MN Transplant Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 9 minutes ago, yoda said: Intriguing 12z EURO at Day 9... That is a batty run of the Euro. I like the low that moves south from Nova Scotia/Newfoundland around the Atlantic high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 13, 2016 Author Share Posted October 13, 2016 40 minutes ago, yoda said: Intriguing 12z EURO at Day 9... No. Just no. No October snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 8 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: No. Just no. No October snow. Apps runner... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 13, 2016 Author Share Posted October 13, 2016 1 hour ago, eurojosh said: Apps runner... I hope so. I don't want to see even a flake of snow before T-day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 Hell no to October snow. Sun and 65 until mid November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: ? I don't see snow on either run. It even appears to be of tropical origin if you follow the low back (GoM) earlier in the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 42 and clear skies. Nice sunrise on tap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 14, 2016 Author Share Posted October 14, 2016 15 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: ? I don't see snow on either run. I was just commenting on the ggem , and the posted Euro map. Assumed it must be showing something with winter potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 I guess we should start paying attention to the 21-23rd window. Ops are bouncing with all kinds of varied solutions but ensembles are pretty much in agreement that there is potential for some sort of complicated phased or cutoff storm making a run at us from the south. Ensemble MSLP plots like the idea of an overhead or close pass in general. October storms can be fun and there is really nothing else to talk about except how nice it is outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 Beautiful day. High of 63. Cant get much better for mid October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 2 hours ago, Bob Chill said: I guess we should start paying attention to the 21-23rd window. Ops are bouncing with all kinds of varied solutions but ensembles are pretty much in agreement that there is potential for some sort of complicated phased or cutoff storm making a run at us from the south. Ensemble MSLP plots like the idea of an overhead or close pass in general. October storms can be fun and there is really nothing else to talk about except how nice it is outside. Would probably produce the first snow showers of the season in the western highlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 5 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: Beautiful day. High of 63. Cant get much better for mid October. I agree 100%. Today was a perfect 10 October day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 Low of 40 another beauty on tap today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 Patchy frost for the third time this week...34.2 for the low Perfect day for some fall fishing. Getting the kayaks ready for a day on the upper potomac....smallmouth don't stand a chance today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 19 hours ago, Bob Chill said: I guess we should start paying attention to the 21-23rd window. Ops are bouncing with all kinds of varied solutions but ensembles are pretty much in agreement that there is potential for some sort of complicated phased or cutoff storm making a run at us from the south. Ensemble MSLP plots like the idea of an overhead or close pass in general. October storms can be fun and there is really nothing else to talk about except how nice it is outside. 6z GFS still has that storm but keeps it offshore. It then brings in a 1034 H a few days later that bulldozes everything in its path and brings in big negative temp departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 16, 2016 Share Posted October 16, 2016 Not so chilly this morning. 46 here and feels like it's going to warm up quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 16, 2016 Share Posted October 16, 2016 Pretty disgustingly warm week coming up. Hate seeing 80s in the forecast in mid to late October. Leaves are still 95% green. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 16, 2016 Share Posted October 16, 2016 10 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Pretty disgustingly warm week coming up. Hate seeing 80s in the forecast in mid to late October. Leaves are still 95% green. A few days of low 80's doesn't bother me, and it's better than the kiss of death, snow in October. This morning is perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 16, 2016 Share Posted October 16, 2016 1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said: A few days of low 80's doesn't bother me, and it's better than the kiss of death, snow in October. This morning is perfect. Last few days have been perfect. I bet there will be some places that see highs of 85-86 this week. When it comes to warmth we typically over-perform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 17, 2016 Author Share Posted October 17, 2016 Today was not nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 17, 2016 Author Share Posted October 17, 2016 You know it's a bad day when you leave the house at 7 AM on Oct. 17 in shorts....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 17, 2016 Share Posted October 17, 2016 7 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: You know it's a bad day when you leave the house at 7 AM on Oct. 17 in shorts....... I'm still waiting for a day to justify putting something other than shorts on this fall, although it was close one day last week. Foggy AGAIN this am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 17, 2016 Share Posted October 17, 2016 23 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: A few days of low 80's doesn't bother me, and it's better than the kiss of death, snow in October. This morning is perfect. Exactly. Low humidity and low sun angle means that 80s in mid October is really easy to handle. People get hotter from flapping their gums while complaining about it than they do from the actual air temps. I have a huge area of newly seeded lawn after a just-completed deck replacement, so the warmth will hopefully help the seed to get growing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 17, 2016 Share Posted October 17, 2016 I see a make-up week for May is upon us. Bring it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 17, 2016 Share Posted October 17, 2016 This little heat wave will keep crabbing good. Crabs on Halloween are the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 17, 2016 Share Posted October 17, 2016 I'm glad I'm in cloudy and cool germany for most of this heat wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 17, 2016 Share Posted October 17, 2016 Maybe this mini warm stretch will help the last of my maters to turn red. Have about 15-20 still on the vine green. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 17, 2016 Share Posted October 17, 2016 First freeze is being elusive this year. Looks like a brief window for IAD and maybe BWI roughly around the 24-27th. If that doesn't pan out then it could be Nov for all locations. Of course any good radiational night with hp over head can do it in the burbs but nothing is obvious on guidance. One of the issues for getting good cold down here is the fairly consistent AN height pattern in Canada. All the cold stuff is on the other side of the globe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 17, 2016 Share Posted October 17, 2016 5 hours ago, North Balti Zen said: I see a make-up week for May is upon us. Bring it. Amen. Also, I feel good with a warm October. Seems like if we get a cold October, it backfires on us come winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 17, 2016 Share Posted October 17, 2016 12 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Amen. Also, I feel good with a warm October. Seems like if we get a cold October, it backfires on us come winter. We haven't had an BN month since May and Oct will almost certainly be another AN one. I'm rooting for AN Nov so we can run 6 consecutive in a row. That can't be common. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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