LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Can't make this stuff up....drough roars on: I think we are looking at another month with below normal precip. Until we see a full scale pattern change its not looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 after one of the strongest el nino's on record and having below average precipitation makes me think with a la nina setting up it could get drier...The late 1950's and early 60's managed to get many big snows with less precipitation than normal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 YTD precip here is 27.39", about 10" below normal...Driest year since 1981 is 2001 with 37.68"....Also since March, five of the seven months have seen under 2" of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 from 1956-1966 NYC had below average precipitation, above average snowfall and tropical storms...below average temperatures... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 The 12z euro had less then .10 of rain the entire run for our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: The 12z euro had less then .10 of rain the entire run for our area That shouldn't be at all surprising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 warm and dry as far as the eye can see on most models for our area.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 49 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: warm and dry as far as the eye can see on most models for our area.... Sunday-Tuesday look cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Brutally boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Very localized patches of very dense fog across Long Island this morning, but mostly clear, odd combination but it made for the most beautiful sunrise I've seen so far this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 21 minutes ago, Cfa said: Very localized patches of very dense fog across Long Island this morning, but mostly clear, odd combination but it made for the most beautiful sunrise I've seen so far this year. Yeah, very dense fog here in SW Suffolk this morning. It also shows up very well in the river valleys around the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Yeah, very dense fog here in SW Suffolk this morning. It also shows up very well in the river valleys around the Northeast. Got a good look at the fog from above, along US 9W north of West Point: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, Juliancolton said: Got a good look at the fog from above along US 9W north of West Point: Beautiful shot. It's too flat around here to get a vantage point like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Nice shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 23 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Got a good look at the fog from above, along US 9W north of West Point: Fantastic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 25 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Got a good look at the fog from above, along US 9W north of West Point: Really wonderful shot of the fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 The 10/7/2016 0z GFS MOS is showing a low temperature of 47° for Monday, October 10 fr New York City. If accurate, that would be the City's first low temperature this season below 50°. The last time the first sub-50° occurred on October 10 or later was in 2010 when NYC also saw its first such reading on October 10. The latest such occurrence on record is October 20 in 2005. The median date for the first < 50° during the last 10 years prior to 2016 is 10/4. In 80% of those years, the first such reading occurred in October. The earliest was 9/24 (2013). The latest was 10/12 (2007). In recent decades, there has been a decline in the number of September days with minimum temperatures < 50° in New York City. Percentage of September Days with Low Temperatures < 50° in NYC: 1951-80: 6.9% 1961-90: 7.1% 1971-00: 6.0% 1981-10: 4.6% Last 30 Years (1987-2016): 3.8% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Thanks guys! Hoping for similar conditions once the leaves change fully for some really nice shots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 We rarely had the AO drop below -3.00 in October before 2002 and now it's becoming a common occurrence. Octobers with daily -AO readings of -3.0 or lower and the lowest reading that month 2016....-3.200..estimate 2014...-3.993 2012...-3.195 2009...-3.415 2006...-3.192 2003...-3.297 2002...-5.098 1991...-3.044 1984...-3.087 1981....-3.076 1979....-3.471 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 70/61, low of 47 this morning. Was foggy at 6 am. That's all i got. No rain this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 The trend has been further north with Matthew looks like the coast may get a decent rain this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Sunrise this morning as the clouds increase ahead of an advancing cold front: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 39 minutes ago, Allsnow said: The trend has been further north with Matthew looks like the coast may get a decent rain this weekend. need a tick west to be safe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Took this very impressive -AO drop just to get a few days coming up of a bit below normal temps for early October. What little cold air is available in the Northern Hemisphere in mostly focused over Eurasia with smaller coverage over Western North America. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 why do the green colors start at -3 while the whitish colors start at +7 on wxbell maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 The boredom continues for us...First seven days here had a +0.8 temp departure with 0.05" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 55 minutes ago, bluewave said: Took this very impressive -AO drop just to get a few days coming up of a bit below normal temps for early October. What little cold air is available in the Northern Hemisphere in mostly focused over Eurasia with smaller coverage over Western North America. the -ao is preventing an all out torch...I still think the -ao is a good sign for the winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 On 10/7/2016 at 9:17 AM, Juliancolton said: Got a good look at the fog from above, along US 9W north of West Point: Awesome shot! I used to see that view almost daily on my drive down Storm King.. Is that the Storm King rest area on 9W? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Don't see any below normal, Sunday and Monday look normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: Don't see any below normal, Sunday and Monday look normal It's actually a few degrees below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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