RedSky Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Yeah now we have to add option C) boring begets boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 NBC10 going west.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 ^Glenn going more west than above.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Seen over in MA thread that Glenn went east this afternoon, regardless the boring weather breaker looks almost DOA for us. Funny I had figured Tuesday evening or Wednesday before there was clarification on the track. Excellent tuneup for all the winter screw jobs starting in a couple months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Kathy Orr - "Cold front out west will push Matthew East off the coast and well offshore and out-to-sea". Wow, she said that with almost total certainty and confidence. Guess the boring weather will continue for our area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Kathy Orr - "Cold front out west will push Matthew East off the coast and well offshore and out-to-sea". Wow, she said that with almost total certainty and confidence. Guess the boring weather will continue for our area? Glenn pretty much said the same at 5-6pm...they seem to copy each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 15 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Glenn pretty much said the same at 5-6pm...they seem to copy each other. It's pretty ridiculous their waffling... at 11am glen was getting ready to dump his shorts and 4 short hours later ready to don his swim trunks.... it may work out that way but still WAY too early to know the final outcome at this point with this complex setup! I much preferred 6's call by showing very clearly the options on the table without making an actual "call"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Cecily said on facebook in a live video that she was in favor of the gfs solution. Precip transfer from Matthew to the secondary low, faster than modelled timing. Surge and Winds for our area stay out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Seems like the TV mets just keep refreshing the NHC website and report on whatever they say. I like the Euro, though, with it's Florida landfall, hard U-turn, and Florida landfall again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 WOW GFS more than a thousand miles different from 12z CRAZY Hey if the trough is a little deeper day 10 it might pick it up on the second Florida pass and bring heavy flooding rains to..........ok never mind In other news first snow chance to the northern burbs at 324hrs no no no we don't want that some really good fun from tonight's run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 at least i won't need t o buy gas for generator Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Latest GFS has the remnants of Matthew near Cancun Mexico day 10. In 24 hrs it went from near the north pole to a tropical paradise nice job GFS Matthew will be happy taking the vacation. Couldn't make this stuff up. Confidence with GFS and upcoming winter storms is in the toilet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 So, the GFS went the way of the Euro. They were fairly similar at 0Z. The GFS made another dramatic change 12 hours later. Wonder what the Euro will do. It's like a game of 'pick a number'. GEM and HWRF still up the coast. Forecasters may be taking another trip to the hall of shame with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 7 minutes ago, BBasile said: So, the GFS went the way of the Euro. They were fairly similar at 0Z. The GFS made another dramatic change 12 hours later. Wonder what the Euro will do. It's like a game of 'pick a number'. GEM and HWRF still up the coast. Forecasters may be taking another trip to the hall of shame with this one. Only up to the Carolinas and then scoots out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Only up to the Carolinas and then scoots out Yeah, that's what I meant. They haven't pulled the U-turn like the other two, yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 GFS pulls the ye olde Lucy's Football routine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 1 hour ago, zenmsav6810 said: GFS pulls the ye olde Lucy's Football routine. How many of them did we have have last winter after the blizzard? Now two tropical systems for this warm season the list grows long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibet Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 I'm not 100% convinced we can write Matthew off just yet... we're still far enough out that big changes can take place. For instance if that trough makes a play, the mid Atlantic could find itself back in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 We pretty much now have a better chance of sunny skies this weekend than any storm interaction. Gotta love it. "Good grief". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Indirectly it's kinda funny (not really) but Florida could get nail twice by this thing doing a loop. Meanwhile we're hoping to get in on some action and it doesn't want any parts of us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 11 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Indirectly it's kinda funny (not really) but Florida could get nail twice by this thing doing a loop. Meanwhile we're hoping to get in on some action and it doesn't want any parts of us... It's that big 'ole high up over Maine and eastern Canada that is suppressing it. We saw that happen with some of the potential winter coastals that got suppressed to the south sending the storms OTS. I saw a post on a non-weather forum that alerted me to Hurricane Nicole's formation and her proximity to Matthew, with them speculating that she would essentially block Matthew from moving east and continuing the loop dee loop... So perhaps something else to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 1 minute ago, Hurricane Agnes said: It's that big 'ole high up over Maine and eastern Canada that is suppressing it. We saw that happen with some of the potential winter coastals that got suppressed to the south sending the storms OTS. I saw a post on a non-weather forum that alerted me to Hurricane Nicole's formation and her proximity to Matthew, with them speculating that she would essentially block Matthew from moving east and continuing the loop dee loop... So perhaps something else to watch. If so, the final plot map of this thing will be crazy...at least it something to track/watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 4 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: If so, the final plot map of this thing will be crazy...at least it something to track/watch. You can see Nicole pretty good on the sat (before it got dark) - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FUCK JOE BIDEN Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 minimal event for our communities on the florida east coast, 1 of 3 lost power for about 12 hours, thankfully the storm stayed off the coast enough to be a glancing blow. We had over 20 mechanics from our other regions ready to go and assist if needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted October 9, 2016 Share Posted October 9, 2016 Up to 0.53" of rain on the day so far. At least we're getting some rain out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 9, 2016 Share Posted October 9, 2016 Epic flooding in the Carolina's and now Virginia. Matthew's moisture looks like it's running up against a giant atmospheric squeegee as the front approaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted October 9, 2016 Share Posted October 9, 2016 6 minutes ago, RedSky said: Epic flooding in the Carolina's and now Virginia. Matthew's moisture looks like it's running up against a giant atmospheric squeegee as the front approaches. No doubt awful flooding they will make a run at 30"+ ...rain coming down at a 6" of rain an hour 18z gfs from yesterday was right Mathew the center is barely moving...the front will squeeze it all out like Floydd in 1999. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 9, 2016 Share Posted October 9, 2016 How on Earth did Matthew get so far north??? Heavy rain making it to Dover Delaware WOW all models wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted October 9, 2016 Share Posted October 9, 2016 4 hours ago, RedSky said: How on Earth did Matthew get so far north??? Heavy rain making it to Dover Delaware WOW all models wrong. Looks like it's not looping and will just going NE out to sea which brought it closer. Del/SNJ getting a pretty good rain event with some gusty winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted October 9, 2016 Share Posted October 9, 2016 And we got exactly 0.00" of rain from the cold front/Matthew interaction. I watched the radar yesterday morning, and there was a decent slug of moisture out in central/western PA that just got eaten alive as it moved eastward. I'm not complaining (other than my grandson's fall baseball game being cancelled for nothing) but posting in amazement of how the "event" played out yesterday in my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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