Tracking Hurricane Matthew and any potential impacts to New England

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

lol... the 12z models definitely took the wind out of this thread.  Like a balloon deflating.

That 12z Euro run certainly did..........lol

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I'm not spiking anything yet. If yesterday was too far out to make any real guesses, I don't see why today would be any different.

long ways to go 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'd rather a big US LF, than some half-a$$ sne deal....topical weather is easy for me to live vicariously....winter wx, not so much.

I'm not too IMBY happy RE the tropicals......

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'll take this over Edouard, or Irene any day, any time, every time.

[powderfreak]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'd rather a big US LF, than some half-a$$ sne deal....topical weather is easy for me to live vicariously....winter wx, not so much.

I'm not too IMBY happy RE the tropicals......

Makes sense.  A tropical storm hitting Florida and the Carolinas is easier to live vicariously through on TV than watching Dendrite get 15" of paste while it pours at 34F outside, even if you can watch it on his web cam.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Exactly.

I want a major impact.....not 4" of rain with exaggerated, unimpressive wind gusts.

People coming up with fraud-a$$ reasons why you can still get big winds to the left of the system at this latitude.

[powderfreak]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Exactly.

I want a major impact.....not 4" of rain with exaggerated, unimpressive wind gusts.

I'm the same... tropical weather I can watch live on TWC or look at the nearest obs.  Don't have the "wish I was there" feeling like I do with a big winter storm.

[Dan76]

4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Sunny and 73

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

This was a perfect scenario, but the dan trough just refused to dig....you can bet your a$$ it will dig to send a cutter of a blizzard this winter..

[Lava Rock]

That 12z Euro run certainly did..........lol

No beer for you, lol.

[powderfreak]

26 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I'm not spiking anything yet. If yesterday was too far out to make any real guesses, I don't see why today would be any different.

long ways to go 

Huh?  Its 24 hours closer.  Model skill increases as you get closer to the event time.  Its still a long ways out and I get what you are saying, but we are getting into that time frame where skill will increase with each passing day.  The difference between a day 10 and day 9 prog is different than the difference of a day 5 vs day 4 prog.

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This was a perfect scenario, but the dan trough just refused to dig....you can bet your a$$ it will dig to send a cutter of a blizzard this winter..

And you will be able to lock it at hr 240 to boot

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Huh?  Its 24 hours closer.  Model skill increases as you get closer to the event time.  Its still a long ways out and I get what you are saying, but we are getting into that time frame where skill will increase with each passing day.  The difference between a day 10 and day 9 prog is different than the difference of a day 5 vs day 4 prog.

Let him go....denial is a form of coping.

[Baroclinic Zone]

To each his own, but given the dearth of rains here, I'd welcome a good ole deluge over nothing.

[Modfan]

18 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Makes sense.  A tropical storm hitting Florida and the Carolinas is easier to live vicariously through on TV than watching Dendrite get 15" of paste while it pours at 34F outside, even if you can watch it on his web cam.

You can live vicariously through me, I just spent 5 hours shuttering my house with more to do tomorrow!

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

17 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Huh?  Its 24 hours closer.  Model skill increases as you get closer to the event time.  Its still a long ways out and I get what you are saying, but we are getting into that time frame where skill will increase with each passing day.  The difference between a day 10 and day 9 prog is different than the difference of a day 5 vs day 4 prog.

Right.... but isn't this a late Sunday... Monday thing? Maybe even into Tuesday?

 

is there really a big difference between 7-8 day modeling and 6-7 days modeling? Hard to imagine the difference is enough to inspire any real confidence.

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Let him go....denial is a form of coping.

I could care less about a direct hit. I just want it to rain.

[HoarfrostHubb]

14 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

To each his own, but given the dearth of rains here, I'd welcome a good ole deluge over nothing.

I'm with you on that

[JC-CT]

Right.... but isn't this a late Sunday... Monday thing? Maybe even into Tuesday?

That depends on when exactly you consider the nothing to have happened.

[kdxken]

" You can live vicariously through me, I just spent 5 hours shuttering my house  "

I did too someone earlier today said not to underestimate the wind damage in SNE. Boy, do I feel stupid...

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I could care less about a direct hit. I just want it to rain.

Oh, sorry.

That is still possible.

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, kdxken said:

" You can live vicariously through me, I just spent 5 hours shuttering my house  "

I did too someone earlier today said not to underestimate the wind damage in SNE. Boy, do I feel stupid...

 

Stop taking Kev so seriously.

[Ginx snewx]

Wishing and wanting a 38 in your backyard is just ignorance fueled by bedtime stories and living in someone else's basement. Once I grew up and realized what would really happen to hundreds of thousands I dropped the destruction in my hood fantasy quickly.

[Hoth]

My uncle has ocean front property on John's Island, FL. Not sure storm shutters will cut it there.

[Ginx snewx]

29 minutes ago, Modfan said:

You can live vicariously through me, I just spent 5 hours shuttering my house with more to do tomorrow!

How far are you from the Coast, my sister lives in JAX. 

[dryslot]

One of the local NBC affiliates posted this on FB this evening of a unedited sat pic from NASA and Stu Ostro of Matthew when it LF Haiti this morning

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

One of the local NBC affiliates posted this on FB this evening of a unedited sat pic from NASA and Stu Ostro of Matthew when it LF Haiti this morning

Haitian Voodoo

[Hoth]

He's laughing at us.

[weathafella]

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Wishing and wanting a 38 in your backyard is just ignorance fueled by bedtime stories and living in someone else's basement. Once I grew up and realized what would really happen to hundreds of thousands I dropped the destruction in my hood fantasy quickly.

So true!   

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, Hoth said:

He's laughing at us.

I think hes looking at Florida