Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said: The gefs has most of wnc with .75 qpf and rainforest and I so close to 1 inch!! Post em bro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, Met1985 said: Post em bro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, franklin NCwx said: Dang that's beautiful! It just keeps shifting north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Dang that's beautiful! It just keeps shifting north. Bingo. I know models are going solidly 4-8" for most mountain locations, but this north shift is still ongoing. Plus, every single member of the GEFS was at least 6" for the mountains. I am starting to think the models are still playing catch-up to the strength of the system. This leads me to believe the current forecast may be too low. If this is true (and to me the GEFS supports this idea), no model would be able to catch it in time before the event hits. The HRRR has been all over the place this morning with location, amounts, and temps. A near-term model struggling with the dynamics of a developing storm. Stay tuned everyone. We might be in for a surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: Bingo. I know models are going solidly 4-8" for most mountain locations, but this north shift is still ongoing. Plus, every single member of the GEFS was at least 6" for the mountains. I am starting to think the models are still playing catch-up to the strength of the system. This leads me to believe the current forecast may be too low. If this is true (and to me the GEFS supports this idea), no model would be able to catch it in time before the event hits. The HRRR has been all over the place this morning with location, amounts, and temps. A near-term model struggling with the dynamics of a developing storm. Stay tuned everyone. We might be in for a surprise. I was just thinking this looking at some data from the models and here we are practically at go time and we are still seeing significant changes from the models with a north trend. The good and bad of this like you said is the models have played catch up way too late. This maybe a scenario where we really see the axis of the best temps/moisture shift in real time instead of model time. This will make some happy and a lot miserable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 8 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: Bingo. I know models are going solidly 4-8" for most mountain locations, but this north shift is still ongoing. Plus, every single member of the GEFS was at least 6" for the mountains. I am starting to think the models are still playing catch-up to the strength of the system. This leads me to believe the current forecast may be too low. If this is true (and to me the GEFS supports this idea), no model would be able to catch it in time before the event hits. The HRRR has been all over the place this morning with location, amounts, and temps. A near-term model struggling with the dynamics of a developing storm. Stay tuned everyone. We might be in for a surprise. I feel this is a very logical way to put it. The GFS, Euro, even the UKMET had troubles the whole way with showing how strong the s/w would be coming out of the Rockies so it would make sense that they are still having trouble now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 EURO is still the dryest model for the mtns with around .5 qpf for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just started spitn snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Got light snow right now in bryson city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Snowing in Haywood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Snowing in Franklin too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Snowing in CandlerSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Jon Cessarich and Chris Justus latest update: 'We're going to see a lot of snow in the mountains' 5-10"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Jon Cessarich and Chris Justus latest update: 'We're going to see a lot of snow in the mountains' 5-10"+. Hey bro you live in Haywood? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Hey bro you live in Haywood? Check your messages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Snowing in Mills River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Fat flakes up at Pisgah and Balsam both: http://brpwebcams.org/cam/10 http://brpwebcams.org/cam/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Hammering quarter sized flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Gettin white fast folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Ground temps not a problem, accumulation occurring almost instantly on grassy surfaces. I think 6"-8" is possible around KAVL and 5"-7" around Downtown Asheville.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Curious folks, has Boyer back peddled on his 1-3"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: Curious folks, has Boyer back peddled on his 1-3"? Yes. 4-6 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Wow a nice burst! Snowing nicely and absolutely no problem laying. Cars are covered and grass is white and the pavement is getting slushy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buncombe Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 With the NWS having only very light snow in Asheville this afternoon, schools are still in and people are still at work. Could be a rough afternoon transit wise if it keeps snowing at this rate . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Congrats to all!, it's been fun living vicariously through you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Last sref ss we get started is 7 inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Nice snow coming down now. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Finally getting some in Ashe. Everything is getting covered, but the roads seem fine, we had a little sun earlier which helped warm them a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 After this little band ends here soon when should we expect the real thing to begin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lettucesnow Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Nice sized flakes coming down in East Asheville, with the ground(aside from the concrete/asphalt) covered! Temperature here at 31 degrees! Hopefully this good snow keeps up although the radar looks like it could be ending for a bit here in the Asheville area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.