AirNelson39 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 11:54 PM, SnoJoe said: Boyer going with "high ground temps" that will limit snow totals. What? I'll barely get above freezing for the next 48 hours before it starts. There will be no ground temp issues here. He still has the low tracking across central FL too. He did put me in the 1-3 inch range though so I'll take it. Anyhow, I'm already down to 24.8 here with a good breeze. Chilly.That's downright sad. The ground will be NO factor with this system. How is someone like that allowed on TV?! I'm going with 2-5" for most of Mtn areas. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 12:18 AM, AirNelson39 said: That's downright sad. The ground will be NO factor with this system. How is someone like that allowed on TV?! I'm going with 2-5" for most of Mtn areas. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Expand Jordan finally shows up to the party! Fuel up the drones, my man! Looking forward to some footage! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 12:23 AM, SnoJoe said: Jordan finally shows up to the party! Fuel up the drones, my man! Looking forward to some footage!Haha I've been lurking a bit in the main forum for about the past week! On a drone note, I may head down east to capture everything down there. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 12:27 AM, AirNelson39 said: Haha I've been lurking a bit in the main forum for about the past week! On a drone note, I may head down east to capture everything down there. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Expand were you the one who had the amazing pictures from app last year or the year before? I definitely want more pics if yes, those were amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 WOW was talking about two models showing the s/w having to dig a lot more than the GFS and Euro are showing. That cause the storm to go into neutral tilt. *IF* we were to get something like that come to fruition, we can double those snow totals at least. That will definitely be worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 12:27 AM, AirNelson39 said: Haha I've been lurking a bit in the main forum for about the past week! On a drone note, I may head down east to capture everything down there. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Expand Yeah you've been lurking and interjecing some common sense in the main forum lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 1:13 AM, AsheCounty48 said: WOW was talking about two models showing the s/w having to dig a lot more than the GFS and Euro are showing. That cause the storm to go into neutral tilt. *IF* we were to get something like that come to fruition, we can double those snow totals at least. That will definitely be worth watching. Expand What did I tell yeah bro! Patience man. I thought this would come around. I said yesterday give it by 12z or at the latest 18z. I hate to toot my own horn but.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 1:17 AM, Met1985 said: What did I tell yeah bro! Patience man. I thought this would come around. I said yesterday give it by 12z or at the latest 18z. I hate to toot my own horn but.... Expand Come on now you act like I was giving up lol. I was just not too worried about it. And I was giving it until 0z tonight but I didn't need to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 1:26 AM, AsheCounty48 said: Come on now you act like I was giving up lol. I was just not too worried about it. And I was giving it until 0z tonight but I didn't need to. Expand Lol I know. I'm just busting you. I was like listen I know the freaking NW trend is going to commence! At least the precip field. I hope everyone gets in on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 12z para ticked up over the 6z. Hopefully we keep seeing an increase in totals going forward, don't want to take any steps backwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 1:30 AM, Met1985 said: Lol I know. I'm just busting you. I was like listen I know the freaking NW trend is going to commence! At least the precip field. I hope everyone gets in on this. Expand lol I know. It was very discouraging to see the Euro go south at 12z. Didn't really think at this timeframe that could happen. I do want to see the oz Euro however to make sure it come back NW before I get too wrapped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 1:45 AM, franklin NCwx said: 12z para ticked up over the 6z. Hopefully we keep seeing an increase in totals going forward, don't want to take any steps backwards. Expand Ticked up as in snow totals, directional or both? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 1:53 AM, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Ticked up as in snow totals, directional or both? Expand Snow totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 How did the NAM look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:01 AM, BlueRidgeFolklore said: How did the NAM look? Expand think it's coming in now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Nam is looking more potent with first wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 2:28 AM, SnoJoe said: Met, I've see it go from Southern Georgia to a cutter in 4 runs. Not saying this time around but more times than not, I'm with you guys, it will come NW. It's been such weird year though we might get thunder snow and it starts a forest fire. Who knows at this point. Expand On 1/5/2017 at 1:17 AM, Met1985 said: What did I tell yeah bro! Patience man. I thought this would come around. I said yesterday give it by 12z or at the latest 18z. I hate to toot my own horn but.... Expand Ahem.......toot, toot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 1:11 AM, AsheCounty48 said: were you the one who had the amazing pictures from app last year or the year before? I definitely want more pics if yes, those were amazing. Expand Yes. His aerials are some of the best I've seen. Big difference between being able to fly a drone and photography. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Nam is hammering the Smokies at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:26 AM, snowbird1230 said: Nam is hammering the Smokies at 48 Expand It's not as good as the gfs but totals increased from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:34 AM, franklin NCwx said: It's not as good as the gfs but totals increased from 18z. Expand NAM is struggling with qpf. It has been all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 One thing that does worry me if the storm does not develop a neutral or negative tilt is downsloping from the higher mountains down sw of me. Kinda like last year's big storm where I was supposed to see 20 inches but only received 8 because of that same reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 The 00z is not a good as the 18z was. Still decent but the precip field came in just a tad bit south. We are still over 48 hours away from this being go time so not really worried unless we see a pronounced shift in the models. Hopefully the Euro will come around tonight and increase our totals. All in all a productive day trending back NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 1:11 AM, AsheCounty48 said: were you the one who had the amazing pictures from app last year or the year before? I definitely want more pics if yes, those were amazing.More than likely so. Here is my site, www.nelsonaerialpros.com I have an online print store and a gallery in Boone on 105. I'm honestly surprised the GFS has been this stubborn getting precip into our neck of the woods. Still have faith in the NW trend at least for the precip shield expanding more than modeled. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 4:38 AM, AirNelson39 said: More than likely so. Here is my site, www.nelsonaerialpros.com I have an online print store and a gallery in Boone on 105. I'm honestly surprised the GFS has been this stubborn getting precip into our neck of the woods. Still have faith in the NW trend at least for the precip shield expanding more than modeled. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Expand Dude those shots are awesome. Amazing work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 5:34 AM, Tyler Penland said: Dude those shots are awesome. Amazing work.Thank you!Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 UK FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Euro ticks south and says enjoy your cloudy skies and scattered snow showers. It has got to be missing a lot of upslope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Always good when HKY_WX chimes in: Definitely think we could see some 12:1 or 15:1 ratios in western and central NC on this one. Temps aloft are pretty ideal and wind speeds will not be an issue given the weakness of the SFC low. Def could see a nice strip of 12 to 15 in the jackpot zone which right now looks to run through far SE Wake county. That said, we're still around 2 days out and there will be some small shifts. Overall the setup looks favorable aloft for widespread snow to breakout on Friday night across the SE. Not really seeing as sharp of a cutoff as the EURO is showing on the NW side. Looks a tad over done given the strength of the 500mb low it's showing. Overrunning should be pretty widespread with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 The models pull us in and then push us away. Yesterday and last night was a roller coaster of trends. Almost go time anyway. Won't be in Boone for this one. Still hoping my other locale just outside AVL in the foothills can get at least an inch or two! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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