ROOSTA Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Big model run upcoming, does it hold serve, track Matthew E or W even slightly? Latest, well 8pm update had the pivot point almost to my LON. Regardless a long duration event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 1:27 AM, Ginx snewx said: Wishing and wanting a 38 in your backyard is just ignorance fueled by bedtime stories and living in someone else's basement. Once I grew up and realized what would really happen to hundreds of thousands I dropped the destruction in my hood fantasy quickly.Only an idiot would wish for a 38 repeat. But it's always nice to have interesting weather impacting your BY...I see no harm in rooting for a TS or transitioning ET storm level impact. A 50-60 mph gust type deal with 3-6" of rain makes things somewhat exciting without the threat of widespread destruction. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 1:27 AM, Ginx snewx said: Wishing and wanting a 38 in your backyard is just ignorance fueled by bedtime stories and living in someone else's basement. Once I grew up and realized what would really happen to hundreds of thousands I dropped the destruction in my hood fantasy quickly. Expand The definition of a small mind is the inability to appreciate alternative points of view, regardless of how disparate they may be from your own. People spend their lives analyzing the history of war, too. Nobody controls the weather..take that crap to OT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 1:09 AM, JC-CT said: That depends on when exactly you consider the nothing to have happened. Expand Are you doing the reverse weather psychology thing, or are you tossing any real impact based on one run? If we get sprinkles and a few falling leaves, I won't be surprised, but a little early to write this off, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 There are certain rudimentary truths to existence, such as life, death, creation and destruction. The inability of some to accept any solitaire one of them is what keeps psychotherapists in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 1:32 AM, dryslot said: One of the local NBC affiliates posted this on FB this evening of a unedited sat pic from NASA and Stu Ostro of Matthew when it LF Haiti this morning Expand Pirate of the Caribbean! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 That is one sick pic... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 2:09 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: The definition of a small mind is the inability to appreciate alternative points of view, regardless of how disparate they may be from your own. People spend their lives analyzing the history of war, too. Nobody controls the weather..take that crap to OT. Expand Except there are probably far fewer war historians that wish for repeat scenarios of their most studied events. I'm not sure that is the case amongst weather enthusiasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 2:30 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said: Except there are probably far fewer war historians that wish for repeat scenarios of their most studied events. I'm not sure that is the case amongst weather enthusiasts. Expand Yes, that is true; not a perfect analogy in that sense, but the underlying assertions remain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 2:32 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes, that is true; not a perfect analogy in that sense, but the underlying assertions remain. Expand Yeah, weather is a hobby that brings out some unexpected emotions. Nice grammatical use of a semi-colon btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 2:09 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: The definition of a small mind is the inability to appreciate alternative points of view, regardless of how disparate they may be from your own. People spend their lives analyzing the history of war, too. Nobody controls the weather..take that crap to OT. Expand I have just as much right to express my opinion as you do to want it . If you are so enamored drive to Charleston, camp out and chase. Best news all week for us. A good Noreaster would have been cool.Silly to wish 38 . Go chase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 DGEX moved a 976mb er bodily over the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 2:09 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: People spend their lives analyzing the history the history of war too Expand And not one battlefield buff wants one in their backyard Educated people understand and learn lessons from history. No one controls the weather but getting upset because 38 ain't walking in the door is juvenile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 2:14 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: There are certain rudimentary truths to existence, such as life, death, creation and destruction. The inability of some to accept any solitaire one of them is what keeps psychotherapists in business. Expand What in Sam Hell does this mean lol WTH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 2:46 AM, Ginx snewx said: I have just as much right to express my opinion as you do to want it . If you are so enamored drive to Charleston, camp out and chase. Best news all week for us. A good Noreaster would have been cool.Silly to wish 38 . Go chase Expand First of all, you can express your opinion all you want...without vommitting disparaging remarks at those with alternate views, which you failed to do...hence the "acceptance of alternate points of view". Secondly, that is OT...I suggest you take it there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Lol Nicole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 crazy ukie the new king? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 0z gives us basically no rain at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 I be in deep doo-doo. Do I go ahead and button-up putting on the hurricane shutters? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 138hr headed back to the Bahamas, but unlike the euro still a formidable cyclone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 4:13 AM, ROOSTA said: I be in deep doo-doo. Do I go ahead and button-up putting on the hurricane shutters? Expand Good call..you were all over this coming west and hitting FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 lol at 153 loops around and hits the bahamas again.. headed towards FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Nuts....this is going to an extremely costly system....devestating w Hati, e Cuba while shooting the gap, then paralleling the entire Bahamian chain and coast of FL....never seen that before, should it verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Its like a track I drew up on my tacking charts with erasable markers as a kid... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 headed to SFL as a 940's cane @ 183 that would just be insane.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=atl&pkg=pres_wind&runtime=2016100500&fh=138&xpos=0&ypos=203 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Is Nicole having any influence on the steering of Matthew.? I mean, it's not often you see one TC progged heading straight for another TC from W to E at that latitude, although Nicole could be only a depression by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 4:16 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Good call..you were all over this coming west and hitting FL. Expand Not yet but thanks. In many ways had to with so much at stake. Tomorrow morning I'm going to attach the shutters, all my windows on the outside have velcro, I think they're stored in the shed which I have yet to look in. I have about a weeks worth of tuna fish and spaghetti. Not worried about nurishment, 14k gallons of water at my disposal and in lieu of A/C I can just go swimming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 that is one crazy GFS run.. hits southern dade county Andrew like, 930's pressure ~ 210hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/5/2016 at 4:28 AM, 78Blizzard said: Is Nicole having any influence on the steering of Matthew.? I mean, it's not often you see one TC progged heading straight for another TC from W to E at that latitude, although Nicole could be only a depression by then. Expand I would say no. Matthew is so large it encapsulated in it's own environment. It's the building ridge to the N and E influencing the W track. The loop is gaining some legs... yeah a double hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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