WxBlue Posted December 10, 2016 Share Posted December 10, 2016 4 minutes ago, so_whats_happening said: Looks like it payed out though looks like only 0.08 for the day but that low so far already 19 Yeah, after seeing Day 7 results and having nothing to lose, I was like... why not? That 19 will make me 15th for the semester, but I was looking at 20th-22nd a day ago so I'm pretty happy how I did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted December 10, 2016 Share Posted December 10, 2016 1 minute ago, WxBlue said: Yeah, after seeing Day 7 results and having nothing to lose, I was like... why not? That 19 will make me 15th for the semester, but I was looking at 20th-22nd a day ago so I'm pretty happy how I did. yea this will also my drop city especially missing one day will help that. If i didnt do as bad in KEYW with matthew then I would be sitting better in the half way point but sitting at 150 for the first half. All I can say is I have improved on my years in the past so thats what I was looking for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Oh man this one snuck up on me today definitely climo for day 1! Already starting off the second half with a bang lol maybe it wont be as bad as im thinking, right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Yeah. Lucky for me my Team Manager sent us all an email reminding us. Went with: 42/36/16/0 for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 31, 2017 Author Share Posted January 31, 2017 Went with 44/34/18/0, gunning for that late 06z low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 1, 2017 Author Share Posted February 1, 2017 Have 44/31/23/0 for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 43/32/24 Treading water with the USL having to work 9-7 through tomorrow. Hoping to make my own forecast Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 43/29/23/0 Felt dry here this afternoon so think the temp can make it down to 29 or 30 tonight. Easterly gap winds tomorrow should be fairly strong--climo suggests the USL has the right idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 44/28/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 43/34/15/0.29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 42/31/17/0.04 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 39/29/13/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Oh man hate to have a drop city this early but missing the first day really hurt. On to the next whatever the choice may be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 43/30/15/0.68 Surprisingly low model uncertainty with the precip tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 42/29/17/0.66 Seems fitting: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Still going but 40/32/15/0.73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 54/42/26/1.21 The cold air is being stubborn and the wind doesn't turn southerly until after 06 UTC. So the 42 might end up being too high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Rain When I Climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Seattle often has boring weather but this week is turning out to be one of the more exciting WxChallenge periods in recent memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Oh man what a horrible city for me lol forgot the first day then just opposite on the other days. This will be unfortunately my drop, darn its so early. Oh well off to KJAN (Jackson, MS) good luck maybe some really decent heat/ severe weather potential here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Seattle was my worst city since my first semester of the competition. 100% dropping this one. Jackson should be an interesting one with convective activity right at 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 I remembered lol went 71/48/16/0.08 Saw a little bit of cooling taking place with with no clouds most kept around 50 so went just a little lower. High seemed a little iffy to me felt we could see just below 70 but who knows. As for precip gfs was the only really showing something before 6z nam and hrrr were a little so I figured go with a blend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 70/46/18/0.06 I could see how the high is considerably higher but banking on some clouds keeping it down. It's already down to 49F with no clouds for the next several hours and a dew point of 37F I think they could conceivably get lower than the 46F I forecast. Pretty nervous about the precip. as I see the NAM has come in more aggressive on recent runs. It had been missing to the north when I made the forecast around noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 Wow just saw that low lol good thing I forecasted this early so I knew I would get it done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 74/48/18/0.10" the low was unfortunate but I'm more worried about the precip being much higher than my 0.10" at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 Getting nervous as well. Most besides hrrr still aren't at where the precip is currently. GFS has it slightly further south then the nam, so nam brings in just under .1" still gfs brings in about a quarter of an inch and looks like hrrr is somewhere in between the two. Most suggest it breaks up real soon, in relative terms, so let's see. I'm hoping for less then .15" but preferably less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 60/41/19/0 I guess I'm going for a 06z high though I could see how they touch 60F tomorrow afternoon if they made it to 76F today. I can't imagine CAA will be particularly strong behind the front with mid February sun in southern MS. Precip. seems to have dampened and it looked like everything would be about done by 06z on the NAM and GFS so ignored USL. The low will be the most interesting part of tomorrow's forecast. The question is can they decouple? I think they will but I went a little above the USL to cover my ass if they don't. It seems they will have a little bit of a pressure gradient before midnight. Went around the USL and BUFKIT showing low 20s fairly close to the ground tomorrow morning. Figure they will probably mix it down then or when the front goes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 57/38/20/0 Looks more likely they won't still be sitting at around 60F at 6z as the front appears to be moving quickly enough. With 850mb temps dropping to around 1C tomorrow and low clouds being stubborn into the early afternoon I was skeptical of them getting warmer than guidance. I went for them decoupling tomorrow evening and sneaking into the 30s by 6z, which honestly was probably the least certain part of the forecast for me. They should be pretty breezy late tonight into tomorrow morning and at least get close to 20 knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 That low precip though helped a lot. Went with 58/40/20/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 58/37/21/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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