for much better things tomorrow night. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Yea I woke up at 6 this morning and it was pouring snow. Not much accumulation but was nice to watch it fall for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Its snowing here again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Measured 2 inches on the ground and 3 on the trampoline. It was fun to get out in the snow one more Time with the kids. Was hoping for higher totals but still got to play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 The developing deformation band of the bombing Lp is going to rack across WNC tomorrow night. Models have continued to increase qpf and a slight warm nose at 925mb shouldn't produce full melt if precip is heavy enough. I see the NC/TN border counties getting in on some good snow. Models are notoriously bad at resolving deformation features and this one going across WNC creates even more variables to take into account. Then NWFS kicks up and hammers the border counties again. Someone will see 8"+ and Boone will get theirs with this one. High omega values indicate good lift and will create very interesting dynamics (thundersnow?) for high elevations of NW NC. GFS nearly doubled qpf from 6z run to 12z run. Let's see what happens with this one, could produce some surprises.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 hour ago, cold air aloft said: I've been lurking here this Winter and have learned alot from y'all. For my first post, a beautiful 4 inches in Maggie Valley Were you down in the valley or up on the ridge like soco gap? Huge difference between those two locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 The developing deformation band of the bombing Lp is going to rack across WNC tomorrow night. Models have continued to increase qpf and a slight warm nose at 925mb shouldn't produce full melt if precip is heavy enough. I see the NC/TN border counties getting in on some good snow. Models are notoriously bad at resolving deformation features and this one going across WNC creates even more variables to take into account. Then NWFS kicks up and hammers the border counties again. Someone will see 8"+ and Boone will get theirs with this one. High omega values indicate good lift and will create very interesting dynamics (thundersnow?) for high elevations of NW NC. GFS nearly doubled qpf from 6z run to 12z run. Let's see what happens with this one, could produce some surprises.Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkLiking the sounds of that! The trend is our friend here!Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Us northern mountain folk are going to get nailed tomorrow night. I can feel it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 15 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Us northern mountain folk are going to get nailed tomorrow night. I can feel it. Can you send some of that to the Central Mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold air aloft Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 hour ago, franklin NCwx said: Were you down in the valley or up on the ridge like soco gap? Huge difference between those two locations. Near the golf course, right at 3,100 ft. You are right, Soco Gap is a whole different world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 hours ago, Hvward said: The developing deformation band of the bombing Lp is going to rack across WNC tomorrow night. Models have continued to increase qpf and a slight warm nose at 925mb shouldn't produce full melt if precip is heavy enough. I see the NC/TN border counties getting in on some good snow. Models are notoriously bad at resolving deformation features and this one going across WNC creates even more variables to take into account. Then NWFS kicks up and hammers the border counties again. Someone will see 8"+ and Boone will get theirs with this one. High omega values indicate good lift and will create very interesting dynamics (thundersnow?) for high elevations of NW NC. GFS nearly doubled qpf from 6z run to 12z run. Let's see what happens with this one, could produce some surprises. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk It just feels like we are close to something decent, even here in Asheville, but I am probably just wishcasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 4 hours ago, cold air aloft said: I've been lurking here this Winter and have learned alot from y'all. For my first post, a beautiful 4 inches in Maggie Valley Nice man! My neck of the woods. Maggie valley usually does very well with these setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold air aloft Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Nice man! My neck of the woods. Maggie valley usually does very well with these setups. Yeah, the orientation of the Valley is very favorable for banding from these type of systems. On the other hand, we are in a horrible location for NW flow events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, cold air aloft said: Yeah, the orientation of the Valley is very favorable for banding from these type of systems. On the other hand, we are in a horrible location for NW flow events. Yeah true NW FLOW snow the valley does awful but they do great in a west projection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, cold air aloft said: Yeah, the orientation of the Valley is very favorable for banding from these type of systems. On the other hand, we are in a horrible location for NW flow events. Soco gap does well in upslope and I sometimes take the kids there to sled. It can be 30 with a couple inches in the valley and in the teens with a foot at the parkway entrance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 NAM took another step in the right direction. Really...REALLY close for this thing being a monster for WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: NAM took another step in the right direction. Really...REALLY close for this thing being a monster for WNC. I saw that, hard to believe all wnc doesn't get a good snow Monday night/Tuesday if trends keep up like they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, fritschy said: I saw that, hard to believe all wnc doesn't get a good snow Monday night/Tuesday if trends keep up like they are. Just based on rates that the NAM was showing, I don't think the mixing problem will be as big of a deal. It's not often that purples show up. I think rates will overcome the 850's warmness. also, it appears it isn't as big of a deal anyway as it was yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 16 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Just based on rates that the NAM was showing, I don't think the mixing problem will be as big of a deal. It's not often that purples show up. I think rates will overcome the 850's warmness. also, it appears it isn't as big of a deal anyway as it was yesterday. Technically 850mb isn't even the problem. It's just above that. The nose keeps shrinking each run, though, and lasting less time as well. This is the hr33 sounding for MBY just before the heaviest rates move in. By hr36 the whole column is solidly below freezing with likely heavy snow. Probably a good base layer of IP/ZR before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 9 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Just based on rates that the NAM was showing, I don't think the mixing problem will be as big of a deal. It's not often that purples show up. I think rates will overcome the 850's warmness. also, it appears it isn't as big of a deal anyway as it was yesterday. let's hope the trends keep coming, would love to see a miller A coming out of the gulf to end the snow season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Still showing on the 3k Nam. So close... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: Technically 850mb isn't even the problem. It's just above that. The nose keeps shrinking each run, though, and lasting less time as well. This is the hr33 sounding for MBY just before the heaviest rates move in. By hr36 the whole column is solidly below freezing with likely heavy snow. 3k NAM agrees with you. changeover between hour 33 and 34. But it's still a long enough period to wipe out a couple of potential inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 27 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: 3k NAM agrees with you. changeover between hour 33 and 34. But it's still a long enough period to wipe out a couple of potential inches of snow. This is one of those times when I'm glad I'm in Blowing Rock. We tend to hang onto frozen precip longer than Boone during wedge-driven events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
27596WXNUT Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Headed up from Raleigh to ski at App with my 7 year old for one last time tomorrow. I know beech and sugar are better but it's more for him than me, at least that's what I tell my wife. What time do you guys think precip moves in tomorrow? Just trying to see if we get rained/snowed on tomorrow afternoon. Thanks for the input. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 9 minutes ago, 27596WXNUT said: Headed up from Raleigh to ski at App with my 7 year old for one last time tomorrow. I know beech and sugar are better but it's more for him than me, at least that's what I tell my wife. What time do you guys think precip moves in tomorrow? Just trying to see if we get rained/snowed on tomorrow afternoon. Thanks for the input. The 4k NAM has the first bit of precip around 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Ended up with a sloppy inch here this morning. Congrats to the ones that got more. Looks like a fun week shaping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarvelMountain Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 A very respectable 3 inches, and the temp never got below 33. I'll gladly take that. All gone by noon...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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