H2Otown_WX Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Nice to see we're all in relative agreement. 88/80/16/0.12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 89/80/16/0 That 3 degree intra-hour drop was lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 89/77/18/0.07 for today. That seems to be working out so far, although the rain can stop now. Air starts to get juicy by 00 UTC tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 90/78/18/0.05 for today picked up .11 last hour and temp down to 80. that shower going to sit over the ASOS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 5, 2016 Author Share Posted October 5, 2016 88/78/18/0.28 for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 87/78/21/0.45 Similar air masses every day here so didn't see a reason to stray on the temperatures. Decided to take a risk they could mix over 20 kts during a thundershower. We'll see. Went aggressive with the precip as it seemed maybe some moisture from Matthew would be drawn into the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 For Key West, this is about as interesting as it can get this time of year over the next couple of days... 89/79/20/0.33" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 88/79/20/0.18" Is this city done yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 88/78/20/0.28... This day scares me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Remind me to always go with my first instinct. Had 91 in there originally for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Disastrous day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 6, 2016 Author Share Posted October 6, 2016 Frustrating that all that heavy rain was around them, and they managed to miss every bit. Anyway, 88/77/22/0.44 for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 89/80/22/0.75 for today. Com'on rain band! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 At this point, getting back into Top 200 by going low on precip (0.10) today was a victory. 89/80/17/0.03. Beating the consensus and moving on to Pennsylvania is my hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Excited for this city to be done. If it doesn't rain tomorrow I should finish top 150 or 200 but it hasn't been fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 7, 2016 Author Share Posted October 7, 2016 Had a horrible day 6 and 7. Went with 88/81/18/0.18 for day 8, but don't really care. I knew ahead of time, and I still know, that forecasting for a city like Key West (or any city where convective precipitation is important) in the WxChallenge style is a fool's job. Just another notch in the "WxChallenge needs to change their precipitation rules" belt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 22 minutes ago, Mallow said: Had a horrible day 6 and 7. Went with 88/81/18/0.18 for day 8, but don't really care. I knew ahead of time, and I still know, that forecasting for a city like Key West (or any city where convective precipitation is important) in the WxChallenge style is a fool's job. Just another notch in the "WxChallenge needs to change their precipitation rules" belt. Harrisburg next, should be right up your alley! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 88/81/18/.18 If for some reason we don't get precip I should be OK today.should be in the top 200 with rain who knows. Can't wait to move closer to home for the next city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 7, 2016 Author Share Posted October 7, 2016 58 minutes ago, so_whats_happening said: 88/81/18/.18 If for some reason we don't get precip I should be OK today.should be in the top 200 with rain who knows. Can't wait to move closer to home for the next city lol so we had exactly the same forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 On 10/7/2016 at 0:52 PM, Mallow said: lol so we had exactly the same forecast. Ha that's crazy it seemed like a good forecast lol Ended up at 200 on the dot for keyw. That's cool with me onto home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 67/38/5/0 Im a little iffy on the nighttime low clear conditions no wind, nice radiational cooling could tend to go lower one thing holding me back is the dp may start to rise a little allowing for a higher nighttime low then models show. One thing that is big indicator for the forecast here is it has been pretty dry not only around here but also as you go further north, as many here probably already know. This will allow for somewhat different conditions from what models may show, large diurnal swing expected with the area of high pressure overhead and sliding east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 11, 2016 Author Share Posted October 11, 2016 64/38/7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 63/37/8/0 Big spread in the SREF lows. I always go below guidance on nights like this. Wouldn't be surprised to see 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 65/36/9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 65/37/8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 63/39/8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 65/36/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcontinelli Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 63/36/5/0 Winds might be to low. Calm and clear night perfect recipe to see 35 or 36F tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 63/37/8 is what I went with. As SWH mentioned, I expect plenty of radiational cooling. Congrats on the red tag, OHweather!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 Only 39 last night had a feeling. This place doesn't drop quite as low the river next to them helps and they are banked against a mountain not quite a valley scenario like thv to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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