AppsRunner Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 77/47/18/0.00. Haven't been posting in here this year, but I'm doing OK. Hopefully I have a good first day this city! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 75/51/17/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 75/51/19/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 9 minutes ago, AppsRunner said: 87/47/18/0.00. Haven't been posting in here this year, but I'm doing OK. Hopefully I have a good first day this city! Hopefully you meant 77! 74/49/20/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 1 minute ago, LoveSN+ said: Hopefully you meant 77! 74/49/20/0 Thankfully I saved my typos for just this forum... 77 was the real forecast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 74/53/19/0.02'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 73/50/18/0.04 Had 76 initially but backed out because of clouds. I'll probably kick myself for that one. Thinking the low should be above MOS with the cloud cover moving through and winds never dying off. BUFKIT showed 20 kts or so in the mixed layer so agreed with USL there. Took a shot at some rain with decent s/w and height falls and CAPE shown to be around 1500 J/kg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 25, 2016 Author Share Posted October 25, 2016 78/48/18/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 77/51/20/0 Least confident in the low. A window of good clearing and I'm toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 1 hour ago, OHweather said: 77/51/20/0 Least confident in the low. A window of good clearing and I'm toast. Me too...:/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 25, 2016 Author Share Posted October 25, 2016 11 hours ago, Mallow said: 78/48/18/0 Originally had 79F, let's see if the drop was a good idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 Per Phils HRRR grid GRI could make a run at 80 today. A pretty bad error for the USL today if it pans out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 4 hours ago, Mallow said: Originally had 79F, let's see if the drop was a good idea. thought 77 but we will see as appsrunner stated mistook hrrr. had a feeling it would go higher been dry for the past month or so. I wonder if we make a run at records this week with that ridge quite impressive amounts of heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 25, 2016 Author Share Posted October 25, 2016 Argh that batch of clouds moved in at the worst time for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 1 hour ago, Mallow said: Argh that batch of clouds moved in at the worst time for me climo report has : 77/48/18 .. so it worked out for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 8 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: climo report has : 77/48/18 .. so it worked out for you Man if I would have just said no to the rain oh well 0.02 doesnt hurt too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 If only I had the 47 low too. Better start than any city I've had! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 Looks like most of us in here starting above national consensus, good job! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 25, 2016 Author Share Posted October 25, 2016 40 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: climo report has : 77/48/18 .. so it worked out for you Ya, I'm happy with my results overall... but in over four years of forecasting with WxChallenge, I've not yet had a perfect forecast, and if those clouds hadn't been quite as thick I very well could have gotten it today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 Crap, I got Mallow'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 73/50/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 26, 2016 Author Share Posted October 26, 2016 73/49/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 1 minute ago, Mallow said: Ya, I'm happy with my results overall... but I've not yet had a perfect forecast, and if those clouds hadn't been quite as thick I very well could have gotten it today. I believe in you man. It will happen one day, probably unknowingly. Went with 73/51/15 Im worried about the nighttime low could go one of two ways. Could scour out the higher dps and drop it into the upper 40's or we stay fairly saturated (so to speak) in the lower atmosphere and have a warmer low say 53 or more then the low would have to hope for before 6z tomorrow. Winds fairly decent felt it was good even ground and same with the high. While it is in the wake of a front the cooling, if you will, will be rather weak allowing daytime temps to warm nice but not too much. Thought 73 was fair could see up to 75 as a max temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 72/47/17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 73/50/17/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 73/49/16/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 74/47/17/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Laughable at how bad the modeling of the low is in this area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Dang, I had 47 but switched back to 49 at the last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 26, 2016 Author Share Posted October 26, 2016 That low was... surprising. As big a bust as yesterday's high, and yet even fewer people got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.