Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 1:33 AM, franklin NCwx said: Boom! Sref up to 8 here. Expand Dang bro! Is this in general the SW mountains or just locally? Also we are getting some light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Good grief. SREF mean for Asheville is up to 8.2". Started the day at 1.5". And holy cow...4 members are at 20"!Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 1:48 AM, Met1985 said: Dang bro! Is this in general the SW mountains or just locally? Also we are getting some light snow. Expand SREF plumes went way up across WNC. Several members for Asheville are at 20". What are the general opinions of the SREF around here? I remember a bust once before with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Remember folks don't get caught up in model runs. I'm willing to bet once this becomes a nowcast the radar is going to blossom more than anticipated based on climo. 6" will be the norm. Some are going to get less but a few are going to get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 This storm and the models are all over the place! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I bought a sled just now at Walmart. It's going to happen buds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Wish one of the other models were harping on the idea of the NAM/SREF. Don't want to get sucked in on these higher totals just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Wowser! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 1:48 AM, Met1985 said: Dang bro! Is this in general the SW mountains or just locally? Also we are getting some light snow. Expand Up to 8" in Graham/Cherokee Counties also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 2:22 AM, NavarreDon said: Wowser! Expand Is this the 00Z nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 So both the SREF and the NAM are coming into short range agreement? Hmmmmmm...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 2:33 AM, Met1985 said: Is this the 00Z nam? Expand according to the time stamp at the top right it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 2:33 AM, Met1985 said: Is this the 00Z nam?Yep. The entire state wins!Not ready to go all the way yet. We need agreement from GFS, RGEM, and Euro. Is that too much to ask? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 2:37 AM, HurricaneTracker said: Yep. The entire state wins! Not ready to go all the way yet. We need agreement from GFS, RGEM, and Euro. Is that too much to ask? lol Expand 12z gfs para was a good hit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 2:37 AM, HurricaneTracker said: Yep. The entire state wins! Not ready to go all the way yet. We need agreement from GFS, RGEM, and Euro. Is that too much to ask? lol Expand There you are out on a limb again HT! What is it with you Mets always wanting to put logic in a forecast!......hahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buncombe Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Hi all, NAM is exciting but really hard to go against the Euro. Crazy differences this close. All the players are on the field though. This is a classic southern app snow track which gives me hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 2:37 AM, HurricaneTracker said: Yep. The entire state wins! Not ready to go all the way yet. We need agreement from GFS, RGEM, and Euro. Is that too much to ask? lol Expand This is a complex little system. We need it to ramp way up and explode! I'm very leery because just about every other model shows something different. I'm still thinking 1 to 3 inch range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 2:20 AM, westmc9th said: Wish one of the other models were harping on the idea of the NAM/SREF. Don't want to get sucked in on these higher totals just yet. Expand The ICON was til earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 The NAM is picking up on a finger of precip extending out ahead of the main event. We need to keep an eye on this. Could drop 1-3" before the main show arrivesSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Lol I get the feeling we are in the minority for a NW track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 3:01 AM, Met1985 said: Lol I get the feeling we are in the minority for a NW track. Expand Of course we are. Dude posts one run on one model and states it as 'fact' that it isn't happening. Never mind climo. Never mind other models. I guess I'd be nervous of the NW trend if I lived in Greenville, NC as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 3:01 AM, Met1985 said: Lol I get the feeling we are in the minority for a NW track.I'm with you guys! Come on NW trend! I refuse to believe it yet, though. I'm still nervous whether we even get 2 inches here in Hickory. I really want the classic coastal Miller A track, but that has been in the cards up to this point.Sent from my 6045O using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Now the RGEM comes in looking like the NAM and SREF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Not to say the NAM is the gospel, but if one or more of the other models were to pick up the storm being more amped as the NAM depicted, not only would the track be plausible, it would be likely...Stronger storms goes farther North, we all know this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Rgem is coming in more amped than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 How's the storm looking out west currently compared to how models have handled it? Stronger? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 3:14 AM, westmc9th said: How's the storm looking out west currently compared to how models have handled it? Stronger? Expand Yes, stronger so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Yeah seems like we are starting to maybe, maybe see some significant strengthening of this storm. That would pull if further north. The stronger the storm the better. We really need the GFS to trend back to more NW and the euro to jump on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 3:03 AM, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Of course we are. Dude posts one run on one model and states it as 'fact' that it isn't happening. Never mind climo. Never mind other models. I guess I'd be nervous of the NW trend if I lived in Greenville, NC as well. Expand Lol we will let the models do the talking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Alright guys...NAM has a companion in the latest RGEM. That's two down!Impressive trends this evening. Makes a world of difference when the system is properly initialized!Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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