Tracking Hurricane Matthew and any potential impacts to New England

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

Hold them horses Kev. Barely a CAT2 now which is fine by me and probably anyone living down here.
As to re-intensifying the overall structure has a more symmetric look and this has a history of going boom. Personally sticking with CAT4 but if it doesn't there is nothing anyone can do.     

It will come in as strOng  cat 4.. and possibly a 5 ..but all accounts . A disaster is about to unfold . We all hope for the best and all you guys are in our prayers 

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, Professional Lurker said:

I was kidding, but seriously appreciate the offer. They say they're 12' ASL, I think they're more like 5'. Their house is 400-500 yards from the Intracoastal.

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IDK man that's a lot of surge

[Professional Lurker]

Can I say something without offending? Their area is in the NE quad of a potential cat 4/5 ,they are on the ocean. Are they really thinking this out?

No offense taken. I spent the morning telling them to leave. I wanted them to get as far as jax tonite to avoid the I-95 clusterfuk tomorrow.

They said they wanted to wait to make a decision until tonite. I fear their idiot neighbors may be telling them that they're over-reacting.

My hope is that they come to their senses tomorrow morning.

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[Damage In Tolland]

.@NWSMelbourne: "Locations may become uninhabitable for weeks or months" 85-105 mph winds, higher gusts. #Matthew forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtg…

[Professional Lurker]

IDK man that's a lot of surge

Can you link me up to that?

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[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Professional Lurker said:

No offense taken. I spent the morning telling them to leave. I wanted them to get as far as jax tonite to avoid the I-95 clusterfuk tomorrow.

They said they wanted to wait to make a decision until tonite. I fear their idiot neighbors may be telling them that they're over-reacting.

My hope is that they come to their senses tomorrow morning.

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Send them the surge maps, If as LEK thinks this LFs near Daytona they are in the worst possible location with a river intracoastal ocean. Are there mandatory Evacs there?

[ROOSTA]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It will come in as strOng  cat 4.. and possibly a 5 ..but all accounts . A disaster is about to unfold . We all hope for the best and all you guys are in our prayers 

Thanks Kev. And just to reiterate even the most seasoned TROP MET (no offense) can explain the sudden fluctuations in intensity, only speculate.

[ROOSTA]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Send them the surge maps, If as LEK thinks this LFs near Daytona they are in the worst possible location with a river intracoastal ocean. Are there mandatory Evacs there?

Not that far N YET.

 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, ROOSTA said:

Thanks Kev. And just to reiterate even the most seasoned TROP MET (no offense) can explain the sudden fluctuations in intensity, only speculate.

It's in a rapid upturn me thinks

[Hoth]

12 minutes ago, Professional Lurker said:

No offense taken. I spent the morning telling them to leave. I wanted them to get as far as jax tonite to avoid the I-95 clusterfuk tomorrow.

They said they wanted to wait to make a decision until tonite. I fear their idiot neighbors may be telling them that they're over-reacting.

My hope is that they come to their senses tomorrow morning.

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I'd honestly be a little more forceful with them. 

[ROOSTA]

Look at that pinhole now, can't be wider than 5 miles. Outer feeders coming onshore in Dade. 

[Professional Lurker]

Send them the surge maps, If as LEK thinks this LFs near Daytona they are in the worst possible location with a river intracoastal ocean. Are there mandatory Evacs there?

Flagler county has voluntary evacs currently in "zone A" which is from the Intracoastal east to the beach, and some parts of zone B (which they're in). Those evacs become mandatory at 8am tomorrow morning.

For some rediculous reason, they don't think they're in the evac zone.

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[ROOSTA]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

It's in a rapid upturn me thinks

Nah you be just speculating. Every indicator sky's the limit.

[Ginx snewx]

Yo Donny, not something you want to see heading towards bath water then the Gulf Stream under ideal upper air. Remember when Andrew hit the Gulf Stream?

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yo Donny, not something you want to see heading towards bath water then the Gulf Stream under ideal upper air. Remember when Andrew hit the Gulf Stream?

Really wrapping around the southern eyewall now. Presentation improving drastically.

[ROOSTA]

I have to step-away, running on adrenaline. Just surreal beyond belief in oh so many aspects. Behold the fury....WOW 

[ineedsnow]

Think this is about to explode looking better and better

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

Nah you be just speculating. Every indicator sky's the limit.

Say wut

[ROOSTA]

11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Say wut

Must look at my previous post, response to Kev. Not meant to be derogatory in any way shape, don't interpret it that way.

[OceanStWx]

With the morning max in convection, this could be a rapidly evolving situation early tomorrow.

[ROOSTA]

Every picture tells a story don't it. Looks health to me

[Dan]

Winds are a blowing in Nassau.

 

http://www.portnassauwebcam.com/

[HoarfrostHubb]

I've got a bunch of non weather related friends in central and coastal FL. Most are in newer housing.  Many have been through hurricanes before but realize this one is different. 

[Dan]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I've got a bunch of non weather related friends in central and coastal FL. Most are in newer housing.  Many have been through hurricanes before but realize this one is different. 

There seems to be a lot of downplaying of this storm.  Unfortunately I think many people will be caught by surprise and there will be many unnecessary deaths because of it.  I hope thats not the case, but just reading some of the articles on the news sites, it seems many people are just hunkering down.

[ROOSTA]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I've got a bunch of non weather related friends in central and coastal FL. Most are in newer housing.  Many have been through hurricanes before but realize this one is different. 

Media has done an excellent job IMO. Tone alone gives the dire need to heed warnings. "Likes never seen before" is an attention getter and the explanation should be a show stopper.

[Professional Lurker]

Parents just recieved word they're under a mandatory evac starting 6am. ...now i have to help them find hotels, which I told them to book last night.

Smh.

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[Dan]

So much for the Nassau webcam, just went down.

[HoarfrostHubb]

10 minutes ago, Dan said:

There seems to be a lot of downplaying of this storm.  Unfortunately I think many people will be caught by surprise and there will be many unnecessary deaths because of it.  I hope thats not the case, but just reading some of the articles on the news sites, it seems many people are just hunkering down.

Many of my friends have hit the road, but some are staying put.  Drinking water will b an issue. Most stores sold out.  

[Dan]

15 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Many of my friends have hit the road, but some are staying put.  Drinking water will b an issue. Most stores sold out.  

Part of the problem is they have not been hit directly in awhile and with anything as strong as this.  

Anyone know what the strongest hurricane to hit the Port Canaveral area is?  Obviously Andrew near Miami, but that was much more compact then this was and didn't affect the areas north of it very much.  

[Hoth]

Healthy