bluewave Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 Great photo, Don. This was the first fall color and snow weekend in the higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 We look to be BN through Halloween, then start out AN the 1st 5 to 10 days of November. By day 15 ridging begins to retrograde into the upper latitudes as the trough develops underneath in the east. Expect the source region to change between days 15 to 20 as the PNA spikes. Our air originates out of the upper regions of Canada and funnels into the trough that develops on the EC. -AO -EPO+PNA takes hold early on . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 00z GFS looks like a front end dusting of snow for many, 2"+ north of NYC, higher amounts the further N + w, someone in extreme NW ulster or Sullivan with good elevation jackpots with 6+ GGEM agrees to some extent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 Looks like we have rain incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 I have a forecasted low of 38 and 34 Tuesday and Wednesday nights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 Looks like alot of areas might see some frozen precip during Thursday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 Eps has a dusting to a inch of snow in the Poconos Thursday morning. The entire week looks below normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 7 hours ago, winterwarlock said: Better than posting and agonizing over inflatefd qpf totals that generally don't pan out Anyhoo I was surprised I got up to 65 today. Temps stayed in the 40's for pretty much the entire sub forum. It's not my fault you choose to ignore good weather information. How did that 55 work out by lee Goldberg? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 This would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 It will be a struggle Wednesday to get out of the 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 Storm track finally changing things up a bit with the heaviest precip beginning to fall north of I-78 instead of south. Last 5 days Forecast YTD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 all it took was a 3SD -AO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 0.32" of rain last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 Definitely some snow for north west areas Thursday morning. What a change a week makes wed-Thursday looks to stay in the 40's. Last week it was in the 80's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 Any chance Wed/Thurs can be similar for NYC as October 2011 was? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: umm...no Low to mid 40s and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 3 hours ago, sferic said: Any chance Wed/Thurs can be similar for NYC as October 2011 was? No. This is more of a quick-hitting clipper than anything else. The shortwave in ND is going to keep this isolated from the STJ and moving at a fast pace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 h URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 229 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2016 DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ008>010-012-013-019>022-027-PAZ060>062-101>103- 105-250900- /O.NEW.KPHI.FZ.A.0007.161026T0600Z-161026T1300Z/ NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX- WESTERN MONMOUTH-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND- ATLANTIC-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...MORRISTOWN... FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...MOORESTOWN... MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON... WHARTON STATE FOREST...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON... HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE... COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...CHALFONT...PERKASIE 229 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2016 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY INTO PARTS OF BOTH NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND FAR NORTHERN DELAWARE. THIS FREEZE WATCH DOES NOT INCLUDE THE URBAN CENTERS NEAR PHILADELPHIA. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE WITHIN SEVERAL DEGREES OF 30 EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER THE COUNTRYSIDE. FROST OR FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. * TIMING...COLDEST TEMPERATURES SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 6 AM AND 730 AM WEDNESDAY, WITH FROST OR FREEZING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY BEGINNING AS EARLY AS MIDNIGHT IN THE NORMALLY COLDER SHELTERED VALLEYS. * IMPACTS...THE UPCOMING SEASONABLY COLD FROST OR FREEZE EVENT WILL PROBABLY END THE GROWING SEASON IN PARTS OF THIS AREA, ESPECIALLY NEAR AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 78 INCLUSIVE OF THE LEHIGH VALLEY. IF AND WHEN WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED, PROTECTIVE ACTION SHOULD BE CONSIDERED FOR SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 Still at 47 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 12 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Still at 47 here 54 here but a cold wind and it's variably cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 the modeled 850's on sunday could support temps near 80 with enough mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 I saw my 1st IP's driving home from PA on 206 near Flanders around noon today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 18 minutes ago, uncle W said: I saw my 1st IP's driving home from PA on 206 near Flanders around noon today... The forecast low in the upper 30's tomorrow morning for NYC looks close to post 2000 climo for Oct mins. Only recent outlier was that 33 low and record Oct snowstorm in 2011. NYC Oct mins: 2016...? 2015...35 2014...42 2013...40 2012...38 2011...33 2010...42 2009...37 2008...36 2007...38 2006...37 2005...39 2004...44 2003...36 2002...36 2001...37 2000...36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 36 minutes ago, forkyfork said: the modeled 850's on sunday could support temps near 80 with enough mixing look at the source Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 3 hours ago, forkyfork said: the modeled 850's on sunday could support temps near 80 with enough mixing Forecast high is 64... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 3 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: Forecast high is 64... that will go up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 51 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: Forecast high is 64... Yeah looks like a backdoor nearby over the weekend so could go either way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 Growing season ends tonight in middlesex county. Freeze warning out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 5 hours ago, forkyfork said: the modeled 850's on sunday could support temps near 80 with enough mixing Yours, how much you want to buy at 80? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Down to 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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