Mallow Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 Tough day 1 in Key West. Went with 87/77/13/0.25, but if there's no rain, my low, wind, and rain will be off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcb72 Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 Key West is very difficult, especially when it comes to precip. MOS tends to overestimate low temps and underestimate high temps. Low temps can get very weird here, high temps tend to be more consistent. 88/78/10/0.20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcontinelli Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 86/78/13/.12 Probably went way to high with the rain. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 An alum now but I couldn't not do it this year 90/77/13/0.30" Brief logic is if they've been clear around peak heating lately they've been near 90. Persistence on the low. Wind is a crap shoot, but I think there's a decent shot at convection through early tomorrow which would make a 13kt wind easy to obtain. Rain is not a certain forecast but I think they'll get some. My hope is they get into some subsidence west of the UL tomorrow and clear things out enough to get my high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 88/79/11/0.05 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 90/79/11/0.65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 Last year as Cat. 3 forecaster. Here we go... 88/78/13/0.25" Thankful precip was close to the consensus to kick off KEYW because I have no idea on that front. Pretty confident with winds, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 I love this time of year fall is entering the area sightings of snow and now the wx challenge. Looks like this might be my last year we will see. 88/79/11/0.14 Biggest wild card to me was precip winds have kicked up decently to double digits so we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 27, 2016 Author Share Posted September 27, 2016 It's been pouring all morning to the north, west, and south, but there has been a hole right over Key West that has allowed them to escape most of the rain so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 21 minutes ago, Mallow said: It's been pouring all morning to the north, west, and south, but there has been a hole right over Key West that has allowed them to escape most of the rain so far. Just oh man what a first day lol now having winds up to 16-21knots. Precip looks pretty impressive but seems to die as it closes in on KEYW certainly an interesting city so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 I probably prefer mid latitude forecasting lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 89/79/14/0.12 Back again for another year. Went too low on the rain, need things to clear out. At least in Miami you can sort of predict which way the seabreezes will blow, but these blobs over the ocean seem completely random. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 28, 2016 Author Share Posted September 28, 2016 88/80/10/0 for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 89/79/13/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 90/77/11/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 89/78/13/0.08 Fools gold i went with a late day thunderstorm. Banking on a low level convergence zone somewhere temps should shoot up quickly so wouldnt be surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmw1019 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 Third year of the WXChallenge. Hoping to continue to improve forecasting skills. Went with 87/78/8/0. Probably should've gone higher on the high temperature. Lower winds and less precip due to area of weak subsidence around South Florida, this shows up well on water vapor imagery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 87/77/8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 29, 2016 Author Share Posted September 29, 2016 89/79/9/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 88/77/6/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 87/77/11/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 89/80/11/0.05 Decided to go safe on precip since I'm holding onto top 125. Don't see why I can't follow MOS yet again if things stay mostly dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 30, 2016 Author Share Posted September 30, 2016 88/78/12/0.13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 89/80/14/0.06 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 89/79/14/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 90/80/9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 88/80/13/0 I don't like this city. Next please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Man just unreal forecasting for this place. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 4, 2016 Author Share Posted October 4, 2016 89/79/16/0.15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 88/79/16/0.18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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